California fires fueled by record drought

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 23. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:40 (GMT)

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An area of disturbed weather has developed near the northern Lesser Antilles Islands, due to a westward-moving tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low. Wind shear is currently too high (30 knots) to allow development of this disturbance. However, the past two runs of the NOGAPS model have predicted that wind shear will fall enough by Friday to allow a tropical depression to form near the western Bahamas. This storm is predicted to move westward across eastern Cuba and into the Western Caribbean. The GFS model does not go along with this scenario, but hints at a weak system developing and moving northeast out sea over the middle Atlantic. The UKMET and ECMWF models do not develop a Bahamas storm, either, but do show a large region of low pressure with low wind shear developing over the Western Caribbean later this week. It would not be a surprise to see a tropical depression develop in the Western Caribbean late this week or early next week.

Southern California's fire storm
Surface maps show a strong high pressure system centered over Nevada and Utah. The clockwise flow of air around this high is driving strong northeasterly winds over Southern California. As the air spills down the mountain passes into coastal San Diego and Los Angeles, gravity helps accelerate the winds. The air compresses and warms as it descends, due to the higher pressures found at sea level. This creates a very hot, low-humidity wind--the dangerous Santa Ana wind. At 1:37 pm PDT yesterday, the humidity in downtown Los Angeles was 8%. Some wind reports Monday afternoon in Southern California, showing the strength of the Santa Ana winds:

Los Angeles County peak wind gusts
------------------------------------------------- --
Leo Carrillo Beach... ... ... ... ... ... ... Northeast 44 mph.
Van Nuys... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... North 39 mph.
Tonner Canyon... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 46 mph.
Malibu Canyon... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 41 mph.
Malibu Hills... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... North 54 mph.
Newhall... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. Northeast 38 mph.
Newhall Pass... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... North 72 mph.
Saugus... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... North 60 mph.
Del Valle... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 50 mph.
Acton... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 45 mph.
Camp Nine... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... North 71 mph.
Chilao... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Northeast 55 mph.
Mill Creek... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... North 41 mph.
Sandberg... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... East 40 mph.
Warm Springs... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... East 62 mph.
Whitaker Peak... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... North 48 mph.
Lake Palmdale... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 46 mph.
Poppy Park... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... East 43 mph.
Saddleback Butte... ... ... ... ... ... ..... East 33 mph.
Lancaster... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... East 31 mph.

Ventura County peak wind gusts
--------------------------------------------
Oxnard... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... East 41 mph.
Camarillo... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... Northeast 51 mph.
Point Mugu... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Northeast 43 mph.
Piru... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... North 49 mph.
Simi Valley... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. Northeast 41 mph.
Thousand Oaks... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... North 42 mph.
Laguna Peak... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. Northwest 62 mph.

Fourteen large wildfires have developed spanning seven counties in California since Saturday, thanks to the Santa Ana winds, and the prevailing extreme drought conditions. Rainfall in San Diego has been a mere 2.6 inches thus far in 2007, 32% of normal. The July 1, 2006 through June 30, 2007 period was the 4th driest on record in San Diego. In Los Angeles, it was the driest year since record keeping began 130 years ago. Downtown Los Angeles has recorded just 3.37" of rain thus far in 2007--only 28% of normal.

Air quality
Not surprisingly, air quality due to particulate matter has been awful in Southern California (Figure 1). Exceedances of the Federal air quality standards by more than a factor of two have occurred the past three days in both Los Angeles and San Diego. Hightened particulate pollution is strongly correlated with increased death rates, particulary in vulnerable populations, such as those with heart conditions, athsma, or other lung diseases. Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly, and children should remain indoors. Keep your windows and doors closed unless it is extremely hot inside. In these cases, seek alternate shelter. Run your air conditioner if you have one. Keep the fresh air intake closed and the filter clean to prevent bringing additional smoke inside. EPA's Airnow website has more information.


Figure 1. Visible satellite images taken midday on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Overlaid on the images is the peak daily particle pollution Air Quality Index (AQI) levels due to smoke. Poor air quality became more widespread across the region as the number and size of the fires increased from day to day. Smoke is visible as white or bluish-white streaks. Blowing dust (brown streaks), reducing visibility under three miles, is also apparent on the images. Image credit: NASA and EPA.

