Rare January tornado hits Vancouver, Washington

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 11. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:33 (GMT)

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A rare tornado hit Vancouver, Washington (just north of Portland, Oregon) on Thursday at noon local time. The unusual twister demolished a rowing club, downed power lines, uprooted trees, and tossed shopping carts into cars along its four mile path. No injuries were reported, though. The state of Washington averages about two tornadoes per year. Yesterday's tornado was only the third January tornado observed in Washington since 1950, according to the National Climatic Data Center (2000 and 2006 were the other years). Tornadoes were also reported yesterday in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. About 100 houses were damaged and destroyed and 11 people were injured in Lowndes County, Mississippi from one of the tornadoes. A total of 34 tornadoes have been confirmed for the severe weather outbreak that began on January 7th, and total number of tornadoes could reach 60 or more by the time all the damage surveys are complete. More tornadoes are expected today from the Florida Panhandle northeastward to coastal North Carolina. Watch the Weather Underground's Severe Weather Page and Tornado Page to keep up with the storms.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Thursday, January 10, 2008. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Katrina damage claims exceed $3 quadrillion
According to the Associated Press, $3,014,170,389,176,410 in claims have been filed against the federal government over damage from the failure of levees and flood walls following Hurricane Katrina. Of the 489,000 total claims, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said 247 were for at least $1 billion, including one for $3 quadrillion.

"That's the mother of all high numbers," said Loren Scott, a Baton Rouge-based economist.

Jeff Masters

Missouri tornandos (bikesnapper)
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
Missouri tornandos
Tornado Damage in Vancouver (weathercrazy82)
A rare EF-1 tornado does quite a bit of damage...
Tornado Damage in Vancouver
Bus on the Roof (DUNDEEYANK)
The F3 hit Caledonia school campus just after 2PM. All personnel were in the hallways. No deaths only minor injuries. Photos by my son Kristofer
Bus on the Roof

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463. MissBennet
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 15:12 (GMT)
What's this I hear about a big rain and wind event hitting the Northern Gulf Coast?

Is this something we in New Orlenas should be concerned about?

From Weather.com: zip code 70130
...LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE GULF WILL BRING THE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY...

AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... REACHING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL INTERACT WITH A LARGE AND RETREATING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY.

STRONG EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH MAY START TO IMPACT COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA LATE TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEAST TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI COAST BY MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY. TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE RAPIDLY WEDNESDAY DUE TO A COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND RISING ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. WATER LEVEL RISES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE ASTRONOMICAL LOW TIDE LEVELS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THE TIME OF HIGH TIDES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS INCREASE MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS...OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM...FROM WAVELAND MISSISSIPPI TO THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LAKES MAUREPAS...PONTCHARTRAIN AND BORGNE... TO NEAR PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA.

IN ADDITION TO TIDAL CONCERNS...THE STRONG WINDS MAY CREATE STRONG CROSS WINDS ON ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES... AND STRONGER WIND GUSTS COULD ALSO DOWN WEAKENED TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS.

WIDESPREAD RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...ALONG WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD NOT CAUSE FLOOD PROBLEMS...HOWEVER... DRAINAGE OF RAINWATER COULD BE IMPEDED BY THE HIGH TIDES IN COASTAL AREAS.

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING IN OR TRAVELING THROUGH LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM.

462. AussieStorm
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 14:14 (GMT)
The Australia Day Challenge
Internationl Rugby League Match

Date: 26 January 2008
Location: Hodges Stadium, University of North Florida
Audience:10,000 Rugby League fans from around the globe
Contact (904) 536-7501 or www.australiadaychallenge.com

Two of the best International Professional Rugby League teams are set to clash in the USA for the first time. The South Sydney Rabbitohs (Australia) will for the first time play the Leeds Rhinos (England) in an international Rugby League match held in the USA. Jacksonville's very own American National Rugby League team
the Jacksonville Axemen are kindly helping host the teams while they are in Jacksonville and are organizing all ticket sales.

These guys wear no padding no helmet and only 17 player per team(13 players on the field at one time), no stop action.....this is the real man's game. Anyone in Jacksonville go out and have a look and tell me what ya think. Cheers AussieStorm
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15742
461. Cavin Rawlins
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 14:03 (GMT)
exactly lol. The moisture is being advected from the Pacific into the Gulf by the Jet stream winds.
Action: | Ignore User


I know that but why did u called it the subtropical jet stream.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
460. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:49 (GMT)
459. Weather456 1:59 PM GMT on January 15, 2008
The winds are associated with the jet stream i didn't say it were the jet stream was located.

subtropical jet stream moisture advection in ur graphic


exactly lol. The moisture is being advected from the Pacific into the Gulf by the Jet stream winds.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
459. Cavin Rawlins
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:59 (GMT)
The winds are associated with the jet stream i didn't say it were the jet stream was located.

subtropical jet stream moisture advection in ur graphic
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
458. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:45 (GMT)
456. Weather456 1:53 PM GMT on January 15, 2008
GM all


Drak the subtropical jet stream is not located over the Gulf. It is located east of the North America somewhere between 80W and 40W from 20N to 35N.


