'Noreaster Noel whips up high winds and huge waves

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:50 (GMT)

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'Noreaster Noel whipped past New England Saturday, bringing coastal flooding, heavy rains up to four inches, and numerous reports of downed trees and power lines. The top wind gust in the U.S. was 89 mph at Barnstable on Cape Cod. The highest sustained winds were measured on Nantucket Island--56 mph, gusting to 72. The highest wind gusts in Maine were 64 mph measured at Brooklin and Cutler. Acadia National Park had one of the highest rain fall totals, 4.2 inches, and up to three inches of snow was recorded in northwestern Maine. At the storm's peak, 43,000 people lost power in Massachusetts.

Huge waves up to 34 feet high were measured in Halifax Harbor in Nova Scotia, and waves up to 46 feet high were measured at the Georgian Bank buoy midway between Cape Cod and Nova Scotia. Top winds in Nova Scotia were 50 mph, gusting to 62 mph, measured at Brier Island between 4am and 6am this morning. The 'Noreaster is over the Gulf of St. Lawrence this morning, with a central pressure of 970 mb and sustained winds near 50 mph. The storm knocked out power to over 150,000 people in Nova Scotia.


Figure 1. Rainfall estimate for the six hours ending at 4am EST Sunday, 11/04/07. Rainfall amounts up to 3 inches (75 mm) were observed in extreme northeastern Nicaragua. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Near-tropical depression hits Nicaragua and Honduras
A region of disturbed weather that was the southern portion of Hurricane Noel's rainy regime acquired a spin of its own, almost became a tropical depression, and has now moved inland near the Nicaragua/Honduras border. This disturbance (91L) is generating rains of up to three inches every six hours (Figure 1). Total rain rain amounts of 5-10 are possible in Nicaragua and Honduras along the path of 91L, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

I'll have an update Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

Noel's Beach Erosion (Skyepony)
No big hits this year but ended the season at a 19 year low for sand. Caught in the gradent between highs up north & 'canes down south, with a handfull of invests/depressions come through.
Noel's Beach Erosion
Shredded foresail (AuroraB)
The remnants of hurricane Noel passed just east of us this afternoon. Narragansett Bay experienced sustained winds over 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph. Most sailors got their boats to safe harbor, but some were not so fortunate. Five boats broke free of their moorings in Dutch Harbor. Four of them ended up on the rocks.
Shredded foresail
Broken free (AuroraB)
The remnants of hurricane Noel passed just east of us this afternoon. Narragansett Bay experienced sustained winds over 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph. Most sailors got their boats to safe harbor, but some were not so fortunate. Five boats broke free of their moorings in Dutch Harbor. Four of them ended up on the rocks. This one hit very hard
Broken free

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420. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:43 (GMT)
New blog!

So long, MLC, have a good day...see you soon!
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
419. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:42 (GMT)
There's a healthy rotation showing in this at 17N,60W.

Link

Nothing showing up here , tho.
Link
418. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:39 (GMT)
Have a good day, Floodman and all! I'm off to the salt mines.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
417. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:37 (GMT)
Those were my thoughts...30-80 knts is rather substantial, to say the least
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
416. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:35 (GMT)


Probably 91 remnants, and yes, I see that litte Antigua spin, Flood. Thanks for pointing out. Yet, looking at all that heavy shear, the CONUS should be quite safe if anything were to spurn.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
415. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:32 (GMT)
flaboy, I hear you...my 17 year old called me the other morning because she was needing some directions...she lives in St Louis, and I live in Fort Worth...luckily, I know St Louis like the back of my hand LOL
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
414. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:30 (GMT)
MLC-remains of 91L? About the only other area that looks interesing (close in) is that bit of spin north of Antigua...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
413. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:30 (GMT)


"Mariah" has arrived.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
412. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:27 (GMT)


I think so, Flood. There's some vorticity there, too.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
411. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:25 (GMT)
406. surfmom 9:19 AM EST on November 05, 2007
It's time to pull out the stinking rubbersuit --which in my book reduces the pleasure greatly....oh well better safe then sorry


