Angela's Blog

Winter Solstice: A Time to Celebrate
Posted by: Angela Fritz, 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 19:23 (GMT) +10


Tomorrow, December 22nd, is the Winter Solstice: the shortest day of the year, and what we like to refer to as the first day of winter.

But what does that really mean? Hasn't winter already started? In the U.S., it came in with a bang but has since tapered off to a whimper. One week ago, on December 14th, the only place that fell below zero was Big Piney, Wyoming with a low of -2°F. That's pretty mild for December in the lower 48!

But in Europe, winter has already taken its toll. Last week, winter storm "Joachim" tore through western Europe, leaving as much as 5 feet of snow in its wake. Joachim's lowest central pressure got down to 963.8mb, and wind gusts up to 105mph (175 kph) were recorded.

From Christopher C. Burt's blog on Joachim:

Widespread wind damage in northern France brought down power lines resulting in 400,000 homes losing electricity. A large Maltese cargo ship, the TK Bremen, was washed ashore by 25-foot English Channel seas landing on the coast of Brittany. The crew was safe but some 200 tons of fuel oil leaked from the vessel.


So why do we wait so long to declare winter?

The first day of "meteorological winter" is December 1. Meteorologists like to break the year up into three-month chunks, which happen to coincide with the four seasons. Winter, for us, is December, January, and February. But traditionally, the rest of the world declares that winter begins on this, the shortest day of the year.

At 12:30am ET (5:30am GMT) on December 22, the sun is directly over the Tropic of Capricorn, which is 23.5 degrees south of the equator. For the Northern Hemisphere, the sun on this day is at the lowest point from in the sky for the entire year. The word "solstice" comes from the Latin word "solstitium," which literally means "the sun is standing."


During the Northern Hemisphere's Winter Solstice, the sun is centered over the Tropic of Capricorn—23.5° south. (Image source: Wikipedia)


For places in the Southern Hemisphere like Australia, Chile, Brazil, and southern Africa, it's the longest day of the year, and they're (usually) basking in warm summer weather.

But for us in the Northern Hemisphere, we're trying to get through a brutal winter that's only just started. Although the days will get longer from now until June, we won't see the temperatures and snow turn the corner until March. That's because temperature tends to lag the amount of sunlight we receive. The lowest temperatures are recorded about a month after the winter solstice, and the highest temperatures about a month after the summer solstice in the third week of June.

It's no surprise that many of our most important festivals and celebrations fall close to the winter solstice. It's the time when the nights get shorter and the days get longer, and culturally it symbolizes rebirth. Today begins the trend of longer days, shorter nights, and the migration of the Sun back to the Northern Hemisphere.

So, there's something to help you get through the rest of winter. Summer is just around the corner.

Angela
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1. airman45 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 20:04 (GMT)    
Am I correct in calculating the height of the noon sun above the horizon on Dec 22nd at my latitude?

Latitude 48.5 degrees north (southern Germany)
90 degrees-48.5=41.5.
41.5-23.5 (sun south of the equator)=18.
So the noon sun on Dec 22nd is only 18 degrees above the horizon. It does look like a late afternoon sun.
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2. airman45 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 20:08 (GMT)    
Joachim was quite a storm. Measured 978 mb (28.85 inches) at my house and I was a ways south of the center. Lowest I've ever seen here. Wind gusts were 52 mph at Stuttgart airport. Higher elevations in the Alps had over 100 mph gusts.
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3. Some1Has2BtheRookie 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 20:09 (GMT)    
I live for the Sun and I welcome its gradual return to more dominance in the northern hemisphere.

Nice visual. I sometimes forget that the Equator also tilts. Illogical, I know. Perhaps "old timers disease" plays a part in this? ... I just can't seem to remember if that is the case or not.
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4. presslord 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:33 (GMT)    
This. is. my. favorite. day. of. the. year.

Can we start a movement to abolish the time change?
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377
5. presslord 21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:35 (GMT)    
The word "solstice" comes from the Latin word "solstitium," which literally means "the sun is standing."


This, ladies and gentlemen, is a dead giveaway. I'll bet you a significant chunk of change that my girl went to Catholic school...
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6. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
21. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:46 (GMT)
   
Quoting airman45:
Am I correct in calculating the height of the noon sun above the horizon on Dec 22nd at my latitude?


