Baja braces for Patricia; California getting soaked; contact your Senator

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:58 (GMT)

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In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Patricia is gathering strength, and should bring at least tropical storm force winds to Mexico's Baja Peninsula Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Latest satellite loops of Patricia show that the storm has developed an impressive burst of heavy thunderstorms with very cold cloud tops. Patricia is in an environment of low wind shear (5 - 10 knots) and warm sea surface temperatures (29°C), and these conditions are expected to change little over the next 48 hours. This may give Patricia enough time to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane, as predicted by the latest 2am EDT runs of the GFDL and HWRF models. While most of the computer models indicate that Patricia will turn to the west out to sea Wednesday as the storm makes its closest approach to Baja, the HWRF model predicts the storm will grow large and strong enough to be influenced by a trough of low pressure to the north, and track into the Gulf of California and make landfall in mainland Mexico.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Patricia.

Typhoon Melor's remains poised to soak California
The remains of Super Typhoon Melor, which hit Japan last week, are just off the California coast this morning, and are poised to deliver record rains to the northern portion of the state tonight through Wednesday. Meteorologist Dr. Rob Carver in our San Francisco office is predicting in his blog that he'll need a kayak to commute into work tomorrow, and the Sierras are expecting several feet of snow and 120 mph winds.

Destructive Tropical Storm Parma making its fourth landfall
Tropical Storm Parma, which traversed the northern portion of the Philippines' Luzon Island three times last week, is making a fourth landfall today over China's Hainen Island. The death toll from Parma's rains has now exceeded 300, on top of the 300 killed in the Philippines from Typhoon Ketsana two weeks prior. Most of Parma's victims were in the mountainous Cordillera region, where more than 40 landslides killed 227 people. Parma dumped over 26 inches of rain in a one-week period over the mountain town of Baguio.

Contact your Senators today on tomorrow's vote to slash NOAA funding
As I reported in Saturday's post, I urge all of you who value the services provided by the National Weather Service and their parent organization, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), to contact your two Senators and ask them to vote against the Senator Hutchison (R-TX) Amendment #2666 to the Commerce State Justice Appropriations Act for 2010 H.R. 2847. This amendment will be voted on this Tuesday, October 13, by the Senate, and would cut the NOAA budget by $172 million. The funds would be diverted to the State Criminal Alien Assistance Program, to increase its budget by 75%. While I'm sure the State Criminal Alien Assistance Program is a worthy program to support, Congress should find a different way to fund this program. NOAA's total budget is about $4 billion, and the National Weather Service Budget is a little less than $1 billion. The only place where NOAA has the flexibility to absorb the proposed cuts would be in the satellite program. With the QuickSCAT satellite likely to fail in the next few months, and the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) satellite also nearing its demise, the last thing we should be doing is cutting NOAA's budget in time when our capability to observe the weather from space is suffering from serious degradation.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss, and none of the computer models are calling for tropical storm formation over the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

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538. AwakeInMaryland
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:34 (GMT)
Good morning. Dr. Masters has posted a new blog, everyone.
Member Since: 19.08.2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
537. Orcasystems
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:30 (GMT)
Blog Update
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
535. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:57 (GMT)
Well, off to work for me. Catch ya'll on the flip side...
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
534. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:48 (GMT)
Here ya go..."I Don't Need No Doctor". Not the cut from the Fillmore album, but still very cool...
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
533. pearlandaggie
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:33 (GMT)
532. very punny! LOL
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
532. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:33 (GMT)
Quoting pearlandaggie:
525. wow, that's pretty darn cool. thanks!


Pretty dam cool, eh?
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
531. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:30 (GMT)
Quoting IKE:


Congrats Tornadodude.

Speaking of Frampton. Great version of Do You Feel Like We Do......with the late John Siomos on drums and late Bob Mayo on keyboards.

Now back to the weather.


Thanks Ike, listening now...
One of my favorite albums is Humble Pie's "Rockin' the Fillmore". From Wikipedia: "This hour-long set boasted only one original song and a handful of cover tunes, beefed up and presented Humble Pie-style. Peter Frampton's guitar playing was at its most melodic and Steve Marriott's vocals are captured here in essence and preserved."
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
530. pearlandaggie
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:27 (GMT)
525. wow, that's pretty darn cool. thanks!
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
529. superpete
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:26 (GMT)
Quoting Weather456:
Good Morning

Blog Update

California system; Patricia nears Baja; Volcano spews ash; Quiet in the Atlantic
Thanks for the update 456.I actually saw the smoke from Montserat yesterday on visible satellite,but thought it was just clouds streaming away to the west there
Member Since: 10.10.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 615
528. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:17 (GMT)
Quoting mikatnight:
Hey, I just heard Tornadodude got a job in the weather department at Purdue. Congrats to TD!