You're a smart lady. More people have died of hypothermia than straight drowning, and water immersion is one of the fastest forms of it.
410. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:23 (GMT)
Well, I am off for a few hours, have a great day all!
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
409. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:23 (GMT)
I guess I oughta go poke around some of the quick links to catch up,, Nah,, I'll just pick somebody else's brain if I need to. Man, I need another shot on my caffine IV fast drip. (or a short nap)
My daughter (the schoolmarm) had a low tire alert and of course Ddy had to leave a great rerun on the eyelids to get her on the road. I was gonna get a few more ZZZZ's ugh.
408. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:22 (GMT)
MLC, is that an anti-cyclone off Nicaraugua?
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
407. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:22 (GMT)
My son's godfather, a terrific surfer, now living in the Philippines, reports that Peipath was not too bad and they are all waiting to hit the beach today.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
406. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:19 (GMT)
It's time to pull out the stinking rubbersuit --which in my book reduces the pleasure greatly....oh well better safe then sorry
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
405. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:18 (GMT)
Howdy, MLC...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
404. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:17 (GMT)
402. surfmom 8:15 AM CST on November 05, 2007
The gulf has cool by me....70 degrees!!!! Yikes that is cool for me



That is cool, and if you add in the air temps (what, low to mid seventies) it's not exactly surf weather, huh?
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
403. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:17 (GMT)


Shear in the Caribbean is low.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
402. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:15 (GMT)
The gulf has cool by me....70 degrees!!!! Yikes that is cool for me
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
401. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:14 (GMT)
flaboy, we're still seeing 28-30 centigrade, but the big issue right now is the widespread shear; there's one small area of the Central Carib with borderline to favorable shear, the rest is 30knts and up...

Check your mail
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
400. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:14 (GMT)
Ahhhh, flaboy, you lived here when it was paradise. The changes here are heartbreaking. The gulf is not healthy, she keeps burping up masses of seaweed from over growth (probably fertilizers) before Bush left he signed a bill permitting toxic dumping again. The fish kills from past two years of serious red-tide has really hurt the fish population etc.

I am lucky as I can frame my hours. My son is an aspiring Polo player, we can not afford Polo horses, so we work trade for him to have the opportunity to practice on and play games with the owners horses. He's a traveling businessman who does not want to be bothered with the daily grit grind of horsecare. When he's in town the horses are fit and he can just jump on. The work is intensive, but it has really instilled a good amount of responsibility and knowledge for my son. Most of the time it is fun, but getting them through the hot Florida summers is a great deal of work. Personally, horses are not too happy below the tropic line. The sturdy, well-bred quarter horse can handle it better, but throughbreds have a hard time. Ideal humity for a horse's hoof is 60% -here we are at 80% and up.....a small thing like that means I have to constantly be oiling the outside of the hooves, and iodining the bottom to keep the hoof healthy for example.

If your honey wants to be around horses....my suggest is for her to check out several local barns. They almost always need "nannies" to help love and care for horses. She can offer her services on a volunteer level and then slowly work her way in. I shovel tons of manure, and played auntie till I worked my way in.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
399. moonlightcowboy
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:14 (GMT)


The Caribbean still warrants a watch, but the GOM has cooled considerably.
Member Since: 9.07.2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
398. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:10 (GMT)
Hey Flood, I'm older but no wiser. How 'bout you?
Haven't had much time to catch up on the blog over the weekend. How are the water temps holding in the tropics? I reckon when they drop off, the season will be pretty much over.
397. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:02 (GMT)
392. surfmom 8:54 AM EST on November 05, 2007 Hide this comment.
flaboyinga, Sounds like time to walk, run or play frisbee/ball toss. It is joyful to see them let loose when the weather cools. My geriatric cranky 19 year old cat herded me to the door this AM to be let out. First time in months - probably May. My aussie immediately stopped being itchy and the horses I care for...they were all smiling.