Yep, that's right!
7. airman45 22. joulukuuta 2011 klo 13:56 (GMT)    
Thanks very much!
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8. 1911maker 22. joulukuuta 2011 klo 16:49 (GMT)    
Link

Happy winter solstice
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9. Patrap 22. joulukuuta 2011 klo 20:04 (GMT)    



Wishing you and Your's the Very Best this Christmas Season Angela, and thank you for all the Wunderful entries here..

Merry Christmas from Uptown NOLA


Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111626
10. Grothar 22. joulukuuta 2011 klo 20:58 (GMT)    
Angela, thanks for all your interesting posts this past year and the great images you post. Have a Happy Holiday.

Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19553
11. 1911maker 22. joulukuuta 2011 klo 22:39 (GMT)    
Angela,

I am curious what the atmospheric CO2 would be right now if the oceans had not been "sucking" some of it up. Do you have this info ready to hand?

thanks for any help you can provide, my Googling was not fruitful.............

have a good holiday.
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12. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
23. joulukuuta 2011 klo 17:32 (GMT)
   
Thank you all! I hope you all have a great holiday!

Quoting 1911maker:
Angela,

I am curious what the atmospheric CO2 would be right now if the oceans had not been "sucking" some of it up. Do you have this info ready to hand?

thanks for any help you can provide, my Googling was not fruitful.............

have a good holiday.


That's a great question. I remember seeing absorption charts at one point. It's a multi-variable curve, depends on temp of water, air, co2 concentration (even how much algae/co2 eating organisms are present), etc. But would be an interesting exercise to remove the oceans from the system and see what happens!
13. airman45 23. joulukuuta 2011 klo 19:00 (GMT)    
Hope it wouldn't turn us into Venus!
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14. 1911maker 23. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:12 (GMT)    
Angela, if you find those charts again please share. :)

This link was provided by Skyepony on Dr. M blog (thanks Sky)
HIPPO reveals climate surprises
Link

.....
Currently, land plants and the oceans absorb roughly half of all carbon dioxide emitted, notes Britton Stephens, a scientist with the National Center on Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. But details on which parts of which ecosystems do it, under what circumstances and how efficiently remains somewhat of an open book. Simply put: %u201CWe don%u2019t understand their behavior at the current time well enough to predict their behavior into the future,%u201D he says. ...............


This article gives me a rough answer to my question. It is the %u201CWe don%u2019t understand their behavior at the current time well enough to predict their behavior into the future,%u201D that is worrisome.

If those factors reach saturation, the atmospheric co2 goes up faster, assuming that the models use the current rate of absorption for predicting increases of CO2 in the air.
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15. AtHomeInTX 24. joulukuuta 2011 klo 15:31 (GMT)    
Thank you Angela. It's a nice warm story to read on this rainy, cold, dark Christmas Eve. I'll be a good sport. I know we need many more days of rain. But I am looking forward to more hours of light if not all out sunshine! Then again talk to me by the next solstice and I may have changed my tune. Lol. Enjoy the holidays.  :-)
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16. Some1Has2BtheRookie 24. joulukuuta 2011 klo 18:33 (GMT)    
I wish to thank each of you for your many splendid posts, knowledge, companionship and general great fun. The present I wish to give to us all is a Very Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays and may 2012 be the best year of your life. May we all remain safe, happy and well! .. I look forward to seeing each of you in the coming year. To my extended family, on this blog, all the best.

Merry Christmas, Angela!
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17. BaltimoreBrian 24. joulukuuta 2011 klo 18:41 (GMT)    
Merry Christmas and Merry Sol Invictus, Angela.
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18. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
25. joulukuuta 2011 klo 05:21 (GMT)
   
Quoting AtHomeInTX:
Thank you Angela. It's a nice warm story to read on this rainy, cold, dark Christmas Eve. I'll be a good sport. I know we need many more days of rain. But I am looking forward to more hours of light if not all out sunshine! Then again talk to me by the next solstice and I may have changed my tune. Lol. Enjoy the holidays.  :-)


I really do hope you get your rain!
19. spbloom 25. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:37 (GMT)    
Quoting 1911maker:
Angela, if you find those charts again please share. :)

This link was provided by Skyepony on Dr. M blog (thanks Sky)
HIPPO reveals climate surprises
Link

.....
Currently, land plants and the oceans absorb roughly half of all carbon dioxide emitted, notes Britton Stephens, a scientist with the National Center on Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. But details on which parts of which ecosystems do it, under what circumstances and how efficiently remains somewhat of an open book. Simply put: %u201CWe don%u2019t understand their behavior at the current time well enough to predict their behavior into the future,%u201D he says. ...............


