Heavy rains drench Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 25. tammikuuta 2012 klo 17:03 (GMT)

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Big smiles greeted heavy rains in Texas this morning, where an upper-level low pressure system brought significant soaking rains to eastern portions of the state. The rain was heavy enough to cause minor flooding of some creeks and rivers, and the NWS has posted flash flood watches and warnings for most of Eastern Texas. High water rescues have occurred on the streets of Haltom City, Texas. It's been a while since we've seen our severe weather map light up in green colors for Texas! Austin, Texas received 5.66" of rain this morning, setting a record for the date, and rainfall amounts of 2 - 4 inches have been common across most of East Texas. The storm has triggered severe thunderstorms over Texas yesterday and this morning, and two possible tornadoes were reported in Edwards County near Houston yesterday. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of East Texas and Western Louisiana in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather today, and tornado watches are posted. Some 24-hour rainfall amounts from the storm, for the period ending at 6am CST January 25:

Dallas Love 3.17"
Dallas/Fort Worth Airport 3.08"
San Antonio 3.13"
Waco 2.68"
Victoria 0.96"


FIgure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall for the 24 hours ending at 10:23am CST January 25, 2012.

Above-average rains for Texas this winter
Despite predictions that this winter would be unusually dry in Texas due to the on-going La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific, Texas has seen more rain than average. Today's storm is the second major soaking Eastern Texas has received this month. December also had plentiful rains, with the state recording its 19th wettest December in 117 years of record keeping. However, 2011 was the driest year in Texas history, and many regions still have a long way to go before drought conditions abate. The January 17, 2012 Drought Monitor showed 62% of Texas in two worst categories of drought--extreme to exceptional. That's quite an improvement from the 97% of the state that was in extreme to exceptional drought back on September 27, 2011, though. The latest GFS model forecast shows mostly dry conditions returning to Texas next week, with the possibility of more heavy rain for East Texas on February 3.

Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Funso moves away from Mozambique
The most powerful tropical cyclone of 2012 is Tropical Cyclone Funso, which intensified to a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds early this morning. Funso is located in the Mozambique Channel between Madagascar and Mozambique, and is expected to remain offshore and move slowly southwards. The outer spiral bands of Funso dumped torrential rains on Mozambique early this week, triggering floods that killed at least twelve people. Flooding from Funso was made worse by the saturated soils left by Tropical Depression Dando, whose rains caused flooding that killed ten people in the country last week.


Figure 2. Image of Tropical Cyclone Funso taken by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra satellite on January 25, 2012, at 07:40 UTC. At the time, Funso was a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Largest solar storm since October 2003 hits Earth
On January 23 near 03:39 UTC, big sunspot 1402 erupted, sending a coronal mass ejection (CME) headed towards Earth. The CME arrived at Earth on January 24 near 15 UTC, setting off the biggest solar storm since October 2003. Bright auroras were observed at many northern locations, and a G1-class geomagnetic storm is in progress. For more info, see NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center or spaceweather.com.


Figure 3. Solar flare as observed by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) at 03:27, 03:42, and 04:12 UTC January 23, 2012. Note the brightening of the solar surface as gas was superheated and magnetically supercharged. By the third (right) image, a stream of solar material is seen flowing off into space above the hot spot, likely solar protons and a coronal mass ejection (CME). Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Jeff Masters

Green and clean. (Altred)
Green and clean.
Magic Fjord (Altred)
I want to thank all of you for vots and comments.THANK YOU ALL
Magic Fjord

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219. yqt1001
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 18:10 (GMT)
Rina's TCR is out.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182011_Rina.pd f

She was upgraded to a major hurricane!

19-7-4

Rina at peak intensity.

Member Since: 19.11.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1285
218. MahFL
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 18:01 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:


Seeing new houses built by Lennar with solar panels on the west side of the roofs now. Odd seeing those now, wonder how they will hold up in a hurricane or hail storm though, and how much insurance is to cover them and so on.


How can you have privicy and still get solar heating, everyone can see what you have in the rooms to steal !
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2913
217. SPLbeater
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 16:55 (GMT)
Quoting yqt1001:


Happy birthday!



