Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Major severe weather outbreak possible today
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 10. toukokuuta 2006 klo 14:25 (GMT) +0
A relative lull in the Spring severe weather season is over, as killer tornadoes have once again struck the southern U.S. At least three people were killed and ten injured last night when a tornado swept through Winchester and Anna, Texas, an area about 45 miles northeast of Dallas. The tornado struck at about 10:30 pm local time, and was part of an intense squall line that you can see in this radar animation. Tornadoes have also touched down in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi, and Alabama in the past 24 hours, as you can see from our Storm Report Map.


Figure 1. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a moderate risk of a major severe weather outbreak today across the lower Misssissippi Valley and central Gulf states, and northward across portions of the Tennessee Valley.

The significant severe weather event is expected to continue today across the lower Misssissippi Valley and central Gulf states, and northward across portions of the Tennessee Valley today. Strong tornadoes of up to F3 intensity, plus thunderstorms with damaging winds and very large hail are possible prior to the passage of a strong cold front today across the region. Flooding is also a concern in Missouri and Arkansas, where drought had been a major concern until recently.

My next blog will be Thursday.
Jeff Masters
AWESOME (stormchazertex)
This is a picture of a storm that is currently producing a large tornado over Northern Collin County in N. Central Texas. So far we know that the tornado that this storm produced has taken the lives of 3 people. SEE my other series of pic from May 10th entitled AFTERMATH for storm damage pictures.
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AWESOME
Flash Flooding Downtown Conway (HeathenWXHound)
Taken from my apartment balcony. We had severe flash flooding after 2 inches of rain in less than an hour.
Flash Flooding Downtown Conway
Categories: Tornado
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51. Levi32 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:28 (GMT)    
Latest microwave image just in:

Member Since: 24.11.2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
52. Levi32 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:29 (GMT)    
No David I will update tomorrow if I get time.
Member Since: 24.11.2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
54. Levi32 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:33 (GMT)    
Dry air might be the problem. The microwave shows almost no solid convection to the NW of the center. It looks like a pocket of dry air has smashed the NW side of the storm. That might make some sense when you look at this water vapor image. There is an area of fairly dry air between the large outside spiral band and the center.

Member Since: 24.11.2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
55. Levi32 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:34 (GMT)    
This is just my opinion Michael, but this just doesn't look like a sheared storm to me.
Member Since: 24.11.2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
56. Levi32 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:36 (GMT)    
It is definately dry air, just look at the break off of convection north of the storm until the outside band. If that doesn't look like dry air intrusion, I don't know what does.
Member Since: 24.11.2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
57. ForecasterColby 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 01:56 (GMT)    
Chanchu definetly isn't too healthy ATM. But consider that the shear over it is being produced by an anticyclone - that Chanchu is going to move under. Remember what happens then?
58. ForecasterColby 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 02:03 (GMT)    
Heh - now THIS is cold-core.

Link
60. TheLuckyTacoBlizzard 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 02:16 (GMT)    
where is that map tell you that like is it for us like FL and is it like for MX
61. RL3AO 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 02:30 (GMT)    
Heh - now THIS is cold-core.

Watch out Antartica!!!
63. Skyepony (Mod) 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 03:11 (GMT)    
I see we are up to 13 tornado reports now. One hit a meat packing plant.

Good bit of wind ~ the top of a water tower blew off, trees fell & power failed.

Lotta hail~ the softball is huge & nothing soft about it... Back to that PBS show lastnight & their clip on heavy hail. They showed how frogs, insects, fish, baby turtles were sucked up & huge hail would form around them. With the creatures or objects frozen in the center. They said it once happened with 3 people that were handgliding I think. Well they hit the storm & were forced to bail their aircraft, deploying their parashoots on the way down. They didn't go down through, the storm sucked them up & began covering their body's with ice, making them human hail. Somehow one survived, the other two died, frozen, covered in ice.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29256
64. franck 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 05:33 (GMT)    
That's one hailacious story Skyepony!!
Member Since: 30.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
65. franck 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 05:36 (GMT)    
LuckyTacoBlizzard...read your post seven times. Now when I close my eyes, they dart around and tickle my eyelids, and I can't get it to stop.
Member Since: 30.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
66. StormJunkie 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 10:53 (GMT)    
Good morning all. Still looking for good storm video and links for the site. Ya'll stop by and leave any feedback you have in my blog. I am continuing to update the site daily withmore links. Added several new model links last night.

Stormjunkie.com

Shear has slacked off a little, but still too high for anything to form right now. Should not be too long before the shear dies down a little more.

Thanks
SJ
Member Since: 17.08.2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15218
67. RL3AO 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 12:57 (GMT)    
Still at 75 kts, JWTC is changing the track every advisory. It's got some decent covection now.

68. TampaSteve 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 13:59 (GMT)    
Skyepony wrote:

"They said it once happened with 3 people that were handgliding I think. Well they hit the storm & were forced to bail their aircraft, deploying their parashoots on the way down. They didn't go down through, the storm sucked them up & began covering their body's with ice, making them human hail. Somehow one survived, the other two died, frozen, covered in ice."

Happened to some German glider pilots back in the 1930s. Two gliders got caught up in a thunderstorm and the pilots had to bail out. One of them made it. The other was sucked into the powerful updraft in the center of the storm and covered with heavy layers of ice. He became a human hailstone and fell 7 miles to his death. What a crappy way to die.
69. sayhuh 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 14:12 (GMT)    
Here is one of the coolest and funniest things I have seen in awhile...

Link
70. sayhuh 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 14:24 (GMT)    
Wonder if you could file a claim for insurance for bat damage? LOL
71. TampaSteve 11. toukokuuta 2006 klo 16:39 (GMT)    
Holy supercells, Batman!

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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