Tomas' rains reach Haiti and Jamaica

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 14:11 (GMT)

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Tropical Storm Tomas is headed north towards Haiti, and the northernmost spiral bands of the storm have already reached the tip of Haiti's southwestern peninsula and the eastern tip of Jamaica. It appears at this time that the most dangerous flooding rains of 5 - 10 inches will be confined to the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and that the earthquake zone where 1.3 million people live in makeshift shelters and tents will experience lesser rains that will cause serious but not catastrophic flooding. Satellite loops of Tomas show an average-sized tropical storm with a modest amount of heavy thunderstorm activity and low-level spiral bands. Upper-level outflow is good to the north, fair to the east, and poor elsewhere. Wind shear as diagnosed by the University of Wisconsin CIMSS group is a moderate 10 - 20 knots. The shear is due to strong upper-level winds out of the southwest, and the shear is keeping most of Tomas' heavy thunderstorms pushed over to the northeast side of the storm. The areal coverage and intensity of the thunderstorms has grown this morning. An Air Force hurricane hunter is in Tomas this morning, and reported top surface winds of 52 mph at 9am EDT this morning with their SFMR instrument. Rainfall amounts as observed by the F-16 polar orbiting satellite at 8:05am were 0.5 - 1.0" per hour in a 100-mile wide region near the center of Tomas (Figure 1.)


Figure 1. Rainfall rate for Tomas as observed by the F-16 polar orbiting satellite at 8:05am EDT Thursday, November 4, 2010. Heaviest rainfall rates in excess of 0.5 inches per hour (green colors) were confined to a 100-mile wide area near the core of Tomas. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Track and rainfall forecast for Tomas
A trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. is drawing Tomas north-northwestward at 6 mph, and this forward speed will gradually increase to 10 mph late tonight. Heavy rains from Tomas will spread over all of Haiti's southwestern peninsula and eastern Jamaica this afternoon, then move into the rest of Haiti and western portions of the Dominican Republic by tonight. Satellite-based estimates of current rainfall rates from Tomas (Figure 2) yield predictions of 4 - 6 inches of rain falling over an 18-hour period near the core of Tomas, and we can expect that the heaviest rains from Tomas will fall over Haiti's southwest peninsula, and accumulate to 5 - 10 inches. According to this rainfall forecast, precipitation amounts over Haiti's earthquake zone will be much lower, perhaps just 2 - 4 inches. However, this forecast only uses the current intensity of the storm to come up with a rainfall forecast, and if Tomas intensifies today, rainfall amounts will be higher. The latest rainfall forecast from the GFDL model (Figure 3) agrees that it will primarily be Haiti's southwest peninsula that will experience dangerous rains in the 4 - 8 inch range, and that Haiti's earthquake zone is likely to see lower amounts of 1 - 4 inches. Rains of 1 - 4 inches in the earthquake zone are still capable of causing life-threatening flooding. Rains of similar magnitude killed 12 people there last weekend, and the soils are still saturated. However, potentially catastrophic flooding from Tomas is likely to be limited to Haiti's southwest peninsula, and we are not likely to see a massive flooding catastrophe killing hundreds of people in Haiti's earthquake zone. There will probably be some isolated regions of eastern Haiti and the western Dominican Republic that will see heavier rains of 4 - 8 inches; hopefully, the earthquake zone of Haiti will avoid being one of these spots of higher rainfall. I expect general rainfall amounts of 2 - 4 inches over eastern Jamaica and the western Dominican Republic from Tomas, with higher rainfall amounts of 3 - 6 inches likely over eastern Cuba, the Turks and Caicos Islands, southeastern Bahamas, and eastern tip of Cuba.


Figure 2. Predicted rain amounts for the 18-hour period ending at 8pm EDT Thursday, November 4, 2010, as forecast using satellite-derived measurements of precipitation rates. Image credit: NOAA/NESDIS.


Figure 3. Predicted cumulative rainfall from Tomas as predicted by the 2am EDT (06Z) Thursday, November 4, 2010 run of the GFDL model. The model predicts no rainfall amounts in excess of 8 inches (yellow colors) for Haiti. Image credit: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL.