Thank u! I am officially a teenager lol xD
Member Since: 4.08.2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
216. RitaEvac
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:55 (GMT)
Quoting aspectre:
The net-zero-energy home.
I do wonder about whether the energy to manufacture the materials&technology used to build&run the house is higher than for a regular house; and whether the energy-payback period is sufficiently low as to make a "net-zero-energy" home more sustainable than a regular house.


Seeing new houses built by Lennar with solar panels on the west side of the roofs now. Odd seeing those now, wonder how they will hold up in a hurricane or hail storm though, and how much insurance is to cover them and so on.
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
215. yqt1001
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:29 (GMT)
Quoting SPLbeater:
Its my birthday


Happy birthday!

Member Since: 19.11.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1285
214. yqt1001
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:26 (GMT)
Must be hell on those islands in the middle of that extremely intense convection.


Member Since: 19.11.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1285
213. SPLbeater
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:14 (GMT)

Iggy
Member Since: 4.08.2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
212. SPLbeater
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:12 (GMT)
Its my birthday
Member Since: 4.08.2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
211. aspectre
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:04 (GMT)
The net-zero-energy home.
I do wonder about whether the energy to manufacture the materials&technology used to build&run the house is higher than for a regular house; and whether the energy-payback period is sufficiently low as to make a "net-zero-energy" home more sustainable than a regular house.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
210. hydrus
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 15:00 (GMT)
Filling in nicely now..
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
209. MrBoujangles
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:58 (GMT)
Quoting Bergeron:


The graph is from NCEP




lol... This guy is posting a 3yr plot of global temperature anomalies based on the 30yr average of '81-'10 to try and prove that AGW is not real. The graphs could very well be from NCEP but they were selectively chosen by a website that is so crazy they write half the articles in Latin.
Member Since: 10.05.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 20
208. hydrus
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:19 (GMT)
The name Iggy reminded me of Fifi in 74..The name Fifi may sound inappropriate for such a devastating killer...Hurricane Fifi (later Hurricane Orlene) was a catastrophic tropical cyclone that killed between 3,000 and 10,000 people in Honduras in September 1974, ranking it as the fourth deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record. Originating from a strong tropical wave on September 14, the system steadily tracked west-northwestward through the eastern Caribbean Sea. On September 16, the depression intensified into Tropical Storm Fifi just off the coast of Jamaica. The storm quickly intensified into a hurricane the following afternoon and attained its peak intensity on September 18 as a strong Category 2 hurricane. Maintaining hurricane intensity, Fifi brushed the northern coast of Honduras before making landfall in Belize the following day. The storm quickly weakened after landfall, becoming a depression late on September 20. Continuing westward, the former hurricane began to interact with another system in the eastern Pacific.

Early on September 22, Fifi re-attained tropical storm status before fully regenerating into a new tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Orlene. Orlene storm traveled in an arced path toward Mexico while quickly intensifying into a Category 2 hurricane before landfall. The storm weakened after landfall and dissipated fully during the afternoon of September 24 over the mountains of Mexico. Along its path, Fifi impacted nine countries, leaving over 8,200 fatalities and $1.8 billion (1974 USD; $8.02 billion 2012 USD) in damages. Most of the loss of life and damage occurred in Honduras where rainfall from the hurricane, peaking around 24 in (610 mm), triggered widespread flash flooding and mudslides.

In a single town, between 2,000 and 5,000 people were killed overnight after a massive flood inundated the area. Fifi brought continuous rainfall to the area for three days, hampering relief efforts in what was the worst disaster in Honduras' history at the time. In nearby Guatemala, an additional 200 people were killed by severe flooding, making Fifi the worst hurricane to impact the country in nearly 20 years. Following the catastrophic damage wrought by the storm, relief agencies from around the world flew in emergency supplies to assist the hundreds of thousands of homeless people. Countries closer to Honduras, such as the United States, set up city donation centers that would send supplies to the country. In efforts to prevent the spread of post-storm diseases, the government allowed the burning of bodies as they were recovered. In a single day, up to 6,000 bodies were burned. Due to the extreme damage and loss of life, the name was retired from the list of Atlantic hurricane names and has not been used since.
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
207. hydrus
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:14 (GMT)
Quoting Thrawst:
Funso is looking annular. Decent squall line in the gulf..
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
206. Bergeron
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:06 (GMT)
Quoting Xyrus2000:


You post a graph with no context to counteract the temperature records coming from no less than 5 separate data sources? Please, do tell which cherry picked data is used for that graph. Perhaps a link to the site would be useful. Hopefully it is a legitimate source and not some pseudo-science hack site.