The forecast
The warm, dry, and windy weather will continue today, bringing a repeat of yesterday's extremely dangerous fire situation. A trough of low pressure is expected to move into northern California Wednesday morning, weakening the high pressure system driving the Santa Ana winds. By Thursday, the Santa Ana winds will be gone, and fire fighters will be able to gain the upper hand.

This may only be the first of several serious fire situations in Southern California in the coming months. Santa Ana winds conditions commonly develop during the October through March period, and the extreme drought conditions in Southern California are not going to improve until at least December, when the winter rainy season typically starts. The 3-month precipitation forecast from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center calls for a 33% chance of below-average rainfall over Southern California for the coming winter.

The University of Wisconsin's CIMSS group has a more detailed blog with many weather maps and satellite animations of the Southern California fires.

San Francisco's Climate Challenge
San Francisco residents have a different and more positive kind of challenge this week. An innovative contest designed to encourage residents to reduce energy usage is being launched, with a sign-up deadline of Wednesday. The content offers prizes up to $5000 for those residents able to reduce their energy consumption the most over the coming month. For more information, see the new Weather Underground climate page: at http://www.wunderground.com/climate/. The new page will track current climate trends each month, and feature stories on new research and programs in the climate change field every few weeks. We'll also add a full set of information on the science of climate change over the coming months. The goal is to have a web site that keeps track of the most important issues in climate change.

Jeff Masters

Effect the winds in this truck! (chentetij)
Volcadura de un trailer por los vientos de Santana
Effect the winds in this truck!
Smoke over Woodbridge (wheels)
A fire east of Irvine produced major air polution
Smoke over Woodbridge

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458. flaboyinga
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 15:20 (GMT)
Flood, sent you a link. Let me know if it works.
457. surfmom
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:52 (GMT)
Yes, Zoom ...I think that today we are All so removed from the consequences of weather and mother nature that we are very "cocky" about our stature and control. We are hot, we turn on AC...we are cold, we turn on the heat. Most always we are insulated from the realties. If there is a drought and veggies are not growin in one place, we just get them shipped in from another...same with water. We get an arrogance that we are in control. When my mango trees suffer a late frost and I lose my crop, I don't starve...I just go to the store and get them from somewhere else. I think that when we lived closer to the primal ways man had a much greater regard for all things natural --as a people, many of us have lost that concept...till something like this horror comes up and we are forced to face the reality that we are not in control. It's a wake-up call to a people who have grown lazy and soft.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
456. SamTeam
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:48 (GMT)
New Blog from Dr. M.
Member Since: 22.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 213
455. TampaSpin
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:47 (GMT)
Folks its very simple if we build or live in areas of high risk of natural disasters, then this is the risk we understood.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
454. zoomiami
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:45 (GMT)
I think its a natural reaction to a disaster to say what we should, could, and ought to do, many people don't like to accept that there are forces that are out of our control. With those winds, there isn't much that would stop it from spreading.
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 10 Comments: 4136
453. surfmom
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:45 (GMT)
Geeze, I always seem to adopt dogs that don't want to go pee in the rain. My pooches bladder is ready to burst and she won't go out....grrrrr.

Can't believe I have a day off from work (because it's pouring and the horses are all out) and I can't get to those waves. Guess it'll be a day to get seat work done.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
452. surfmom
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:41 (GMT)
Good point Floodman --fire, hurricanes --this all reminds us and should humble us in regard to the forces of nature and weather.