The computer models now agree that the trough of low pressure pulling Tomas northward will be strong enough to pull Tomas well north of the Bahamas, and the storm will not stall out near Hispaniola for many days as was being predicted by many of the models yesterday. Wind shear will rise to the high range, 20 - 30 knots, by Sunday, resulting in a steady weakening of Tomas.

Intensity forecast for Tomas
Tomas continues to have difficulty disentangling itself from an area of low pressure over the southwest Caribbean, and this low is acting to distort the circulation of Tomas into a more oval shape and make the circulation tilt with height. Recent satellite imagery suggests that the circulation of Tomas is becoming more circular and vertically aligned, though, and Tomas may be able to intensify into a minimal Category 1 hurricane before land interaction with Haiti disrupts the storm. Wind shear as predicted by the SHIPS model will remain in the moderate range, 10 - 15 knots, which should allow some modest intensification through Friday afternoon. NHC is giving Tomas a 41% chance of reaching hurricane strength by Friday afternoon.

Organizations Active in Haitian Relief Efforts:
Portlight disaster relief
Lambi Fund of Haiti
Haiti Hope Fund
Catholic Relief Services of Haiti

Next update
I'll have an update later today.

Yesterday's post on Haiti's hurricane history is now a permanent link in the "Articles of interest" section on our Tropical & Hurricane web page.

Jeff Masters

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406. barotropic
5. marraskuuta 2010 klo 11:03 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Reagardless of what the trip cost...You fellas took a beating Tuesday! It couldn't of happened to more derserving bunch. See ya Pelosi!!!1


Yeahhhh!! Now we can go back to times like the last year Bush was in office.......can't wait!!!!!! The election fixed everything!! LOL....

No more politics on the board.......

Member Since: 22.08.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 652
405. MahFL
5. marraskuuta 2010 klo 03:25 (GMT)
Oh dear, Thomas is getting stronger.
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
404. Skyepony (Mod)
5. marraskuuta 2010 klo 00:26 (GMT)
Big area~ 1/2 of Haiti, bit of Cuba & most the SE Bahamas expecting 20-30 ft waves.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
403. Skyepony (Mod)
5. marraskuuta 2010 klo 00:12 (GMT)
With the change in direction, Tomas is now moving with the shear. He's run his surface COC back under the moisture & blowing up as the sun goes down. I'm expecting a hurricane on the west tip of Haiti with Haiti catching the bad side by noon tomorrow.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
402. negriltracy
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:34 (GMT)
Rain coming down now in Beverly Hills, Kingston Jamaica
wall of greyish white to the sea but no wind yet
And away we go...!!!
Member Since: 16.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 48
401. scooster67
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:31 (GMT)
Amen
Member Since: 26.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 637
400. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:10 (GMT)
Time: 21:56:30Z
Coordinates: 16.7667N 73.9333W
Acft. Static Air Press: 697.2 mb (~ 20.59 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 3,124 meters (~ 10,249 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1001.8 mb (~ 29.58 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 167° at 33 knots (From the SSE at ~ 37.9 mph)
Air Temp: 9.5°C (~ 49.1°F)
Dew Pt: 9.2°C (~ 48.6°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 35 knots (~ 40.2 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 35 knots (~ 40.2 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 0 mm/hr (~ 0 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data

Closing in on Tomas again!
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
399. LightningCharmer
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:08 (GMT)
Law and order prevailing in preparations for Tomas in Haiti.

...An effort to move some 2,000 people from Corail was obstructed by camp dwellers worried that authorities were trying to permanently move them out.

More than 100 yelling youths broke tables set up by aid workers to process the evacuees from the tent and tarpaulin camp of some 7,700 people located at the base of several bare hills outside of the Haitian capital.


Source --- MSNBC
Member Since: 1.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1113
398. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:07 (GMT)
Quoting scooster67:
Crawling West or SE? make up your mind! Can't be both :)

LMAO!!! See now I have it moving NE, shifting my mind like how Tomas has shifted his centers :),jokes aside I'm really sorry for all those poor folks in the path of Tomas heavy rains and possibly winds!
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
397. reedzone
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 22:02 (GMT)
Tomas is starting to finally wrap some clouds around to the western side where it was exposed. There's a decent chance Tomas could wrap up into a minimal Hurricane tonight into the morning, guess we'll see. God has really spared Haiti from a major Hurricane, lots of prayers have been answered. It could have been worse. Which is one of the reasons I am who I am, a firm believer in Christ.