Look, if the the US Department of Agriculture is releasing updated growing charts as a result of climate change, it really is time to stop covering your ears and screaming "la-la-la".


The graph is from NCEP



Member Since: 19.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101
205. Xyrus2000
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:04 (GMT)
Quoting Bergeron:


Global what?



You post a graph with no context to counteract the temperature records coming from no less than 5 separate data sources? Please, do tell which cherry picked data is used for that graph. Perhaps a link to the site would be useful. Hopefully it is a legitimate source and not some pseudo-science hack site.

Look, if the the US Department of Agriculture is releasing updated growing charts as a result of climate change, it really is time to stop covering your ears and screaming "la-la-la".
Member Since: 31.10.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1227
204. Thrawst
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 14:00 (GMT)
Member Since: 18.07.2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1737
203. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:56 (GMT)
SOI still at +11.4

Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
202. RitaEvac
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:56 (GMT)
New??

Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
201. BobWallace
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:54 (GMT)
Quoting Neapolitan:
Some signs are subtly sneaky:Full article here.


RE: The new plant hardiness zones.

I'm hoping that this graphic will get updated.

http://www.arborday.org/media/mapchanges.cfm

It shows how planting zones changed between 1990 and 2006. Now we have seen even further change.
Member Since: 22.02.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
200. weathermanwannabe
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:45 (GMT)
For those following the current storm action in the Pacific Basin/Austrailia, here is the ENSO status from a few weeks ago. La Nina starting to wane; to early to tell whether the Caribbean Season this Summer/Fall will swing into El Nino but looking right now as starting out in Enso Neutral conditions. But notice that the storm season for Austrialia peaks in Feb and March:

La Niña shows some weakening
Issued on Wednesday 18 January | Product Code IDCKGEWWOO

While La Niña conditions clearly remain, some indicators have weakened over the past fortnight. Similarly, the majority of climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest a gradual decline of the current La Niña, with most models suggesting an end of the event during the coming autumn season.

La Niña periods are usually, but not always, associated with above normal rainfall and below normal daytime temperatures from winter through summer across eastern and northern Australia. Tropical cyclone risk is increased for northern Australia during the cyclone season (November to April), peaking in February and March. For detailed rainfall, temperature and tropical cyclone outlooks, please see: www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead.


Good Morning everyone...............Keeping an eye on the pending frontal passage for the Gulf States and Florida Panhandle today.
Member Since: 8.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 8310
199. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:40 (GMT)
Quoting washingtonian115:
Why do other basin's always get the interesting names...

cause there is so many countries that put names in.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
198. washingtonian115
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:34 (GMT)
Why do other basin's always get the interesting names...
Member Since: 14.08.2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 15738
197. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:33 (GMT)


TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued at 8:45 pm WST on Thursday, 26 January 2012
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Whim Creek to Coral Bay.

At 8:00 pm WST Tropical Cyclone Iggy, Category 1 was estimated to be
800 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and
940 kilometres west northwest of Karratha and
moving east southeast at 6 kilometres per hour towards the west Pilbara coast.

Over the next 72 hours TC Iggy will steadily intensify while moving
southeastwards towards the western Pilbara coast.

Gales are not expected in coastal communities on Friday, however gales may
develop on the coast between Whim Creek and Coral Bay on Saturday afternoon or
overnight into Sunday. Rainfall is likely to increase on Friday in coastal parts
of the Pilbara, west Kimberley and possibly on the west coast north of Cape
Cuvier.

Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced
near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of
a strong monsoonal flow.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present. Communities between Whim Creek and Coral Bay, including communities
near Karratha, Onslow and Exmouth, should listen for the next issue.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Iggy at 8:00 pm WST:
.Centre located near...... 16.5 degrees South 109.2 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the east southeast at 6 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 981 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 am WST Friday 27 January.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
196. Bergeron
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 13:25 (GMT)
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:
NASA scientists expect more rapid global warming in the very near futurelink


Global what?

Member Since: 19.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101
195. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 11:55 (GMT)
Quoting CybrTeddy:
They named a cyclone 'Iggy'?

If it is was in the Atlantic, that's exactly what everyone would be doing, clicking the 'iggy' button on each other.