The winds are associated with the jet stream i didn't say it were the jet stream was located.

Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
457. Cavin Rawlins
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:55 (GMT)
the southwesterly flow is created by an upper level trof over the CONUS...whereas the subtropical jet is created north of a climatological upper high over the Caribbean.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
456. Cavin Rawlins
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 13:53 (GMT)
GM all


Drak the subtropical jet stream is not located over the Gulf. It is a feature that is normally located east of the North America somewhere between 80W and 40W from 20N to 35N.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
455. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 12:44 (GMT)
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
453. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 03:00 (GMT)
Drakoen thanks could all of ca see snow???
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
452. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 02:54 (GMT)
Heres a look at Sunday Morning from the GFS Taz. It will be cold across the nation. Also i want to note that there will be some light to moderate precip in California precip as a postively tilted 500mb trough digs southward. Possibly a developing mid to upper level low along the vorticity lobe which is the San Fran snow event that the GFS is picking up on. The 540 line will be far enough south but it still looks very ambitous and robust at this point with the GFS bias on SW cold weather events. As we get closer to the event we will get a better idea.

Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
451. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 02:30 (GMT)
mode runs and maps would be nic
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
450. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 02:16 (GMT)
this dos not tell me any thing can some one give me more in sight on whats may be going on with the colder weather comeing my way thanks



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
330 PM PST MON JAN 14 2008

EXTENDED...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST COAST WILL OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST LOCATIONS AND FAIR
SKIES THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND THEN INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATE SATURDAY WILL DECREASE
THE OFFSHORE FLOW ON SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY OFFSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENS
AGAIN AND THE REGION LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY. SOME COLDER CONTINENTAL
AIR FROM CANADA LOOKS LIKE IT COULD START TO FILTER INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY AND MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
449. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 02:06 (GMT)
haha and I went back in time with that post. ^.^
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
448. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:42 (GMT)
ABPW10 PGTW 212130

wow the days went by so fast, The JTWC states today is January 21st already. =P
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
447. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:56 (GMT)
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE

from Nadi RSMC.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
446. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:48 (GMT)
Official site of Super Bowl XLII, played February 3, 2008, in Phoenix, AZ. Includes analysis, news, video, and a history of the NFL's championship game


oh ok now i see
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
445. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:46 (GMT)
are super bowl is playing down at san diego ca this year
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
444. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:41 (GMT)
ok where sould they be playing at this year
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
443. severstorm
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:36 (GMT)
it must be an old superbowl taz this year its on i think feb 3rd
Member Since: 25.11.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
442. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:37 (GMT)
ohs watching the super bowl tonight??
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
441. severstorm
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:35 (GMT)
Great article from the ssrc!! I've always thought we were just going threw a cycle.
Member Since: 25.11.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
440. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:15 (GMT)
NWS Miami for tonight

DISCUSSION...STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES-NEW ENGLAND REGION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD
AND THIS DRAGGING ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT SE OF THE S FLA
PENINSULA COAST. MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT
LEADING TO A COOL OVERNIGHT WITH BOTH MAV/MET GUIDANCE SHOWING
UPPER 30S NEAR LAKE OKEE TO THE MID 50S ALONG THE SE CST.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
439. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:10 (GMT)
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
Issued at 10:50 am AEDT on Tuesday 15January 2008

Synoptic Situation: A Low [995hPa] is located on the coast near Townsville and moving slowly inland.

Heavy rainfall to 50mm has fallen in the past hour on top of heavy rain overnight which may cause some local flash flooding.

The State Emergency Service advises that people in the affected area should:avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters

The next warning is due to be issued by 3pm today.

----
93P.INVEST
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
438. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:05 (GMT)
here


Link
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
437. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:03 (GMT)
did any one no that the super bowl XXXII was on
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
436. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 01:00 (GMT)
Taz where are you getting that information from?
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
435. Tazmanian
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 00:57 (GMT)
look at this


very cold weather over the state of CA before the end of the month. It will almost certainly be bitterly cold over 80-90 percent of the Continental U.S.; the question is whether not not (or to what degree) this unmodified Arctic air may make it west of the Rockies. The GFS and ECMWF have been flip-flopping over the past few days, but each model has had its fair share of weird and unbelievable prognostications (heavy snowfall in San Francisco, deep freeze in San Diego (and I mean on the beaches!))
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
434. Drakoen
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 00:55 (GMT)
GFS update on the sunday morning lows for the Southeast. Again very robust with the zero degree isodrosotherm sinking all the way down to South Florida.

1000mb temp.

Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
433. franck
15. tammikuuta 2008 klo 00:28 (GMT)
No more global warming. It's over...yea!!!!!
Member Since: 30.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
432. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 23:48 (GMT)
Interesting Tropical Facts

Wind stress caused by increase easterlies associated with the MJO slows down the the angular momentum of the Earth causing the Earth's rotation to slow by 3/10 of a millisecond. That is how I remembered it.