This is literally a miracle for those people, it could have been a major by now.


Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
396. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:58 (GMT)
Things starting to look bad fo Haiti, Tomas starting to move NE now!
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
395. reedzone
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:55 (GMT)
While Jeff9641 goes a bit overboard with Florida weather, he didn't do too bad on this storm. Sure, it's not a outbreak of severe weather, but there IS a slight risk of severe weather and the clouds are turning very dark over here, signaling a strong to severe storm just north of me. Surprised a warning isn't issued,it's quite windy and unstable, but we have a special weather statement.

Good job Jeff! :)
Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
394. DontAnnoyMe
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:31 (GMT)
Quoting burrokeet:
I live in the northeastern suburbs of Kingston, Jamaica - interestingly the weather here is still holding - partially overcast, and a bit of light drizzle, but that's it - no heavy rains, no breeze of any kind, mostly sunny for the last 2 days.



While others argue and prognosticate, I'll wish you good luck. Please keep us posted.
Member Since: 21.09.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
393. scooster67
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:26 (GMT)
Quoting stormpetrol:

no evidence of a northward movement, if anything in the last few loops it has drifted SE, JMO of course, HHs will confirm the location soon!
Crawling West or SE? make up your mind! Can't be both :)
Member Since: 26.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 637
392. snotly
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:17 (GMT)
Looks like the COC moves west then east in the visible loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
Member Since: 27.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 682
391. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 21:07 (GMT)
Quoting SQUAWK:


I think it is the "CAN YOU HEAR ME NOW!!!!!" factor.


Or the hundreds of millions in corporate money that was poured into the races without any type of required disclosure...I can't wait to hear all of the new and wonderful ideas that are going to be be presented by the new house.
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
390. SQUAWK
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:57 (GMT)
Quoting myway:


I hope we keep the Senate and White House 2 years from now. The largest gain since 1932 for any party just happened.


I think it is the "CAN YOU HEAR ME NOW!!!!!" factor.
Member Since: 9.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
389. sunlinepr
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:50 (GMT)
Comet Hartley 2: NASA rendezvous a success, even better pics on the way

A NASA spacecraft survived a rendezvous with a small comet Thursday, beaming pictures back to Earth that gave scientists a rare close-up view of its center.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20101104/ap_on_sc/us_sci_comet_encounter_7



Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
388. myway
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:45 (GMT)
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Still got the Senate and the White House...try harder next time...


I hope we keep the Senate and White House 2 years from now. The largest gain since 1932 for any party just happened.
Member Since: 28.05.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 446
387. Some1Has2BtheRookie
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:33 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
BTW...Did ya'll see the ratings for Tuesday nite? FOX smoked the other networks badly.....


See post #246
Member Since: 24.08.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4728
386. sunlinepr
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:29 (GMT)
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
385. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:28 (GMT)
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 20:19Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number: 21
Storm Name: Tomas (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 16
Observation Number: 13

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 20Z on the 4th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 16.5N 76.0W
Location: 116 miles (186 km) to the SSE (153°) from Kingston, Jamaica.
Marsden Square: 044 (About)

Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
997mb (29.44 inHg) Sea Level (Surface) 26.2°C (79.2°F) 24.8°C (76.6°F) 90° (from the E) 11 knots (13 mph)
1000mb -30m (-98 ft) Other data not available.
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 22.0°C (71.6°F) 21.6°C (70.9°F) 140° (from the SE) 6 knots (7 mph)
850mb 1,391m (4,564 ft) 18.8°C (65.8°F) 17.4°C (63.3°F) 35° (from the NE) 2 knots (2 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 19:59Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eye.