I guess there is a lot of people in NW Western Australia wanting to hit iggy on "Iggy" also.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
194. trunkmonkey
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 11:33 (GMT)
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Had a tornado rip through Northeast Austin, Texas Early this morning... Seeing the damage, im thinking it will be called an EF-2 in the end, seeing Ef-2 damage online in other places and comparing it, im in agreement of it being an EF-2
Some pics of the damage:








Maybe a EF-3... Im no expert at classfying Tornado damage


I'm more of a Tornado guy than a Hurricane observer, and from the pictures most of the damage was from straight line winds, there were several tornado's the damage seemed light, trees fences and structures that can't handle winds. I would say an EF1, or a small EF2 at most, the distances were short, and narrow, here is a link to some of the damage.

http://texasstormchasers.com/2012/01/25/january-2 5-2012-tornado-surveys/
Member Since: 18.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 562
193. CybrTeddy
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 11:21 (GMT)
They named a cyclone 'Iggy'?

If it is was in the Atlantic, that's exactly what everyone would be doing, clicking the 'iggy' button on eachother.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23016
192. Neapolitan
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 11:00 (GMT)
Quoting AussieStorm:
Does anyone know where this photo has been taken, Thats a S*** load of snow.
That picture (and the one below) were taken at Japans's Yuki-no-Otani Snow Canyon in Toyama prefecture.

Flurries
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13306
191. bohonkweatherman
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 10:25 (GMT)
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Had a tornado rip through Northeast Austin, Texas Early this morning... Seeing the damage, im thinking it will be called an EF-2 in the end, seeing Ef-2 damage online in other places and comparing it, im in agreement of it being an EF-2
Some pics of the damage:








Maybe a EF-3... Im no expert at classfying Tornado damage
Hearing it was EF-1
Member Since: 5.07.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
190. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 10:10 (GMT)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07F
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F

18:00 FST January 26 2012
====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 07 (1005 hPa) located at 18.0S 164.0E is reported as slow moving. Position POOR based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization in past 24 hours has not improved much. Convection remains persistent in the last 24 hours. The system lies under the 250hpa ridge axis and in a moderate sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation extends to 850hpa.

Global models have picked up the system and slowly move it southeast with little intensification.

The potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours is low.

System #2
----------

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 08 (1004 hPa) located at 17.3S 179.0W is reported as slow moving. Position FAIR based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization in past 24 hours has not improved much. Convection displaced to the east of low level circulation center. The system lies along a weak surface trough under 250hpa diffluent region and in a moderate sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation extends to 700hpa.

Global models have picked up the system and slowly move it southeast with little intensification.

The potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours is low.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
189. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 07:17 (GMT)
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Advice #2
TROPICAL CYCLONE IGGY, CATEGORY ONE (11U)
3:00 PM WST January 26 2012
=================================

At 2:00 PM WST, Tropical Cyclone Iggy, Category One (986 hPa) located at 16.5S 108.8E or 820 km northwest of Exmouth and 970 km west northwest of Karratha has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS

Gale Force Winds
--------------------
110 NM from the center

The cyclone is expected to intensify steadily as it approaches the coast.

Tropical Cyclone Iggy is moving southeast towards the west Pilbara coast at about 6 km/h.

Gales are not expected in coastal communities on Thursday or Friday, however gales may develop on the coast between Whim Creek and Coral Bay on Saturday afternoon or overnight into Sunday. Rainfall is likely to increase on Friday in coastal parts of the Pilbara, west Kimberley and possibly on the west coast north of Cape Cuvier.

Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of a strong monsoonal flow.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Whim Creek to Coral Bay.

Forecast and Intensity:
======================

12 HRS: 17.4S 109.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 18.3S 110.4E - 55 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 19.9S 111.8E - 75 knots (CAT 3)
72 HRS: 20.8S 113.1E - 90 knots (CAT 4)

Additional Information
========================

The system has weakened during the day and the low level circulation center is no longer under the central dense overcast and is not particularly well organized. Animated visible imagery has been used for the 0600 AM UTC fix. Positions for previous 6 hours have been re-analyzed using visible imagery, ASCAT pass from 0135 AM UTC and SSMIS pass at 0035 AM UTC. ASCAT pass shows 45 knot winds to the north of the system and an area of gales to the south. The ASCAT pass supports a gale radius of around 110 NM in the northern quadrant. Separation of low level circulation center to overcast exceeded 0.5 degrees on 0430Z and 0530Z images giving DT=2.5. MET and PAT are 2.5 so FT is set to 2.5 but CI held at 3.0 which is in broad agreement with the ASCAT pass. ADT is running at 2.8 and no recent AMSU or SATCON intensity estimates were available at time of issue.