If we review history, it's the climate, natural disasters,weather cycles that are the forces that shape man --socially & physically --Not (in spite of our our egos) politics --Most often politics are a reflection of the impact Mother nature sets out for us.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
451. TampaSpin
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:40 (GMT)
Dam i need a donut.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
450. flaboyinga
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:39 (GMT)
On the fire line issue, think about the size the break would have to be. With 30mph winds we had our fire jump breaks that were over 40 ft wide. That plus the ember and firebrands that blow over your crews and land 1/2 a mile behind you and create fires that can trap your crew. In a high wind situation, fire breaks become a lot less effective than we would want them to be.
449. surfmom
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:35 (GMT)
Morning all, Thanks for the update StormW. Well there are waves for surfing this AM on the Gulf coast SRQ.....but the thunder and lightening is keeping me on land.....bummer - think I will be lock in all day. Can't complain though, we need RAIN far more then I need/want waves.
Member Since: 18.07.2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
448. weathers4me
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:35 (GMT)
If mother nature doesn't get you, the sugar certainly will..LOL
Member Since: 24.05.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
447. AussieGal
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:30 (GMT)
storm the dunkin donuts isnt any better - but yes the networks ARE showing the nightmare that California is going through - everytime I see the places that I know so well burning I cry - its just awful! - and the thing about that reporter - he started out at that station years ago as a "fluff" guy - now he by a very awful set of circumstances is nationally known almost! - prayer, donations and volunteering is what we need to do now.....
446. flaboyinga
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:30 (GMT)
41. TampaSpin 10:14 AM EDT on October 24, 2007
Why arent firelines built year round. Many of the the midwest forest have maintained firelines. Is this stuff not happening in Califorina because of the Green thumb people.

Probably because of the cost. If there is a labor intensive program of maintaining fire lines year round going on, the tax rates will have to be raised to pay for it and the public would probably shoot it down. It doesn't take long to forget last years problems when this years budget threatens to cause an increase in the property taxes, etc. And most of us react that way to tax increases, myself included.

445. Floodman
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:30 (GMT)
The other issue, TampaSpin, is that over the millenia these plants have evolved to work with fire; some plants only seed after a fire. The problem is that people have now put themselves in a place where they really shouldn't be...much like building your mansion on the Florida coast: it's nice, it's beautiful and for 20 years no hurricanes make landfall close by, then one year...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
444. Floodman
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:26 (GMT)
441. TampaSpin 9:14 AM CDT on October 24, 2007
Why arent firelines built year round. Many of the the midwest forest have maintained firelines. Is this stuff not happening in Califorina because of the Green thumb people.



the problem in California is the chaparral; the hills are covered in the stuff, and when it dries it might as well be straw dipped in oil. Keeping it cleared could work, if there weren't so much of it...fire breaks, like they have in the midwest don't work as well because these aren't forested hills, it scrubland: nothing a lot taller than a good sized bush.
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
443. plywoodstatenative
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:24 (GMT)
Wednesday, October 24, 2007


VICTORIA - A Martin Mars water bomber was expected to leave B.C. at dawn today for San Diego, where weary U.S. crews are battling wildfires that so far have burned more than 750 homes and forced the evacuation of more than half a million residents.

The water bomber's owner, Wayne Coulson, flew with 10 employees to San Diego on Tuesday and will meet up with the aircraft as it arrives.

"We're really grateful to have it here," said Maurice Luque, spokesman of the San Diego fire department.

The fires, fuelled by drought and fanned by the dry Santa Ana winds, are not contained but the winds lessened somewhat on Tuesday.

"It would have been so wonderful to have had the Mars here a day or so ago when the fire first broke out," said Luque, adding that resources, personnel and equipment have been sent from Northern California to help out.

The fires could be larger than the ones that devastated the San Diego region in 2003, said Luque: "We thought we saw the last of fires of that magnitude but we definitely have that here."

Coulson Group had been anticipating a call for the water bomber and plans were in place to send it south.

"I've been down with San Diego fire department four times in the last five weeks working ... on placing the Mars down there for the Santa Anas," said Coulson on Tuesday. "We're ahead of the game, we've flown into a bunch of the water reservoirs down there so we have a sense of where we're going to go."

A tractor-trailer used for specialized maintenance and a fuel truck left for San Diego Monday.

This isn't the first time a Coulson-owned aircraft has fought wildfires in Southern California. A firefighting helicopter worked in the Los Angeles basin for five years.

"It's a natural fit for us," said Coulson. "We know everybody, we know what we're going into and everyone knows us. We're pretty pleased."

The water bomber will likely be put to work covering homes and structures with a protective covering called Thermo-Gel, which consists of 98 per cent water and a super-absorbent polymer. Fighting the fires right now is just too difficult, said Coulson.

