Fourth warmest October on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 23. marraskuuta 2006 klo 15:56 (GMT)

Share this Blog
2
+

October 2006 was the 4th warmest October on record globally, according to the latest monthly report issued by the National Climatic Data Center. The period January through October was the fifth warmest on record. The El Ni�o episode that began in September significantly warmed ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, which helped make global ocean temperatures for October the 3rd warmest on record. Arctic sea ice extent remained near record low levels in October at 8.4 million square kilometers.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from normal (anomaly) for October 2006. Siberia and parts of Indonesia joined North America with having below normal temperatures.

An average October for the U.S.
According to the National Climatic Data Center, October of 2006 was near average for temperature in the U.S., ranking as the 52nd coolest in the 110-year record. It was a very wet October, ranking as the 12th wettest October on record. The period January to October ranks as the 3rd warmest such period on record in the U.S., thanks to some unusually warm weather in January, April, and July.

Have a great Thanksgiving, everyone! I'll have some thoughts on Florida hurricanes in Friday's blog, inspired by my just-completed trip to Florida.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 79 - 29

Page: 1 | 2Blog Index

79. hurricane23
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 19:47 (GMT)
Here is a 2km visible loop of the disturbance in the SW Caribbean.

CLICK HERE
Member Since: 14.05.2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13597
78. Cregnebaa
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 19:07 (GMT)
That is weird here in Cayman we're in that dry air and it's 100% overcast and drizzling?
Member Since: 19.10.2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 322
77. stormchasher
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:50 (GMT)
If this devolopes itl probaly be a td and just die.
Member Since: 30.07.2006 Posts: 40 Comments: 1295
76. stormchasher
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:44 (GMT)
It wont get swallowed alive. It will be slow like a rat getting bitten by a snake and slowly digested:)
Member Since: 30.07.2006 Posts: 40 Comments: 1295
75. hurricane23
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:38 (GMT)
One thing to note if this area of disturbed weather trys to make a move to its north it will get swallowed alive by this massive area of dry air surrounding the northern caribbean and the gulf of mexico.


Member Since: 14.05.2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13597
74. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:32 (GMT)
23 do you think it can affect any part of the US.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
73. hurricane23
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:30 (GMT)
Hey ryang!
Member Since: 14.05.2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13597
72. ProgressivePulse
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:30 (GMT)
Hey at least we can say it will drift west! lol.
Member Since: 19.08.2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
71. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:29 (GMT)
hi 23.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
70. hurricane23
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:27 (GMT)
This area has indeed become somewhat better organized over the past couple of hours.Steering currents are rather weak down there so any movement of this area will be rather slow to stationary as the NHC is suggesting.

Here is a close-up visible shot of the area.



INFRARED SHOT
Member Since: 14.05.2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13597
69. stormchasher
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 18:16 (GMT)
Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 11:30 am EST on November 24, 2006

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

An area of disturbed weather has formed over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea just north of the coast of Panama. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next day or so as
it remains nearly stationary.

Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Saturday.

$$
Forecaster Beven
Member Since: 30.07.2006 Posts: 40 Comments: 1295
67. ProgressivePulse
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 17:32 (GMT)
Still doesn't appear to be down to the surface yet.
Member Since: 19.08.2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
66. ProgressivePulse
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 17:30 (GMT)
Posted By: kmanislander at 4:25 PM GMT on November 24, 2006.

crazybowler

The 1:05 discussion yesterday did discuss the possibility that a surface low was forming there but the 7:05pm discussion as well as the one this morning dropped it when the convection died down overnight. There now seems to be more consistency to the convection ( which is probably why the new mention of it ) but we will have to see if it falls off again this evening.

I also remember 2 circulations yesterday,the more pronounced circulation was farther north, which is now non-existent, allowing the area to become better organized.
Member Since: 19.08.2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
65. Patrap
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:49 (GMT)
Maybe..but the progs on this is nothing develops.But they can surprise us..as weve seen In the past.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125628
64. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:42 (GMT)
Pat

only until tomorrow. After that the typical track this time of yr is N to NNW then NE. Would they not do an invest to watch the feature develop even while stationary ??
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
63. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:41 (GMT)
obs from Panama confirm the blob is trying to get organised

Link
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
62. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:37 (GMT)
ok. yes I see from the sat that you are getting showers but they seem to be the usual run of the mill stuff.
Too lat in the season for you to get anything other than rain IMO
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
61. Patrap
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:37 (GMT)
No invest required.Synoptic feature forecasted to remain nearly stationary.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125628
60. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:36 (GMT)
The convection over barbados.Go too stormcarib.com and see.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
59. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:34 (GMT)
ryang

not sure I understand the statement/question.
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
58. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:30 (GMT)
You see that convection on us.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
57. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:29 (GMT)
I am not getting that site either.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
56. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:29 (GMT)
hi ryang

I see that. We have had very chilly weather and cool conditions for the last week but the sun is poking its head out again.
Looks like something brewing to our SSE near Panama
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
55. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:27 (GMT)
Looks like the GHCC site is down as I have been unable to access it today. Anyone else have this problem ?