Congrats Tornadodude.

Speaking of Frampton. Great version of Do You Feel Like We Do......with the late John Siomos on drums and late Bob Mayo on keyboards.

Now back to the weather.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
527. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:15 (GMT)
Poor sleepy blog...

Well I got more than one comment on the Spirit song "Nature's Way" yesterday, so in the same spirit, here's some "Fresh Garbage"...

"...Look beneath your lid some morning,
See those things you didn't quite consume—
The world's a can for
Your fresh garbage..."

Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
526. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:10 (GMT)
Hey, I just heard Tornadodude got a job in the weather department at Purdue. Congrats to TD!
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
525. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:03 (GMT)
Not exactly weather related, but interesting…

The Hoover Dam Bypass:
The bridge will carry a new section of US Route 93 past the bottleneck of the old road which can be seen twisting and winding around and across the dam itself. When complete, it will provide a new link between the states of Nevada and Arizona. In an incredible feat of engineering, the road will be supported on the two massive concrete arches which jut out of the rock face. The arches are made up of 53 individual sections each 24 feet long which have been cast on-site and are being lifted into place using an improvised high-wire crane strung between temporary steel pylons.
The arches will eventually measure more than 1,000 feet across. At the moment, the structure looks like a traditional suspension bridge. But once the arches are complete, the suspending cables on each side will be removed. Extra vertical columns will then be installed on the arches to carry the road. The bridge has become known as the Hoover Dam bypass, although it is officially called the Mike O'Callaghan-Pat Tillman Memorial Bridge, after a former governor of Nevada and an American Football player from Arizona who joined the US Army and was killed in Afghanistan. Work on the bridge started in 2005 and should finish next year. An estimated 17,000 cars and trucks will cross it every day.
The dam was started in 1931 and used enough concrete to build a road from New York to San Francisco. The stretch of water it created, Lake Mead, is 110 miles long and took six years to fill. The original road was opened at the same time as the famous dam in 1936.

An extra note: The top of the white band of rock in Lake Mead is the old waterline prior to the drought and development in the Las Vegas area. It is over 100 feet above the current water level.

Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
524. pearlandaggie
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:56 (GMT)
It may be a cold winter here in the U.S.
Forecasters flip-flopping on O.C.’s El Nino forecast

From Joe D'Aleo:


See the latest anomalies. The waters in the eastern areas have cooled, while warming has concentrated in the central Tropical Pacific. If that configuration remains into the winter, that is a cold signal for the east in January. Cold PDO El Ninos tend to be relatively weak and tend to end early, as Dr. Patzert, one of the best El Nino forecasters because he considers the condition in whole Pacific, said, it could be an El Fizzle.
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
523. PensacolaDoug
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:52 (GMT)
Mobile NWS

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA WEDNESDAY BRINGING
ANOTHER GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.
ANOTHER FINAL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST ON
THURSDAY WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH
AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL FINALLY
PUSH A COLD FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY FRIDAY. IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT...A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS FINALLY ARRIVES
JUST IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND. AFTER ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER 60S
INLAND TO LOW 70S ALONG THE COAST. MEANWHILE LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
MID AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW 50S ALONG THE COAST. A WEAK RETURN
FLOW WILL SET UP BY MONDAY ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE
MID 70S./13
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
522. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:46 (GMT)
As Peter Frampton says....Hello San Francisco!


San Francisco, California (Airport)
Updated: 49 min 47 sec ago
Rain
61 F
Rain
Humidity: 75%
Dew Point: 53 F
Wind: 15 mph from the SE
Pressure: 29.55 in (Falling)
Visibility: 7.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds:
Few 2900 ft
Mostly Cloudy 3700 ft
Overcast 4500 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 10 ft


Today
Very windy. Rain. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts to around 60 mph.

Tonight
Very windy. Rain in the evening...then showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts to around 60 mph. Winds decreasing to 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
521. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:43 (GMT)
Quoting SQUAWK:
Here ya go Ike, from the DC forecast.

ALTHOUGH MINIMA XPCD TO BE IN MID
30S EACH MRNG OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS W OF BLUE RIDGE...TEMP PROFILES
LOOK MOST SUPPORTIVE OF RAIN/SNOW MIX FRI NGT/SAT MRNG WITH ENHANCED
NLY FLOW. GRIDS REFLECT WINTER PRECIP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH TOO
MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO INTRODUCE RN/SN MIX ON WED NGT OR THU NGT ATTM.

Looks like it is gonna get cold early this year up here too.