Splash Location: 16.46N 75.97W
Splash Time: 20:02Z

Release Location: 16.45N 75.96W
Release Time: 19:59:56Z

Splash Location: 16.46N 75.97W
Splash Time: 20:01:36Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 105° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 8 knots (9 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 135° (from the SE)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 844mb to 996mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 158 gpm - 8 gpm (518 geo. feet - 26 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 90° (from the E)
- Wind Speed: 11 knots (13 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 20801

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
997mb (Surface) 26.2°C (79.2°F) 24.8°C (76.6°F)
850mb 18.8°C (65.8°F) 17.4°C (63.3°F)
848mb 20.6°C (69.1°F) 18.1°C (64.6°F)
847mb 23.4°C (74.1°F) Approximately 8°C (46°F)
846mb 23.6°C (74.5°F) Approximately 7°C (45°F)
844mb 17.4°C (63.3°F) Approximately 4°C (39°F)

Significant Wind Levels...
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
997mb (Surface) 90° (from the E) 11 knots (13 mph)
850mb 35° (from the NE) 2 knots (2 mph)
849mb 140° (from the SE) 8 knots (9 mph)
844mb 165° (from the SSE) 1 knots (1 mph)
The highest wind observed in the "Significant Wind Levels" section is noted in bold.

---
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
384. islander101010
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:27 (GMT)
Quoting MahFL:
Looks to me the old coc is being absorbed and a new one forming further WSW.
something going on not sure if the origional ciruclation of thomas still exist
Member Since: 11.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4018
383. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:25 (GMT)
WOW , another aircraft in the air from St Croix to check out Tomas!!
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
382. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:18 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
BTW...Did ya'll see the ratings for Tuesday nite? FOX smoked the other networks badly.....


who cares?
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
381. sunlinepr
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:18 (GMT)
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
380. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:18 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Reagardless of what the trip cost...You fellas took a beating Tuesday! It couldn't of happened to more derserving bunch. See ya Pelosi!!!1


Still got the Senate and the White House...try harder next time...
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
379. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:16 (GMT)
I think the way the center is moving now, it is getting ready for that NNE turn, JMO.
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
378. kimoskee
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:11 (GMT)
Quoting stormpetrol:
Time: 19:52:00Z
Coordinates: 16.2167N 75.75W
Acft. Static Air Press: 843.6 mb (~ 24.91 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,433 meters (~ 4,701 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 993.1 mb (~ 29.33 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 222° at 8 knots (From the SW at ~ 9.2 mph)
Air Temp: 21.3°C (~ 70.3°F)
Dew Pt: 5.3°C (~ 41.5°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 14 knots (~ 16.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 23 knots (~ 26.4 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 1 mm/hr (~ 0.04 in/hr)

Not sure but this looks to be the new center, though not tagged yet, moving ESE if this is indeed the case? What a weird Storm!


When this is all over, I hope NHC does a special analysis of Tomas. He has been an enigma
Member Since: 17.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 672
377. PensacolaDoug
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:11 (GMT)
BTW...Did ya'll see the ratings for Tuesday nite? FOX smoked the other networks badly.....
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
376. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:11 (GMT)
Highs in the low 70's, lows in the 40's this weekend!! Getting lots of rain the last few days...GREAT weather week for Southwest Florida. Not so much for Haiti I fear...

Hey Press, are you down there now or between trips?
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
375. remembercleo
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:10 (GMT)
Quoting TropicalMan2010:
i see it actually look at the orange curved band
it's hard to discern..the radar loop's images are one hour apart. it's just a curved area until next picture arrives..the overall organization of Tomas according to this radar is a MESS.
Member Since: 2.11.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
374. PensacolaDoug
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:10 (GMT)
Reagardless of what the trip cost...You fellas took a beating Tuesday! It couldn't of happened to more derserving bunch. See ya Pelosi!!!1
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
373. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:07 (GMT)
Time: 19:52:00Z
Coordinates: 16.2167N 75.75W
Acft. Static Air Press: 843.6 mb (~ 24.91 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,433 meters (~ 4,701 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 993.1 mb (~ 29.33 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 222° at 8 knots (From the SW at ~ 9.2 mph)
Air Temp: 21.3°C (~ 70.3°F)
Dew Pt: 5.3°C (~ 41.5°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 14 knots (~ 16.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 23 knots (~ 26.4 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 1 mm/hr (~ 0.04 in/hr)

