An unusually early and violent tornado season

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12. toukokuuta 2008 klo 13:51 (GMT)

Share this Blog
2
+

An EF-4 tornado with winds of 166-175 mph swept through Oklahoma and Missouri Saturday, killing 21 people. Hardest hit were the towns of Picher, OK, where six died, and Seneca, MO, where ten died. The violent tornado was up to a mile wide. It's been an unusually early and violent tornado season in the U.S. There have been 905 tornadoes so far this year, a total usually not seen until late July (Figure 1). Saturday's deaths bring the 2008 U.S. tornado death toll up to 96--the most tornado fatalities since 1998, when 130 people died. With at least another month left in peak tornado season, 2008 ranks as the 12th deadliest year in the 59-year record. The Picher tornado was the sixth violent EF-4 tornado of the year.


Figure 1. Cumulative tornado activity in the U.S. through May 11, compared to average. This year's 905 tornadoes match the total usually seen by late July. Image credit: NOAA Storm Prediction Center.

Severe weather forecast
Severe weather is not expected today over the U.S., but more severe weather and tornadoes are expected Tuesday through Thursday in association with another powerful spring storm. The Weather Underground Severe Weather page and Tornado page are good places to go to follow the severe weather. Also, tune in to the chase accounts and awesome storm photos from Wunderblogger Mike Theiss. Mike is in Tornado Alley this week, performing his annual chase efforts.

Amazing video: why not to take shelter in your car during a tornado
If you haven't seen it, the video captured by a surveillance camera during the Leighton, Alabama tornado on May 8 is a stunning testimonial of why one should not try to escape a tornado using a car. The EF-2 tornado with winds of 111-135 mph picked up cars like toys and tossed them into the air. A large number of tornado deaths and injuries occur when people try to escape the twister in their car and get caught by the violent winds.

Jeff Masters

TORNADO (SunsetSailor)
11:05 am touched down on US Hiway 17 N and traveled approximately .5 mile on the ground turning over a covered utility trailer and breaking the tops out of many trees and then continued out into the marsh.I didn't even know I had caught it until I started processing images to upload here.
TORNADO
()
()

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 300 - 250

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

300. biff4ugo
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 13:48 (GMT)
Oddly, the tornado vid. Makes me want to get in one of those clear cusioned spheres that you walk inside and try to chase down an F1. If the sphere can take a fall from about 30ft, it might be a blast to ride one out in an open field without cars flying at you. THAT would be a cool vid.
Member Since: 28.12.2006 Posts: 113 Comments: 1496
299. biff4ugo
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 13:40 (GMT)
FLFreak

You may want to spell check you paper. coriolis effoect, or coreolis but not carreohwhatever.
I think gravity does not act like weather pressure systems since there is no up and down.

You may want to look at the TED.com talk on the African Einstein for newer gravity/space/big bang theories.

If you can draw conclulsions from you analogies, "like tornadoes in space" and then find them, That would be interesting.
Member Since: 28.12.2006 Posts: 113 Comments: 1496
298. ShenValleyFlyFish
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 13:11 (GMT)
From: Reuters

Rain lashes Myanmar cyclone survivors
Tue May 13, 2008 6:47am EDT

By Aung Hla Tun

YANGON (Reuters) - Heavy rains pelted homeless cyclone survivors in Myanmar's Irrawaddy delta on Tuesday, complicating already slow delivery of aid to more than 1.5 million people facing hunger and disease.

As more foreign aid trickled into the former Burma, critics ratcheted up the pressure on its military rulers to accelerate a relief effort that is only delivering an estimated one-tenth of the supplies needed in the devastated delta.

"The response of the regime in Burma to this crisis has been absolutely callous and those paying the price of this callousness have been the long-suffering Burmese people," Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd told parliament

Link to rest of story: REUTERS
Member Since: 9.09.2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
297. ShenValleyFlyFish
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 12:58 (GMT)
From BBC

Page last updated at 11:28 GMT, Tuesday, 13 May 2008 12:28 UK version


Burma continues to reject help


Burma's military government has said it is still opposed to letting foreign aid workers in to help the many victims of Cyclone Nargis.

Vice-Admiral Soe Thein, of the military leadership, said Burma was grateful for the aid shipment from the United States which arrived on Monday.

But he said that so far there was no need for aid workers.

The US has said it hopes to send in two more transport aircraft carrying aid later on Tuesday.

Two lorries carrying relief supplies overland have also now arrived in Rangoon.

But aid workers complain that much of the aid delivered over the past week has not reached those who need it, because the Burmese military insists on controlling most of the distribution - despite lacking the equipment and expertise to do it well.

They describe delivering supplies in the Irrawaddy Delta with dugout canoes, and say they are badly overstretched.