"There's not a hell of a lot you can do with a 60-mph wind and fire coming at you other than just gelling homes to protect as many as you can," he said.

Victoria Times Colonist

© CanWest News Service 2007
Member Since: 15.11.2005 Posts: 16 Comments: 4189
442. IKE
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:22 (GMT)
SomeRandomTexan 8:53 AM CDT on October 24, 2007
Ike---
What do arsonist get out of setting fires?
Is it a power trip or something?


I'm not sure...best to ask them.

What they do get is in trouble if their caught.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
441. TampaSpin
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:14 (GMT)
Why arent firelines built year round. Many of the the midwest forest have maintained firelines. Is this stuff not happening in Califorina because of the Green thumb people.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
440. icmoore
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:13 (GMT)
Good morning to you StormW!
Member Since: 18.07.2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4141
437. biko
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:08 (GMT)
great synopsis,SW
436. Floodman
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:08 (GMT)
422. V26R 8:56 AM CDT on October 24, 2007
Yeah back to bidness
Flood whats yoru take on that mess NE of the Islands?



If it's going to do anything, it's going to have to scoot into the Central Carib pretty quick; a more northerly route takes into serious shear, staying in place leaves it in some pretty serious shear.

It's showing some vorticity right now, but the only model that really does a lot with it is the CMC (Can't Model Crap, or Continuously Modeling Cyclones, you pick); that model turns it into a monster in the next 48-72 hours, and sends it into the Central Carib. Probably not much more than a rain maker, though it may "Invest" pretty soon...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
435. TampaSpin
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:07 (GMT)
423. SomeRandomTexan 9:57 AM EDT on October 24, 2007
This is alot different than caping an oil rig. Secondly a big blast would probably trigger a new Pacific Island California.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
434. flaboyinga
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:07 (GMT)
401. TampaSpin 9:44 AM EDT on October 24, 2007
392. V26R 9:40 AM EDT on October 24, 2007
Tamps there might be political as well business
(economical) factors as to why those water bombers aren't being brought into play on this job

Excatly my point. Thank you.

It doesn't matter how big the air tankers are or whose they are, you can't use them if the conditions are not right. We had several people and some equipment turn orange and red from drops that missed because of wind at 25mph winds. Look at the wind forecast out there in Ca. And those drops contain fire retardent chemicals and they hurt when they hit you on the ground. If you spend a small fortune on air drops that miss the target because of the conditions, you need to put that money into ground operations. Also they have enough pilots killed each year during operations under good conditions. If you aren't at incident command you don't know why the decisions are made the way they are. Give them a chance. The main thing is to get the people out of there. You can build a house back. You can't replace a life. I know it's hard to wait to see results, there but the safety of the people at risk (firefighters and civilians) should come first.
433. NEwxguy
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:06 (GMT)
great synopsis,SW,good to hear things will be slow to develop,I will be in Florida this weekend and don't want to contend with anything tropical.
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 863 Comments: 15114
432. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:05 (GMT)
V26R---
Thanks for the input....
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837
431. icmoore
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:05 (GMT)
Arsonists set fires for many reasons.From they get off seeing things burn to they are just bored and want attention. I was worried last may in Fl. The fires were about 6 miles away and burning towards us. There were several copycat arson attempts but the weather started to cooperate and the fire fighters were great. Sometimes it is just kids with nothing to do not understanding the conseqences of their actions. Flaboyinga I thought the fires in the swamp would never go out.
Member Since: 18.07.2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4141
429. V26R
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:03 (GMT)
SRT Explaosives are out of the question for a job like that
For an oil fire the fuel is just coming out of a single spot where the comcussion from the explosives can knock (displace) the supply of oxygen out of there and extingush the fire, you can't do something lik ethat with a forest fire
too much fuel being expended and too large of an oxygen field, so back to the basics, sand, dirt and water and ALOT of hard work
Member Since: 20.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1762
428. Floodman
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:02 (GMT)
StormW, how are you sir?
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
427. Miamiweather
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 14:01 (GMT)
hey stormW you got mail read your synopsis this morning
426. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:58 (GMT)
When do we get an invest out of the islands system?
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837
425. biko
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:58 (GMT)
is Florida out of the woods now?
423. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:57 (GMT)
tampa---