Not sure but this looks to be the new center, though not tagged yet, moving ESE if this is indeed the case? What a weird Storm!
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
372. roleli
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 20:02 (GMT)
Light rain in parts of kingston right now.... See live camera feed here Live Feed from the GLeaner Building Kingston Jamaica
Member Since: 12.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 61
370. stormpetrol
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:55 (GMT)
Time: 18:21:00Z
Coordinates: 16.9333N 75.8167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 842.9 mb (~ 24.89 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,491 meters (~ 4,892 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1003.2 mb (~ 29.62 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 120° at 26 knots (From the ESE at ~ 29.9 mph)
Air Temp: 13.8°C (~ 56.8°F)
Dew Pt: 2.5°C (~ 36.5°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 30 knots (~ 34.5 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 46 knots (~ 52.9 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 13 mm/hr (~ 0.51 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data
Member Since: 29.04.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7506
368. remembercleo
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:53 (GMT)
no center observed on Jamaica radar 300 mile range
Member Since: 2.11.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
367. jurakantaino
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:48 (GMT)
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


This storm has already caused death and destruction in its path and these people were NOT fishing.
Not a fish storm a very destructive killer hurricane the worst one so far of the 2010 season 14 death blame in St. Lucia, his name likely to be taken from the list...!!!
Member Since: 31.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 730
366. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:48 (GMT)
Quoting DoverWxwatchter:
\

Obama's trip does NOT cost $200 million dollars a day or anything close to that.


It does on Faux News...
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
365. hurricanejunky
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:47 (GMT)
Quoting Neapolitan:

A completely baseless fabrication. That's what happens when sources of "news"--Limbaugh, Drudge, MarketWatch, et al--fail to do even the most basic fact checking. The initial figure came from an unnamed "top official" in an Indian newspaper.

(In case you're wondering, if there really were 3,000 people going and the US picked up the tab for all of them, that would be $66,000 per person per day...not a likely figure.)

Don't believe everything you read. Please...


Michelle "La La Land" Bachmann said so...so it must be true! I think the impeachment proceedings will be starting soon too...cue Twilight Zone music here...
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
364. sunlinepr
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:46 (GMT)
At least, 3 days ago, the spectation was a Cat. 2-3 on a direct hit over Haiti... Now we have a trop. storm, mostly over seas between Haiti & Jamaica with 50-60 mph winds.... Though it will bring lots of rain, we still hope for the best....
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
362. Skyepony (Mod)
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:44 (GMT)
On the rgb loop the center can be seen making a little circle (yellow) at the surface while the upper level circulation has become detached. The afternoon is kicking in too keeping a check on the new convection.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
361. remembercleo
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:42 (GMT)
Current Weather Conditions:
Port-Au-Prince / Aeroport International, Haiti
(MTPP) 18-34N 072-18W 34M

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conditions at Nov 04, 2010 - 03:00 PM EDTNov 04, 2010 - 02:00 PM CDTNov 04, 2010 - 01:00 PM MDTNov 04, 2010 - 12:00 PM PDTNov 04, 2010 - 11:00 AM ADTNov 04, 2010 - 10:00 AM HDT
2010.11.04 1900 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 23 MPH (20 KT) gusting to 35 MPH (30 KT)
Visibility 4 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Weather Light rain
Temperature 82 F (28 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 74%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.7 in. Hg (1005 hPa)
ob MTPP 041900Z 09020G30KT 7000 -RA FEW005 SCT024 OVC060 28/23 Q1006 A2970

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 3 PM (19) Nov 04 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.7 (1005) E 23 light rain
2 PM (18) Nov 04 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.73 (1006)
1 PM (17) Nov 04 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.79 (1008) E 21
Noon (16) Nov 04 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.78 (1008) E 21
11 AM (15) Nov 04 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.79 (1008) E 18
10 AM (14) Nov 04 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.79 (1008) E 16
9 AM (13) Nov 04 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.78 (1008) E 14
8 AM (12) Nov 04 78 (26) 71 (22) 29.78 (1008) E 14
Member Since: 2.11.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
359. sunlinepr
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:41 (GMT)
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9656
358. GeoffreyWPB
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:39 (GMT)
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10587
357. MahFL
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:39 (GMT)
Looks to me the old coc is being absorbed and a new one forming further WSW.
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
356. AWeatherLover
4. marraskuuta 2010 klo 19:39 (GMT)
Baton Rouge, Louisiana (PWS)
Clear
66.6 °F
Humidity: 23%
Dew Point: 28 °F
Wind: 7.3 mph from the ENE
Wind Gust: 7.8 mph
Pressure: 29.85 in (Steady)

It's cold and going to get colder! Not looking forward to it. I prefer tropical temps.
Member Since: 2.11.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 431

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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