The rest of the story: BBC News
Member Since: 9.09.2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
296. Cazatormentas
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 12:43 (GMT)
JTWC has updated the info related to 96B...
http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/ab/abioweb.txt

Bad news for Myanmar, unfortunately... The only good thing is the system is close to land, and it should develop slowly if it occurs.

Anyway, in the satellite images, I can see deep convection over the end of the Irrawaddy River, the most affected area by NARGIS :/ Surely torrential rains are taking plase again over it and surrounding areas...
Member Since: 18.10.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 149
295. pearlandaggie
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 12:26 (GMT)
CLASSIC_STRONG_LA_NINA_EFFECTS
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
294. Cavin Rawlins
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 11:55 (GMT)
Broad Area of Showers

Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
293. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 08:47 (GMT)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (0800z 13May)
=============================================
An area of convection (96B) located near 15.7N 97.1E or 85 NM southeast of Yangon, Myanmar. Recent animated multispectral and water vapor satellite imagery shows flaring deep convection near a developing low level circulation center evident in a 0106z SSMI image. The disturbance lies slightly equatorward of a synoptic scale, upper level anticyclone with low to moderate vertical wind shear and favorable diffluence aloft.

Maximum sustained surface winds are at 15-20 knots with a sea level pressure of 1006 mb. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
291. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 07:09 (GMT)
RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India)

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (0600z 13May)
---------------------------------------
Broken intense to very intense convective clouds over Andaman Sea, Bay of Bengal between 10N to 20N east of 90E, North Andaman Sea, South Arakan coast, Gulf of Martban and adjoining Southern Myanmar in association with low level circulation over the area.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
290. trg5555
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 07:05 (GMT)
So, neutrino....

Did you forget to take your meds?
289. neutrino006
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 06:21 (GMT)
288. Tazmanian 04:40 AM GMT on mai 13, 2008:
it might be some reasons for volcanos waking up like this: first i'd like to say that it could be simple and natural, due to the cycle of our planet, but meanwhile, the galactic transition and alignement could be blamed for this. Also, the extreme weather could be connected to this as well...
But this is only my opinion, after more than two years of study and selecting the info that the www and media somehow "leaked". And now in entire world is a "doomsday" psihoze that makes me laugh :))) What could be so wrong to our planet to change? I don't understand why the human race is struggling to "preserve" the planet as is? It won't be possible! It's not a pickle that could be closed in a jar among the preservatives and a lots of "E"-s :)) If the planet changes, human changes too, and I don't see anythig wrong on that. And what if some cataclysmic events may occure? Not all the human race will be swept away. Everythig it has it's order and time and place, nothing is made by "mistake". Sorry for this offtopic, but I can't hold it back ;)
288. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 04:40 (GMT)
they are saying soon that the Ruapehu volcano in New Zealand go blow up


whats going on here ???


we go Ruapehu volcano Chaiten Volcano Mt. Etna the Ubinas, Peru Volcano and now they are saying that they now have Yellow Alert at Puyehue Volcano how could all the Volcano be waking up???

Link


some in has to be in the roots of all of this you this cant have evere Volcano blowing up at the same time
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
287. KarenRei
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 04:06 (GMT)
BahaHurican:

Actually, no. Of all places to be and have an interest in tropical weather, I live in Iowa :) I grew up in the Houston and Beaumont areas, though, and have a number of relatives along the gulf coast.

Terranova -- re, the GFS:

I've been watching that region -- mainly because it's had consistently low shear and reasonable SSTs. It's been all dry air so far, but looks like it'll finally get some convection. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
Member Since: 7.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 937
286. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:45 (GMT)
thats not good


by the way 96B now has a T # of 1.0
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
285. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:37 (GMT)
Taz nope.. the monsoon is affecting them now I suppose.

GFS model has this invest developing into "Abe" if the IMD names it of course and heads it northwest into Bangladesh/India region.

1200 UTC GFS model
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
284. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:35 (GMT)
aspectre:



like this?
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
283. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:29 (GMT)
some one take 96B out to sea they dont need it
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
282. aspectre
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:22 (GMT)
271. HadesGodWyvern "and for the NHC to use a 2005 cyclone as a test"

The NHC (and/or this site's program) came up with an entirely new tracking map of an "Ophelia" located ~100miles/~160kilometres due south of where the SouthCarolina-NorthCarolina border meets the Atlantic
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Edit: Ignore the above. Thought HadesGodWyvern had posted a different tracking map of a past TropicalStorm off of Florida's east coast.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
281. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:21 (GMT)
That area of disturbed weather near Myanmar has now been designated as 96B.INVEST.

Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
280. richteas
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:21 (GMT)
Hi Jeff:
That video of the cars being thrown around is incredible. I'm not sure how much difference there would be in the window glass now compared to cars made in the '60, but a tornado hit Belvedere Ill. years ago and there wasn't a bit of glass left any larger than a pencil eraser. The car was full of it, and I can't imagine being in that car as all that glass 'Imploded'! The cloth upholstery was shredded in places!
I've never forgotten it and that alone has kept me away from cars as protection!
Thanks again for bringing that video here!
Member Since: 10.07.2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 667
278. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:10 (GMT)
i dont know about any test but i myself have a couple of floaters on the area of disturb weather
track mark 39.9w/7.5n
floater 1 north atlantic rgb image
floater 2 south atlantic wv/enhanced 6.5 micron
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
277. TexasGulf
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:08 (GMT)
I'm a firm believer that hurricanes live up (or down) to their names. All of the really tough hurricanes had the NAME to go with it.

Hurricane Hugo - good name.
Carmen - Don't mess with people named Carmen.
Hurricane Elena - has a certain ring to it.
Katrina - A mean sounding name.
Opal - Looks good spray painted on boards.
Andrew - A leader's name, strong and smart.
Rita - A surly waitress

So with this in mind, we can predict the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane season.

Arthur - Smart, symetrical, small hurricane that avoids Texas (because Arthur isn't a Texas name). Arthur will end in the islands.

Bertha - Packs a mighty punch. Bertha is hispaniola bound. It will give people a suprise because Bertha is a suprising name.

Cristobal - Forms, then dies out in the ocean without hitting land. Cristobal can't be written easily on boards and T-shirts, so it can't hit land.

Dolly - The first hurricane that really will look good on signs and CNN newscasts, Dolly has to hit land somewhere in Florida. You will see lots of signs like "Hello, Dolly!" and other references to that play. Dolly will be a Cat-2.

Edouard - Nobody can spell Edouard, so it won't make landfall. Edouard will barely make tropical storm strength, then fade away.

Fay - Easy to spell, especially for people in Mississippi and Alabama where it should make landfall as a mid Cat-1. Fay is a rainmaker and has a certain flair for showmanship.

Gustav - Being French, Gustav will only hang around for a long time as a tropical storm. It will try to organize several times and generally get on people's nerves, then wander off into the Atlantic.

Hanna - Look out for Hanna. This one will be a biggie. Hurricane Hanna has a certain ring to it AND it's easy to spell AND will look good on T-shirts. Hanna is made for the Carolinas, but it's definitely a southern storm.

Ike - Ike follows Hanna. Again its easy to spell and lots of things rhyme with "Ike", so it has to make landfall. I bet it follows a week behind Hanna, same path.

Josephine - Style and class, but no substance. Hurricane Josephine just doesn't get people excited. Its too difficult to say after a few beers. Josephine has to hit eastern Mexico.

Kyle - Kyle wears glasses and only pretends to be tough. This one becomes a strong tropical storm, threatens to turn into the gulf, but in the end chickens out and joins the North Atlantic.

Lili - Last show of the season. Lili is easy to say and spell, however it isn't a very tough name. Cat-1 at best. Lili can't land anywhere in the south, so this one is New England bound.

Marco - Marco is Puerto Rican. This one will bypass the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and tear itself apart over Puerto Rico, then remnants over Cuba.

Nana - Won't form at all. We've already had too many easy to spell hurricanes this year and people will be tired of them. Besides, Nana just doesn't scare anyone.

Omar - A late November suprise for two days, then off to the North Atlantic with it.

Paloma, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred - Names will be unused this year. There is just no pizzaz to names like Hurricane Paloma or Hurricane Teddy. They wouldn't sell, no merchandizing profits... no hurricane. That's the rule.

Based on the storm names, these are my early season projections.
Member Since: 28.04.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 354
276. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 03:08 (GMT)
thanks
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
275. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:59 (GMT)


cyclone is heading off the map!
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
274. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:50 (GMT)
587
AXNT20 KNHC 262316
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2008

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE W ATLC REMAINS RATHER TRANQUIL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
STATIONARY 1022 MB SFC HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N74W. FARTHER
EAST...THE WEATHER PATTERN IS DOMINATED BY A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING FROM AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.

