hurricaneben's WunderBlog: Covering Atlantic & EPAC Basins Since '09

Posted by: hurricaneben, 18. kesäkuuta 2013 klo 18:31 (GMT) +0
It's not over for portions of Central America such as Honduras and Belize that are being affected by Tropical Depression Two's heavy flooding rainfall. While the depression has weakened since landfall, its relatively slow movement is helping produce all these heavy rainfall over the same areas and total rainfall amounts may exceed 10 inches for Belize, Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala and Southern Mexico. With winds near 30 MPH, there is the potential for some re-intensification once it emerges into the southern Bay Of Campeche but with that said, it's only a 24-hour window of opportunity which is decent but with the terrain that may take its toll on the system, it's not likely that we will see 'Barry' before a final landfall in southern Mexico Thursday however there remains the potential. Otherwise the tropics remain fairly quiet and I'll have an update tomorrow.
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Posted by: hurricaneben, 17. kesäkuuta 2013 klo 18:17 (GMT) +0
The second tropical cyclone of the Atlantic hurricane season has formed right off of Belize and NW Honduras. Not much strengthening is forecast as it is just hours away from landfall in Belize. Rainfall of 2 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts near 5 inches, may lead to localized flash flooding but even the flooding concern isn't that substantial. It is just a depression with winds around 35 MPH but some strengthening may occur due to lower wind shear once it enters ...
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Posted by: hurricaneben, 16. kesäkuuta 2013 klo 22:24 (GMT) +0
An area of disturbed weather identified as Invest 93L has shown signs of organization in the past 24 hours. It is not far off from TD status but because it is about to move into Central America in the next 12 hours, development into such is rather unlikely in the short term. However it is quite likely that by Tuesday or so, the system will re-emerge into the Southern Bay Of Campeche before a final impact in Mainland Mexico and there, there is the higher possibility ...
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Posted by: hurricaneben, 14. kesäkuuta 2013 klo 20:12 (GMT) +0
The tropics remain quiet across the Atlantic basin and Eastern Pacific without any considerable areas of interest to discuss. The models were previously calling for potential development towards the Bay Of Campeche sometime in the next week but has pretty much backed up since. A weak tropical wave may make its way towards the Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico towards the middle of next week anyway but isn't a valid candidate for short term development due to high wind she...
Categories:Hurricane Fire
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Posted by: hurricaneben, 12. kesäkuuta 2013 klo 22:15 (GMT) +0
A 'high' risk of severe weather has been declared by the SPC for Northern Indiana, Northern Illinois and western Ohio late this afternoon and tonight due to an imminent outbreak of severe weather. This is the first 'high' risk of severe weather in 2013--this should be looked at a serious threat as the area most affected by the severe weather outbreak is fairly densely populated and includes Chicago and its suburbs. A derecho type event with widespread damaging winds...
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