all kidding aside.... but do you remember back to the fires of kuwait...I know it was a totally different scenario but could they use some sort of explosive to help stop the advancing flames.... Not in the middle of a neighborhood of course..... Its just a thought....
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837
422. V26R
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:56 (GMT)
Yeah back to bidness
Flood whats yoru take on that mess NE of the Islands?
Member Since: 20.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1762
421. weathers4me
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:56 (GMT)
Things were bad here during the summer when the GA fires/smoke was carried here in FL and we were in similar conditions but I can only imagine how bad it must be to that close to it. Stay safe. It will pass and the rains will come in time.
Member Since: 24.05.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
419. CaneAddict
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:55 (GMT)
That disturbance NE of the islands looks impressive for JUST a disturbance....
Member Since: 5.10.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
418. Floodman
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:55 (GMT)
when there isn't much brewing in the tropics,our minds do wander.Can't help but notice donuts comes first and Britney last on your list.


NEwxguy, one must have one's priorities straight...
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
417. TampaSpin
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:54 (GMT)
If it was France, Spain, Iraq, or Venezuela (Chavez) some would say to Nuke it to blow it out.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
416. SBKaren
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:53 (GMT)
I've lived in So CA my whole life. Usually when we see fires of this magnitude the ash is unbelievable. I'm not sure why I haven't seen any yet. I'm not exactly close to the fires, but I live along the coast and with the Santa Ana winds, everything blows in this direction. Last night we went up on our sundeck to watch the ISS pass overhead. We had a flashlight with us. We jokingly pointed it up into the night sky and flashed it, like we were sending a message - and that was when we saw all the small particulate matter floating in the sky. It looked like it was snowing. I was sickened!!! We don't have AC so we can't close our windows and crank up the AC. I cleaned a few pieces of furniture yesterday and rinsed the rag in my plugged kitchen sink. The water was BLACK. When I drained the water, it left a dirty brown ring around my sink. That was only a few pieces of furniture. I'm going to be pretty busy this weekend.

But - to put this all in perspective, if it's this bad where I live, and I'm not all that close to the fires, I can't EVEN imagine how bad it is for those that are closer.
Member Since: 21.02.2005 Posts: 195 Comments: 14511
415. V26R
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Ike you cannot say that about this job,
Not sure if the Marshalls have been brough in to investigate it yet,
But such a simple thing as a stray cigarette can start something such as this so it may or may not be arson, Nature has a way of correcting its mistakes and Fire is one of them!
Member Since: 20.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1762
414. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Ike---
What do arsonist get out of setting fires?
Is it a power trip or something?
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837
413. NEwxguy
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:52 (GMT)
407. Floodman 1:49 PM GMT on October 24, 2007
Howdy, folks...interesting in here this morning...donuts, wildfires and Britney Spears!

Amy, how are you doing, darlin'?

when there isn't much brewing in the tropics,our minds do wander.Can't help but notice donuts comes first and Britney last on your list.
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 863 Comments: 15114
412. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:51 (GMT)
Flood---
what more could you ask for in life....lol
You have a weather story to follow.... donuts to eat and an overweight celebrity to ridicule...lol.....j/k
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837
411. IKE
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:51 (GMT)
V26R 8:48 AM CDT on October 24, 2007
Pc2MC ever hear of a Red Flag Warning?
People don't heed the warnings when they are told to do so


Their also sick...and set a fire.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
410. V26R
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:50 (GMT)
And throw Marie Osmond in there as well!
Member Since: 20.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1762
409. V26R
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:50 (GMT)
Morning Flood you forgot Arnold too
Member Since: 20.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1762
408. SomeRandomTexan
24. lokakuuta 2007 klo 13:50 (GMT)

406. V26R 1:48 PM GMT on October 24, 2007
Pc2MC ever hear of a Red Flag Warning?
People don't heed the warnings when they are told to do so



Isn't that aggravating... I think violaters should be prosecuted...if they could catch them...
Member Since: 30.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1837

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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