Build you a snowman.


Quoting mikatnight:
Mornin' Ike -
Sleepin on the blog again?


Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
520. mikatnight
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:39 (GMT)
Mornin' Ike -
Sleepin on the blog again?
Member Since: 18.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
519. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:36 (GMT)


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
518. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:12 (GMT)
Quoting stoormfury:
this feature east of the islands , is it a stalled surface trough? or a tilted tropical wave?


BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 8N50W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT.
WAVE REMAINS TILTED WITH SMALL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS SPINNING
OFF TO THE NE CAUGHT UP IN AN UPPER TROUGH. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A LOW AMPLITUDE AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE IN THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY WITH SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS
INDICATING A CYCLONIC CURVATURE EXTENDING AS FAR N AS 18N42W.
THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
516. stoormfury
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:58 (GMT)
this feature east of the islands , is it a stalled surface trough? or a tilted tropical wave?
Member Since: 22.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2552
515. Cavin Rawlins
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:51 (GMT)
Good Morning

Blog Update

California system; Patricia nears Baja; Volcano spews ash; Quiet in the Atlantic
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
514. aquak9
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:50 (GMT)
Yeah I'm on the JAX coast. Inland temps can often be 10 degrees or more different from me.

DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AND TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO SEASONABLE LEVELS WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S AND MIN
TEMPS IN THE 40S INLAND AND 50S ALONG THE COAST.

That's for after Saturday. either way it will be a pleasant change. You seem to get the same stuff i get, just a day or two sooner.
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25489
513. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:35 (GMT)
Quoting aquak9:
whoa. your low temps are WAY lower than mine, Ike.


Aren't you around JAX,FL?

Usually my temperature doesn't get as low as forecast.

Marine forecast from Mobile,AL...

"MARINE...WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA ARE MOSTLY SOUTHEAST LESS THAN
10 KNOTS EVERYWHERE BUT THE NORTHERN END OF MOBILE BAY AND MOST
LIKELY THE FLORIDA BAYS. THESE AREAS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AS THE
STATIONARY FRONT DRIFTS NORTH TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RETROGRADES WEST ACROSS
THE GULF. A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL SLIDE EASTERLY ALONG THE COAST
FROM LOUISIANA TO NORTH FLORIDA ON THURSDAY...KEEPING THE WINDS WEST
TO NORTHWEST UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OVER
THE NORTH GULF AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW MOVES EAST AND A STRONG
NORTHERLY WIND WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. A
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL LAG THE
INCREASING WINDS BY A FEW HOURS BUT EXPECT TO SEE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS BY FRIDAY...IF NOT THURSDAY NIGHT. CHANCES OF
RAIN WILL DIMINISH AND END AS THE NORTHERLY WINDS BRING DRIER AIR
INTO THE AREA."
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
512. aquak9
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:30 (GMT)
whoa. your low temps are WAY lower than mine, Ike.
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25489
511. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:29 (GMT)
Quoting aquak9:
g'morning all

Ike- dare I hope? A high of 76º for Saturday??

and we might see rain? -that means you, too-



I got more rain last night.

Weekend forecast.....

Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 70.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 70.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
510. aquak9
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:28 (GMT)
g'morning all

Ike- dare I hope? A high of 76º for Saturday??

and we might see rain? -that means you, too-

Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25489
509. BahaHurican
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 09:24 (GMT)
Morning, all. Looks like winter already.... pity outside temps don't bear out the look...



Member Since: 25.10.2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20686
508. SQUAWK
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 08:40 (GMT)
Here ya go Ike, from the DC forecast.

ALTHOUGH MINIMA XPCD TO BE IN MID
30S EACH MRNG OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS W OF BLUE RIDGE...TEMP PROFILES
LOOK MOST SUPPORTIVE OF RAIN/SNOW MIX FRI NGT/SAT MRNG WITH ENHANCED
NLY FLOW. GRIDS REFLECT WINTER PRECIP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH TOO
MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO INTRODUCE RN/SN MIX ON WED NGT OR THU NGT ATTM.

Looks like it is gonna get cold early this year up here too.
Member Since: 9.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
507. IKE
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 08:22 (GMT)
Tallahassee,FL. long-term....