I on the other hand realize I have to pull my wetsuit out if I think I am getting in the water to surf thursday at sunrise.


Sounds like a rough life playin with the ponies and surfin.lol I haven't done quality surf time for a lotta years. I use to body surf on the SW coast of Fla when I was a kid and there were 25 people living on Marco Island. Enjoy. (my bride would get crazy over a chance to work with horses)
396. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 14:02 (GMT)
orca, I would go to watch, but I am a gulf/tropical water princess. I wear insulation even in the summer. this week the Guys will be wearing shorties, and I will have my 3/4 on. In the real cold, I have a special micro thin wet suit under my 3/4, and when the water temp is 50 degrees, I have booties and a hood. Mind you 50 is probably warm in your waters. I'll be the waves are beautiful and probably the line-up not too crowded lol
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
395. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:59 (GMT)
391. flaboyinga 7:53 AM CST on November 05, 2007
Mornin' Flood. Did you read StormW's latest post on his blog site? It needs to be replied to and I did. Check it out. Por favor.
Looks like the trolls got in again last night. Glad you were ther to chase em out.lol



Yep...signed it yesterday...so how are you this morning?
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
394. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:57 (GMT)
Checking storm's blog --back in a few
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
393. Orcasystems
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:55 (GMT)
Thanks Flood.
Surfmom, you should try long beach on Vancouver Island sometime... turning into quite the surfers mecca. Mind you.. the water is very cold.
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
392. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:54 (GMT)
flaboyinga, Sounds like time to walk, run or play frisbee/ball toss. It is joyful to see them let loose when the weather cools. My geriatric cranky 19 year old cat herded me to the door this AM to be let out. First time in months - probably May. My aussie immediately stopped being itchy and the horses I care for...they were all smiling.

I on the other hand realize I have to pull my wetsuit out if I think I am getting in the water to surf thursday at sunrise.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
391. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Mornin' Flood. Did you read StormW's latest post on his blog site? It needs to be replied to and I did. Check it out. Por favor.
Looks like the trolls got in again last night. Glad you were ther to chase em out.lol
390. Floodman
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:47 (GMT)
Good morning, Orca, and everyone else...

The spin at 18N60W is the tail end of an upper level trough...there's no surface circulation; the vorticity actually seems to start at the 700mb level and works up from there...it's wrapping in a lot of dry air from it's west...deosn't look like it's going to amount to a lot...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
389. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:47 (GMT)
I agree, I think we are over the hill for 'canes this year. Whew! on one hand, but I will miss getting bits of ground swell to surf. I think that Dean was the best provider this year. Now I follow the cold fronts and get to ride windswell (not my favorite kind of waves, but on the west coast of FL you ride what you can get) Looks like there's a small window for surf late Wednesday, early Thursday AM, as there was a cold front predicted to blow down here Tuesday night.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
388. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:47 (GMT)
Orca and all, top of the mornin' to ya.
387. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:44 (GMT)
384. surfmom 8:29 AM EST on November 05, 2007
I am so relieve with this first cool front in SRQ, FL. What an incredible difference for working in the barns and my little herd is already feeling soooo much better. The winds last week and cooler temperature had them all acting like wild mustangs, but it was a joy to finally see them feeling good enough to run the pastures like a race track, bucking and kicking up their heels. (it was hell to work them out with all the wind --but no one complained)


My 85lb german shepherd is acting like that with the cooler weather here in SE GA. We might have to get him a valium or something.lol
386. Orcasystems
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:42 (GMT)
Morning all :)
Up way to early, changed all the clocks back... except the bedroom alarm clock (Duh)
Any information on the swirl at 18N/60W?
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
385. weatherboyfsu
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:42 (GMT)
Good morning,

The tropics are about to close down for the winter. Theres still an outside chance something could re-fire in the western caribbean but i wouldnt hold my breathe.
Member Since: 17.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1025
384. surfmom
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:29 (GMT)
Good Morning ALL! Mufflechen - I think you will get best quote of the day!! Just loved it. Wish I had a bumper sticker with that on it.