The 0:00 AM UTC CIMSS shear analysis indicates around 20 knots of shear but the spatial analyzes show the shear has increased by 5-10 knots over the northern half of the circulation.

The ridge to the south is very weak and steering is dominated by the monsoon flow to the north over the next 72 hours, bringing the system southeast towards the coast. Models indicate south southeast or southeast movement maintained for around 48 hours before sufficient ridging develops to the south to steer the system to the west. Not all models develop sufficient ridging to the alter the course, with some models maintaining a southeast course bringing it across the Pilbara coast.

All available intensity guidance indicates the system will steadily intensify over the next 3 days and this is consistent with an analysis of the synoptic conditions, though the current shear may limit intensification in the short term. If the system maintains a more southeasterly track it will track over warmer sea surface temperatures. A more southerly track will bring it into an area of shallower warm water near 20S and may limit intensity due to upwelling of colder water if the system is slow moving. Shear remains low to moderate over the period and favorable interaction with an upper trough is possible over the weekend.

Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of a strong monsoonal flow.

The next tropical cyclone advice from Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center on TC Iggy will be issued at around 13:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
188. KoritheMan
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 07:01 (GMT)
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


whats up kori?


Exercising. You?
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19144
187. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:53 (GMT)
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #30
CYCLONE TROPICAL FUNSO (08-20112012)
10:00 AM RET January 26 2012
=======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Funso (956 hPa) located at 24.0S 39.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southeast at 3 knots

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5/5.0/D0.5/6 HRS

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
35 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
50 NM radius from the center extending up to 60 NM in the northern semi-circle

Gale Force Winds
=================
120 NM radius from the center

Near Gale Force Winds
====================
150 NM radius from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

12 HRS: 24.6S 39.3E - 80 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
24 HRS: 25.4S 39.2E - 75 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS: 27.1S 40.1E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS: 31.7S 43.9E - 35 knots (Depression Extratropicale)

Additional Information
======================

0326 AM UTC 91 GHZ SSMIS microwave pictures shows that eyewall replacement cycle is now achieved. Only remains The external ring (27 NM radius). Within the next 36 hours, system might track globally southward with a quite slow speed under the steering influence of the mid-level ridge existing in its east. Over this forecast track, environmental conditions are expected to remain favorable under the upper level ridge. Sea surface temperature will slightly decrease but remain favorable in the next 12-24 hours. So with the end of the eyewall replacement cycle, Funso should start a new intensifying phase, but an uncertainty exists for this possibility.

On and after 36 hours, Funso is expected to accelerate again south southeastward then southeastward In relationship with a deep trough transiting in the mid-latitude. At this range, system will undergoing more and more cooler sea surface temperature and a strengthening westerly vertical wind shear in the same time. Funso should weaken and then begin its extra-tropical transition.

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Seychelles Meteorological Service on TC FUNSO will be issued at 12:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
186. Patrap
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:44 (GMT)




www.solarham.com

Updated 1/26/2012 @ 05:55 UTC
C-Class flares
After a day of nearly no flare activity, Sunspot 1402 produced two C-Class flares as it continues to rotate towards the western limb. The first flare measured C5.8, followed by a C7.9 at 01:49 UTC Thursday morning. These flares are small in comparison to the strong M8.7 earlier in the week, however 1402 is putting on a bit of a show before it rotates onto the limb and out of direct Earth view. This region has a Beta-Gamma magnetic classification, and there is a 25% chance for an M-Class flare.

UPDATE: Sunspot 1402 just produced a long duration C6.4 solar flare and a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible in the latest Lasco C2 images. Because 1402 continues to rotate into a less geoeffective position, the expanding plasma cloud will most likely be directed away from Earth. More information in the morning.