This article gives me a rough answer to my question. It is the %u201CWe don%u2019t understand their behavior at the current time well enough to predict their behavior into the future,%u201D that is worrisome.

If those factors reach saturation, the atmospheric co2 goes up faster, assuming that the models use the current rate of absorption for predicting increases of CO2 in the air.


Just to be clear, that's *not* the assumption they make. Rather, they assume that the sink absorption rate will increase as the partial pressure of CO2 increases. So far that's how it's actually worked. If and when (well, when, I'm afraid) we start seeing substantial sink saturation (some is already happening on land), the rate of sink absorption will still be increasing, just not fast enough. Given the poor long-term outlook for the land sink (warming and drought not being so good for plants as it turns out), and the fact that based on past behavior ocean absorption will tend to pick up that slack (since as noted much of the the ocean absorption is basically a function of the partial pressure of CO2, and CO2 not absorbed by the land sinks will increase the partial pressure and so the ocean absorption rate), any sign of a reduction of the rate of absorption in the oceans is bad, bad news, so a very close eye is being kept on it. Such a change would not be expected to be even, and IIRC some recent research found early signs of it in the far southern Indian Ocean, but it seems to be not clear yet as to whether there's a long-term trend there.
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20. spbloom 25. joulukuuta 2011 klo 21:38 (GMT)    
Quoting Patrap:



Wishing you and Your's the Very Best this Christmas Season Angela, and thank you for all the Wunderful entries here..

Merry Christmas from Uptown NOLA




David Bowie and Bing Crosby together...

Is that a streetcar named Surreal, P? :)
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21. spbloom 25. joulukuuta 2011 klo 23:52 (GMT)    
Further to that, 1911maker, this gives a pretty good idea of the wringer the land sinks are about to be put through. Conversion from forest to savanna, savanna to grassland, grassland to desert, and tundra to shrub/grassland all involve major losses of carbon. For a recent close-up example of what this sort of thing looks like, notice how badly the TX tree population got hammered this year. There's nothing pretty about the conversion process.

I'm not really an Xmas-spirit type of person, but if I were this stuff would take it right out of me.
Member Since: 12.05.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 298
22. AtHomeInTX 27. joulukuuta 2011 klo 17:48 (GMT)    

Quoting angelafritz:


I really do hope you get your rain!

Thanks Angela! We got a good bit the last couple of days. Today, for the first time in many, the sun is shining brightly! It's up to 54 headed for the 60's and 70's later in the week. =)  It really is amazing the difference in temps when our side of the planet turns away from the sun. Hope your holidays are going well.
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23. Neapolitan 28. joulukuuta 2011 klo 13:26 (GMT)    
Angela, I see where you're quoted at length in this Christian Science Monitor article. Excellent!
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24. presslord 28. joulukuuta 2011 klo 14:24 (GMT)    
Quoting Neapolitan:
Angela, I see where you're quoted at length in this Christian Science Monitor article. Excellent!



and...the article also sticks it's finger firmly into the eye of Accuguess...
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25. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
29. joulukuuta 2011 klo 23:55 (GMT)
   
Yep, thanks! Sometimes it's a good idea to take a media request on your day off. :) The article was picked up a bunch of different places, including MSNBC and the Daily Mail. People love the fridge analogy... and so do I!
26. Patrap 30. joulukuuta 2011 klo 00:00 (GMT)    
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111626
27. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
30. joulukuuta 2011 klo 00:06 (GMT)
   
If you haven't seen it yet, check out Chris Burt's new blog on the Antarctica record warm temp.

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About angelafritz
Atmospheric Scientist here at Weather Underground, with serious nerd love for tropical cyclones and climate change. Twitter: @WunderAngela

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