BlueRanch - the horse in your photo is extraordinary, a Grey paint roan???. I just recently saw a similar color combination on a polo horse visiting from Kentucky - the coloring is exotic --like my blue merle aussie.

I am so relieve with this first cool front in SRQ, FL. What an incredible difference for working in the barns and my little herd is already feeling soooo much better. The winds last week and cooler temperature had them all acting like wild mustangs, but it was a joy to finally see them feeling good enough to run the pastures like a race track, bucking and kicking up their heels. (it was hell to work them out with all the wind --but no one complained)
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
383. dhkeywest
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:28 (GMT)
Noel Report just in from Nova Scotia.

"Peggy’s Cove suffered a lot of damage. Roads washed out, homes damaged, and the breakwater dam destroyed".

382. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:19 (GMT)
BBL, gonna see what StormW has up.
381. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:16 (GMT)
Boy, this is odd. Over 40 min between posts. That's kinda like it is at 2:00am.
380. flaboyinga
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 13:12 (GMT)
Mornin folks. I hope everyone is being fed good and treated well.
379. blueranch
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 12:22 (GMT)
How extensive was the wind damage in the NE, I did not see any articles that suggested anything other than some downed trees and powerlines. Any damaged homes?
378. ShenValleyFlyFish
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 11:42 (GMT)
Work: The curse of drinking man. Gota go do it.
Yall fight nice hear?
check back this eve.
Member Since: 9.09.2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
377. pcola
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 11:40 (GMT)
Good Morning...........
Just caught up reading and lurking. Wow I ignored rockford a month ago but I still have to read what he writes? Use the ignore button, it works great!
Member Since: 9.09.2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
376. IKE
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 11:27 (GMT)
I see Dr. Masters blog is still status quo.

Thank God the 2007 Atlantic tropical season is basically over with. I'm sure they'll be more of the same in 2008....stand by...June 1st, 2008 isn't that far away!
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
375. ShenValleyFlyFish
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 11:16 (GMT)
Good morning Muffelchen
Confession: I don't really speak German. 5 generations of direct ancestors are buried in the same church-yard in Canada. Great-Great-Grandfather's is last one cut in German. Bits of sayings and expressions survive.
Member Since: 9.09.2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
374. Cavin Rawlins
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 11:03 (GMT)
An upper anticyclone is situated over the Northwest Caribbean and an upper low/trough is over the far Northeast US. These two features is producing strong southwesterly flow over Florida and the Gulf Region which is confluent in nature (converging as it flows). This confluent pattern is advecting very dry and stable air over the region leading to subsidence and low dew points, hindering development of significant cloudiness. This confluent pattern is also supporting a surface ridge which is providing fair skies across the region.

BBL
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
373. Cavin Rawlins
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 10:46 (GMT)
Good Morning, cannot stay long

I don't if you all heard of the recent flooding in the Mexican state of Tabasco where heavy rains submerge 80% of the city in at least 6 meters of water. The scene was describe as similar to the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans.


Homes sit under floodwaters in Villahermosa, Mexico, Sunday, Nov. 4, 2007. Mexico's President Felipe Calderon called the flooding one of the country's worst recent natural disasters, submerging at least 80 percent of the oil-rich Tabasco state and destroying or damaging the homes of as many as half a million people. At least 8 people have died. (AP Photo/Eduardo Verdugo)

Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
372. Muffelchen
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 09:41 (GMT)

246. stormpetrol 1:30 AM GMT on November 05, 2007

Been in bed overnight. Welcome back Stormpetrol, you did us all a favour in the end. You saying you would leave the blog led a number of defending your case and this flushed the trolls out, they have I understand now been banned.

'Evil prospers when good men do nothing.'

Thanks once again for waking us up to what was happening to OUR blog!
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 72
371. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5. marraskuuta 2007 klo 05:25 (GMT)
helloooooooo
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52253

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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