Only 4% of a saturated air parcel is water vapor molecules.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
431. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 23:25 (GMT)
La Nina, Tropical Cyclones (Helen and 93P), the Monsoon trough and MJO all ganged up on Northeastern Australia to bring heavy rainfall. If that had happen in Central America it would of been devastating.

Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
430. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 23:06 (GMT)
looks like the JMA made an error in not naming the system if Dvorak Intensity was 3.0
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
429. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:45 (GMT)
yeah hades...i just check the map it showed the elongated LLCC lies across 160E

thanks JLPR
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
428. JLPR
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:42 (GMT)
Nice pic Weather456
=D
Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 5223
427. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:39 (GMT)
you're welcome I found this..

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (unnumbered) [1002HPA] NEAR 18S 160E SLOW MOVING.

Fiji had release a Marine Bulletin of an disturbance close to 91P coordinates.. kind of between area of responsibilies of Brisbane and Nadi so it remains unnumber at the time.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
426. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:30 (GMT)
Tropical Invest 91P Update 1

Issued 2100 UTC JAN 14 2007 by W456

Tropical Invest 91P is located bear 17.0S-164.5E, movement stationary. Surface winds are near 20-30 knots and minimum central pressure is near 1006 mb. Wind shear is near 10-15 knots and SSTs are 85F.

A recent QuikSCAT pass indicate the low-level close circulation of 91P is rather broad so center fix was difficult with associated gale force winds in two bands to the south and north quadrants. Estimated surface pressure is near 1005 mb based on synoptic reports. Visible imagery showed a well-organized disturbance with excellent tropical cyclone signatures, deep convection and curve bands. Global models indicate conditions will remain favorable for a tropical cyclone form in the next day or so as the system moves towards the southwest around the subtropical ridge. Furthermore, models have indicated beyond this forecast cycle that 91P may grow into strong extratropical storm that may affect New Zealand.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1800 UTC 91PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-155S-1625E

Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
425. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:28 (GMT)
ok thanks hades...i'll correct the name to 91P
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
424. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:23 (GMT)
Written by Weather456

Issued 2100 UTC JAN 14 2007 by W456

Tropical Depression 09F is located bear 17.0S-164.5E



---

sorry to say this but 09F was last reported near 20.4S 174.2W, so 91P is not TD 09F
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
423. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:19 (GMT)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary 2130z 14Jan
========================================
An area of convection (93P) near 19.1S 147.2E or 150 NM south-southeast of Cairns, Australia. Animated infrared satellite imagery depicts a consolidating low level circulation center positioned on the eastern edge of a large area of deep convection. SMSI Image indicates curved banding over the western quadrant wrapping into the northern quadrant. Recent radar data from the townsville radar shows a well-defined low level circulation center over water located about 25 NM northeast of Townsville. Surface observation indicates a surface low pressure of 996 mb and surface winds sustained near 30 knots increasing in intensity over the past 6 hours ast the low level circulation center tracks southward.

Upper level environment is favorable with weak to moderate vertical wind shear and an anticyclone over the center as well as good poleward outflow enhanced by a trough to the southwest. Maximum sustained winds near the center is 22-28 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 996 mb. The major limiting factor is interaction with land which should continue to hinder significant debelopment for the next 12-24 hours, Therefore the potential for development of a significant tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours is FAIR.



Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43639
422. GBlet
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:03 (GMT)
I wonder how this will affect spring and summer over the next few years.
Member Since: 13.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 435
421. Dodabear
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:13 (GMT)
3:40 P.M. Patrap out of surgery. Surgeon "Dr.James Brown" said everything went well... Pat is in recovery now... Barefoot and Redhead are here keeping me calm... Will post again soon... Thanks for all the love and prayers and well wishes... Teresa...
Member Since: 28.07.2001 Posts: 0 Comments: 2279
420. soloco
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:09 (GMT)
Thanks for the article, Bonedog........I am forwarding the link to all the GW blogs ;-)
Member Since: 4.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 73
419. Drakoen
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:03 (GMT)
417. Weather456 9:55 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
so where does Global warming stands?


If you refer to the article, then we won't be seeing much warming for a few decades. The next few winters will be interesting for sure.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
418. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 22:02 (GMT)
ooo and thanks to everyone for that aewsome rating of my pic. Thanks again
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
417. Cavin Rawlins
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 21:55 (GMT)
so where does Global warming stands?
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
416. Drakoen
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 21:55 (GMT)
I read it 3 times over again lol.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
415. Bonedog
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 21:54 (GMT)
yea its a head turner!! Made me sit back in my chair.

Member Since: 14.07.2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
414. Drakoen
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 21:40 (GMT)
410. Bonedog 9:08 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
this is great....

SSRC Press Release


Extremely interesting article and I recommend all to read it.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
413. GBlet
14. tammikuuta 2008 klo 21:41 (GMT)
Bone,I read that article and it still has my brain spinning! Time to break out the canning jars and start a stockpile! This could most definately bring on a event we are not at all prepared for.
Member Since: 13.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 435

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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