CME off Northwest Limb (Early Thursday) - Lasco C2
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125715
185. VAbeachhurricanes
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:36 (GMT)
Quoting KoritheMan:
*cue awkward silence*


whats up kori?
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5708
184. KoritheMan
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:29 (GMT)
*cue awkward silence*
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19144
183. Minnemike
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:07 (GMT)
Quoting nymore:
Dual numbers are Fahrenheit and Celsius.
thanks :)
Member Since: 31.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
182. drg0dOwnCountry
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 06:02 (GMT)
NASA scientists expect more rapid global warming in the very near futurelink
Member Since: 22.09.2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
181. PSUweathermet
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 05:52 (GMT)
Quoting AlwaysThinkin:


My tougues bleeding right now from biting it so hard.


And why might you be biting your tongue?
Member Since: 13.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
180. nymore
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 05:41 (GMT)
Quoting Minnemike:
i see some misunderstanding's of Hydrus' post.. note those are coldest temperatures within the shared boundary of the US, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. they are not values for most recent cold temp records experienced at a given locality; the 'thing in common' is that the records reside within the conterminous US... hence the label ;)
and the dual figures are likely lows and highs.
interesting.. ok, moving on.
Dual numbers are Fahrenheit and Celsius.
Member Since: 6.07.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2210
179. Minnemike
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 05:28 (GMT)
i see some misunderstanding's of Hydrus' post.. note those are coldest temperatures within the shared boundary of the US, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. they are not values for most recent cold temp records experienced at a given locality; the 'thing in common' is that the records reside within the conterminous US... hence the label ;)
and the dual figures are likely lows and highs.
interesting.. ok, moving on.
Member Since: 31.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
178. Patrap
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 05:12 (GMT)
SH082012 - Tropical Cyclone (>=96 kt) FUNSO

Storm Relative 1km Geostationary Visible Imagery/loop

..click image for Loop





Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125715
177. KoritheMan
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 05:06 (GMT)
Hurricanes look remarkably beautiful once they lose their inner eyewall, and the outer wind radii expands.
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19144
176. sunlinepr
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:54 (GMT)
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
175. sunlinepr
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:40 (GMT)
Most of the cattle were already consumed before they were checked
Posted by Mochizuki on January 25th, 2012 · No Comments

By 1/25/2012, only 35% of the cattle fed with contaminated hay were checked, the rest of 65% of the cattle are likely to be consumed. In July of 2011, Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare decided to trace and check the cattle which were fed with contaminated hay (more than 300Bq/kg) after they were distributed.
It was 4626 cattle, distributed to 15 prefectures. However, by the time of 1/25/2012, about 65 % (2996 cattle) have not been checked yet. Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare is suspecting they were already consumed by when they decided to trace and check.


Thyroid Abnomalities in 0.7% of Fukushima Children, According to Prefectural Government
Source: EX-SKF
Date: January 25, 2012

From Jiji Tsushin (1/25/2012):

0.7% of children [26 of 3,765] under the age of 18 have developed lumps (on the thyroid) more than 5 millimeters in diamater: “Hard to believe” there is any effect of radiation, says Fukushima prefectural government [...]

Fukushima Medical University, who conducted the test, says, “They are benign lumps. It is highly likely that these lump had existed before, and it is hard to believe there is any effect of radiation”.

However, just in case, the university will conduct additional ultrasound testing and blood testing.

[...] Most of the 26 children are over the age of 6 [...]

[A]ccording to the Fukushima prefectural government there was no case of suspected cancer.


TODAY'S MOST VIEWED

Tepco: Radiation levels from Fukushima increasing — Now releasing 70,000,000 Bq/hr (4120)

“Are you sitting down”? Gamma rays seen in Fukushima footage — Appearing as out-of-focus streaks and flashes (VIDEO) (3878)

Kyodo: Flu epidemic in Japan — Cases per hospital double — Brain-swelling for infants (1588)

“Bewilderment”: Gov’t calling on residents to permanently return inside no-go zone in only weeks — “This is impossible” — I don’t believe the plant is under control, what happens if another quake hits? -Mainichi (1356)

Idaho TV: “Data showed a large spike in deaths — particularly infant deaths — in the 14 weeks following the Fukushima meltdown” -Report (VIDEO) (1307)


LATEST HEADLINES


Tokyo official blasts parents who want kids to avoid ingesting radioactivity at school: “It is important to share the pain” - 10:50 PM EST (Comments: 4)