Also, I wonder when ( or if ) the Navy site will begin an invest ?
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
54. ryang
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:26 (GMT)
hI ALL.Pouring here.
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 329 Comments: 12397
53. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:25 (GMT)
crazybowler

The 1:05 discussion yesterday did discuss the possibility that a surface low was forming there but the 7:05pm discussion as well as the one this morning dropped it when the convection died down overnight. There now seems to be more consistency to the convection ( which is probably why the new mention of it ) but we will have to see if it falls off again this evening.
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
51. Patrap
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 16:14 (GMT)
Snow..New Orleans.Christmas Day 04q
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125628
50. SteveDa1
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 15:49 (GMT)
Nothing NEAR warmth in the yukon... In fact it is extremely cold. The forecast High for sunday for Whitehorse, Yukon Territory is -35C (-31F), the normal is near -9C (15.8). That is a whooping 26C below normal (56.8F)!

Just look at the 14-day trend for Whitehorse, Yukon.

See for yourself the roller coaster. By december 6th the temperature could be at 0C (32F), what a difference! It would finnaly end the brutal cold in the Yukon and Alaska. But thats not good news for the people to the south I guess, because that cold air has to go somewhere... can't just dissapear.
Member Since: 17.10.2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1297
49. Patrap
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 15:36 (GMT)
The GFSx shows the storm Friday..but Im not convinved yet of the track or Coldness of the push out the plains.My confidence will increase if the runs show more consistency come Monday.Have travel Plans to Baton Rouge next Friday myself..heres the GFSx..10day...Link
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125628
48. cajunkid
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 14:36 (GMT)
I noticed the gfs shows frozen precip. in Louisiana next Fri. and then again the following Tues. Does anyone think this cold front will be as strong as the models are predicting?
Member Since: 10.07.2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1276
45. Thundercloud01221991
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 13:42 (GMT)
Hey guys I have a ?
does any of you know of a NOAA ship that is suppossed to port in Pensacola today???
Member Since: 1.08.2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
42. nash28
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 13:18 (GMT)
Please Cyclone, save it.
Member Since: 11.07.2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
40. TheNeighbor
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 11:33 (GMT)
DrDeath

I used to live there for 30+ years before we moved to Florida. Its just an average wet autumn storm and it won't be tropical in nature therefore no name ...just wet, cool and windy. Check out the laterst comment from the UK Met Office. Link
Member Since: 25.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 39
39. DrDeath
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 09:00 (GMT)
UK Storm,

Does anyone have information on the storm due to hit the UK this weekend? 125kph / 75 mph Gusts. Category 1 ? Will this become a named storm?
38. DrDeath
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 08:54 (GMT)
UK storm

Does anyone have information about the storms due to hit the UK this weekend. Local papers are reporting wind speeds upto 120 KM / 75 MPH (category 1). Will this become a named storm?
37. Inyo
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 06:49 (GMT)
hey so-cal, looks like we may have some rain and mountain snow on the way this weekend.. perhaps up to a half an inch or so of rain in the lowlands. No rain is guaranteed until it hits the ground, but I hope this storm will bring us some rain and colder temperatures.

the long range GFS changes every run.. its pretty useless right now
Member Since: 3.09.2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 867
36. Caffinehog
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 06:07 (GMT)
The blob doesn't look so impressive anymore, though it is still rotating.
Quickscat seems to suggest that a surface feature might be trying to form about halfway between Panama and Jamaica... not under the rotating part.
I'm really starting to think that the shear on the western side of the system is what is inhibiting this thing. I guess we'll see what happens.
Member Since: 5.06.2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 40
35. SteveDa1
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 04:32 (GMT)
Mail snowboy.
Member Since: 17.10.2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1297
34. snowboy
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 04:06 (GMT)
SteveDa1, indeed I am near Hamilton (out in the woods about 20 minutes west of the City)..
Member Since: 21.09.2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
33. kmanislander
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 03:36 (GMT)
hey there Pottery
Are you still on ?
Seems that when you are posting I am out and vice versa
Member Since: 19.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15671
32. mermaidlaw
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 03:24 (GMT)
Thank you for everything that you do DR. MASTERS! I hope you have had a wonderful Thanksgiving!
Member Since: 23.07.2006 Posts: 20 Comments: 8736
31. palmettobug53
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 03:14 (GMT)
Dr. Masters, I hope you and yours had a very nice Thanksgiving! Thanks so much for all your information during "The Season". It is much appreciated.
Member Since: 7.10.2005 Posts: 229 Comments: 24590
30. Raysfan70
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 01:36 (GMT)
Dr.Master and Family,

Hope that you and Your Family had a
Happy Thanksgiving.
Member Since: 28.07.2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
29. pottery
24. marraskuuta 2006 klo 01:13 (GMT)
Kman ?????
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080

Viewing: 79 - 29

Page: 1 | 2Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Clear
41 °F
Selkeää