LONG TERM...THU NIGHT THROUGH TUE.
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE SERN U.S.
LATE IN THE WEEK...REACHING IS GREATEST AMPLITUDE AS ITS AXIS
CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA ON SUN. AT 72 HOURS (00Z FRI)...THE 00Z
NAM AND GFS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF MOBILE BAY.
BY 12Z FRI...THIS WAVE IS APPROACHING THE NE FL COAST WITH THE FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE FL BIG BEND. BY 18Z FRI...THE FRONT SHOULD BE
WELL S OF THE AREA OVER CENTRAL FL. LIKELY POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE CONTINUES TO PROMISE THE
LONG AWAITED RETURN OF AUTUMN TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION. TEMPS WILL
BE BELOW AVERAGE FRI AND FRI NIGHT FOR THE FIRST TIME IN TWO WEEKS.
A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FOLLOW A DRY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SUN WILL BE THE COOLEST
DAY OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S N TO LOWER 70S S AND
MORNING LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S INLAND. A SLOW MODERATING TREND
WILL COMMENCE MON AND CONTINUE INTO TUE AS THE TROUGH LIFTS AWAY AND
ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE BUILDS EWD ACROSS THE SERN CONUS.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
506. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 07:18 (GMT)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Disturbance Summary (0600z 13OCT)
===================================================
An area of convection (94W) located at 11.0N 161.8E or 380 NM west-northwest of Kwajalein Atoll. Animtaed multispectral satellite imagery shows a broad region of inflow towards an elongated circulation. Convection has been persistent but disorganized over the area for the past 6-12 hours. A 0234z AQUA-1 Pass shows sporadic convection and indications of low level banding beginning to form. Upper level analysis indicates an upper level anticyclone is located over the circulation, helping to provide good radial outflow for the area. Additionally, vertical wind shear is low, sea surface temperatures, and ocean heat content are favorable for development.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1006. Based on a broad circulation that is beginning to consolidate, good vertical wind shear, and favorable sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, the potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is FAIR.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
505. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 06:46 (GMT)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #38
TROPICAL STORM NEPARTAK (T0919)
15:00 PM JST October 13 2009
==========================================

Subject: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Nepartak (992 hPa) located at 30.5N 153.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The storm is reported as movng northeast at 31 knots

RSMC Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
==================
150 NM from the center in east quadrant
120 NM from the center in west quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
====================
24 HRS: 37.3N 162.8E - Extratropical
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
504. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 06:41 (GMT)
LOW (Former Melor) 44N 139W 977 MB MOVING E 20 KT

very good tman that is the pressure I see as well from the High Sea Warnings for the Pacific Ocean
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
502. tornadodude
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 06:03 (GMT)
Quoting ElConando:
What a game MIAMI WINS WHOOOOOOOOOO!!!


That was a crazy game, hey all
Member Since: 28.06.2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8185
501. Orcasystems
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:55 (GMT)


Seismic Monitor

AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments


Night all :)
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
500. tmangray
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:51 (GMT)
On a weather note, the L in the Pacific developing off the W Coast, containing the remnants of Melor, is down to 977MB. Looks like the Sub-Tropical Jet is feeding W PAC moisture from TS Nepartak's neck of the wood straight into the system. I'll just call this one the "Guam" Express, instead of a "Pineapple Express" system.

The W PAC is alive with TS Parma and TS Nepartak. The E PAC has TS Patricia. I was never good at second languages, so I'll stay out of that fight!>>>>>>>

It's 10:45 local time (Pacific) and the warm front leading the blob that was Melor is closing on the CA coast. The pre-frontal winds began picking up about an hour ago, in the 25 mph range with gusts to about 30. No rain all day long, but threatening skies. Offshore buoys show phenomenal drops and seas kicking up. Once the warm front passes, the winds will really crank and the tropical torrent will open up. Could get interesting tomorrow.
499. Orcasystems
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:39 (GMT)
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
498. KoritheMan
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:39 (GMT)
Quoting xcool:







Now that is an El Nino...
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19117
497. Orcasystems
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:32 (GMT)
Energy crisis is postponed as new gas rescues the world
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
495. floridafisherman
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:17 (GMT)
ich verwirklichte nicht, dass es 1 morgens war. Zeit, den Sack zu schlagen!

translation: i didnt realise it was 1 am here and its time for me to hit the sack!
Member Since: 28.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 547
493. floridafisherman
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:09 (GMT)
that 916 mb low was pretty strong.

to put it in perspective, here are the lowest measured pressures for some famous atlantic hurricanes:

andrew-922 mb
ivan-910 mb
hugo-918 mb
ike-935 mb
charlie-941 mb
Member Since: 28.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 547
492. xcool
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:00 (GMT)





Member Since: 26.09.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15603
491. floridafisherman
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:59 (GMT)
that jan10th europe low formed almost 2 months before our 1993 'storm of the century'. i wonder if 93 had more deepening lows than normal years and if this was caused by jet stream path changes.
Member Since: 28.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 547
489. PensacolaDoug
13. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:45 (GMT)
GO FISH!!!!
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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