Gov’t: 26 Fukushima children found with lumps larger than 5mm on thyroid gland - 09:16 PM EST (Comments: 5)

Watch: CNN reporter In Japan measures 42 microsieverts per hour without wearing mask — A “lower level”, about 10 dental x-rays (VIDEO) - 07:22 PM EST (Comments: 22)

*Goodard’s Journal* US gov’t study: Radioactive pollution good for you? Current radiation limits may not be necessary — Exact opposite conclusion of accepted scientific research (VIDEO) - 03:02 PM EST (Comments: 54)

Kyodo: Flu epidemic in Japan — Cases per hospital double — Brain-swelling for infants - 01:09 PM EST (Comments: 47)

Link
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
174. nymore
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:36 (GMT)
Quoting Leafgreen:

Obviously bad data. The last nine rows/records/locations are all -60 and -51.1. Show us the source.
Actually in Minnesota it is -64 in Embarrass same date but since it is not a coop station it is unofficial. The thermometer was tested to be accurate. Embarrass is the coldest place in MN regularly
Member Since: 6.07.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2210
173. Leafgreen
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:25 (GMT)
Quoting hydrus:
It is worthy to note that almost all of the coldest record temperatures ever set in the conterminous states were set years ago and not recently. To my surprise, most in February.....Rogers Pass, Montana -70 -56.7 Jan 20, 1954
Peter's Sink, Utah -69 -56.1 Feb 1, 1985
Riverside Ranger Station, Yellowstone, Wyoming -66 -54.4 Feb 9, 1933
West Yellowstone, Montana -66 -54.4 Feb 9, 1933
Moran, Wyoming -63 -52.8 Feb 9, 1933
Darwin Ranch, Wyoming -62 -52.2 Feb 10, 1981
Maybell, Colorado -61 -51.7 Feb1, 1985
Border, Wyoming -60 -51.1 Feb8, 1929
Hebgen Dam, Montana -60 -51.1 Feb 12, 1905
Island Park, Idaho -60 -51.1 Jan 18, 1943
Maybell, Colorado -60 -51.1 Jan 1, 1979
Parshall, North Dakota -60 -51.1 Feb 15, 1936
Taylor Park, Colorado -60 -51.1 Feb 1, 1951
Tower, Minnesota -60 -51.1 Feb 2, 1996
West Yellowstone, Montana -60 -51.1 Jan 12, 1963

Obviously bad data. The last nine rows/records/locations are all -60 and -51.1. Show us the source.
Member Since: 8.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 26
172. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:22 (GMT)
Google now posting emergency alerts via Google Maps
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
171. AussieStorm
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 04:20 (GMT)
Does anyone know where this photo has been taken, Thats a S*** load of snow.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15750
170. SPLbeater
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 03:59 (GMT)
NIGHT NIGHT GUYS . be back tomoroOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOw lol
Member Since: 4.08.2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
169. TaylorSelseth
26. tammikuuta 2012 klo 03:59 (GMT)
Quoting hydrus:
It is worthy to note that almost all of the coldest record temperatures ever set in the conterminous states were set years ago and not recently. To my surprise, most in February.....Rogers Pass, Montana -70 -56.7 Jan 20, 1954
Peter's Sink, Utah -69 -56.1 Feb 1, 1985
Riverside Ranger Station, Yellowstone, Wyoming -66 -54.4 Feb 9, 1933
West Yellowstone, Montana -66 -54.4 Feb 9, 1933
Moran, Wyoming -63 -52.8 Feb 9, 1933
Darwin Ranch, Wyoming -62 -52.2 Feb 10, 1981
Maybell, Colorado -61 -51.7 Feb1, 1985
Border, Wyoming -60 -51.1 Feb8, 1929
Hebgen Dam, Montana -60 -51.1 Feb 12, 1905
Island Park, Idaho -60 -51.1 Jan 18, 1943
Maybell, Colorado -60 -51.1 Jan 1, 1979
Parshall, North Dakota -60 -51.1 Feb 15, 1936
Taylor Park, Colorado -60 -51.1 Feb 1, 1951
Tower, Minnesota -60 -51.1 Feb 2, 1996
West Yellowstone, Montana -60 -51.1 Jan 12, 1963


Parshall! I have a friend who lives out there, it's in the ND oil boom area.
Member Since: 29.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 324

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