AS OF 18Z...THE COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 31N50W AND
CONTINUES ALONG 25N54W TO 20N60W. A WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS EXTENDS
WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES TO
BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 39W-59W. W TO NW WINDS TO 20 KT ARE BEHIND
THE FRONT AND S TO SE WINDS 20-25 KT ARE AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY.
A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A SFC HIGH NEAR THE AZORES COVERS
THE EASTERN ATLC. ALOFT...AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 7N51W.
SWLY FLOW ON THE N SIDE OF THE UPPER HIGH IS SUPPORTING THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
273. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:46 (GMT)
2nd?
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
272. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:45 (GMT)
Taz that is the second.. the first was late April
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
271. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:45 (GMT)
and for the NHC to use a 2005 cyclone as a test

Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
270. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:44 (GMT)
well looks like we now have are 1st EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE of the season


TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE THAT HAS BEEN PRODUCING COLD AND
RAINY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS STRONG WINDS OVER THE NE OF U.S. AND
THE MID ATLC STATE IS FINALLY MOVING AWAY
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
269. sporteguy03
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:44 (GMT)
Florida Wildfire Video from Channel 9, amazing pictures...I-95 on fire, people pouring water from the pool on the fire, 50 homes destroyed and counting.


http://www.wftv.com/video/16246205/index.html
Member Since: 7.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5120
268. Tazmanian
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:41 (GMT)
Ophelia came back from the dead
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114050
267. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:37 (GMT)


=P
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
266. bappit
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:27 (GMT)
It should have intermittent coronal mass ejections with it?

"This is only a test. In the event of an actual coronal mass ejection aimed at the earth you would not be reading this."
Member Since: 18.05.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 5558
265. TexasGulf
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:22 (GMT)
Well, if they are going to make up imaginary storms, then let's get creative!

T.S. Ophelia: 70 mph winds, 989mb pressure, becoming a Cat-2 hurricane moving North along the Atlantic seaboard into the New England states... how common.

Let's create one that moves north as a Cat-2 over New England, then backs into New York harbor a 2nd time from the North-East.

Member Since: 28.04.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 354
264. CaneAddict
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:20 (GMT)
263. bappit 2:15 AM GMT on May 13, 2008
This is when they run drills. No one is supposed to be watching the darn weather for hurricanes in early May.


Although it is very likely drills, Something is fishy, That system that was "land-cane" is now over water off the coast of Virginia or North Carolina and thats exactly where they positioned "Ophelia"....
Member Since: 5.10.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
263. bappit
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:15 (GMT)
This is when they run drills. No one is supposed to be watching the darn weather for hurricanes in early May.
Member Since: 18.05.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 5558
262. aspectre
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:15 (GMT)
Yep, test. 2008 storm names begin with 'Arthur', and 'o' is 'Omar'. Probably this site's program automaticly reading then graphing the NationalHurricaneCenter notice.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
260. bappit
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:13 (GMT)
Well, we are at a solar minimum right now. The account mentions sunspots and there aren't any. I'll start worrying when they start globbing up.
Member Since: 18.05.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 5558
259. CaneAddict
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:12 (GMT)
It's down now but maybe they have noticed that land-cane area and are about to name it...i doubt it though.
Member Since: 5.10.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
258. TexasGulf
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:12 (GMT)
Tropical Storm Ophelia... September 2008. Check out the date, 3-months from now.

This is definitely a test of some sort that got out. They had every computer model tracking it too.

Hopefully this doesn't fortell events to come.
Member Since: 28.04.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 354
257. CaneAddict
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:08 (GMT)
WHAT??? PROBABLY A MISTAKE BUT THAT AREA WHERE SUPPOSELY TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA IS HAPPENS TO BE WHERE THAT LAND CANE LOW IS AT RIGHT NOW!
Member Since: 5.10.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
256. nrtiwlnvragn
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 02:05 (GMT)
TropicalStormOphelia, due to hit NorthCarolina (maybe SC) as the first hurricane of the season on Wednesday.

I just saw that at the NHC page and though I was crazy. Must be a test that got out somehow.
Member Since: 23.09.2005 Posts: 13 Comments: 10459
254. aspectre
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 01:59 (GMT)
TropicalStormOphelia, due to hit NorthCarolina (maybe SC) as the first hurricane of the season on Wednesday.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
253. StormJunkie
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 01:56 (GMT)
Maybe if they had enough warning and shut many of the systems down before hand, but the impact it would have on the power grid, and the attempt to restore that would be a major undertaking that would have to be done with little communication. If you don't get that back up, then I would think it would be hard to get to the satellite's with out the power grid, and many may be damaged beyond repair with something that massive.
Member Since: 17.08.2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472
252. pottery
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 01:56 (GMT)
I knew there was a good reason that I live on a small tropical island.
I think I'll build a Gattlin Gun though. LOL. Keep you guys away!
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
251. StormJunkie
13. toukokuuta 2008 klo 01:54 (GMT)
Night y'all ☺

Gonna have nightmares now JF...lol, but not really.
Member Since: 17.08.2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472

Viewing: 300 - 250

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
53 °F
Täysin pilvistä