Hard freeze hits Midwest and Northeast fruit trees

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 27. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:36 (GMT)

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Large portions of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania shivered through a hard freeze (temperatures below 28°F ) this morning, and cold temperatures will cause widespread damage to flowering plants fooled into blooming by last week's unprecedented "Summer in March" heat wave. Growers of apples, pears, peaches, nectarines, plums, and cherries worked during the night and early morning to minimize the damage by running large fans and propane heaters in their orchards in an attempts to keep temperatures a few degrees warmer. While freezing temperatures for an extended period will not kill the trees, they will destroy the flowers and fragile buds that are needed to produce fruit later in the year. I expect that this morning's freeze was severe and widespread enough to cause tens of millions of dollars in damage to the fruit industry, but it will be several weeks before the extent of the damage is known. It would take several nights of temperatures in the 20s to cause a more significant billion-dollar disaster, such as occurred in 2007. A warm spell in March that year was followed by cold temperatures in early April that were 10 - 20 degrees below average, bringing killing frosts and freezes to the Midwest and South that caused $2.2 billion in agricultural damage, wiping out apple, peach, winter wheat and alfalfa crops.

During the remainder of this week, temperatures are expected to be much warmer than they were this morning, so the freeze damage will be limited compared to 2007. However, we still have two more months to go this spring when temperatures commonly fall below freezing. Plants will steadily grow more susceptible to cold temperatures in the coming weeks as the growing season progresses, and the odds of more destructive frosts and freezes for the Midwest and Northeast fruit industry are high.


Figure 1. Low temperatures this morning dipped below 30 degrees over Eastern Michigan, Northeast Ohio, Northern West Virginia, and much of Pennsylvania, in regions where spring bloom was well-advanced due to last week's record "Summer in March" heat wave. Widespread agricultural damage likely occurred in these areas.

History of billion-dollar U.S. freezes
Freezes can cause big damage to agriculture. According to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, there have been six billion-dollar U.S. freezes since 1980, accounting for 5% of all billion-dollar weather-related disasters. Five of these freezes affected California or Florida; one hit the Midwest. Ranked by damages (in 2011 dollars), here are the six billion-dollar U.S. freeze events since 1980:

1) California Freeze of December 1990. Severe freeze in the Central and Southern San Joaquin Valley caused the loss of citrus, avocado trees, and other crops in many areas. Several days of subfreezing temperatures occurred, with some valley locations in the teens. $5.9 billion in direct and indirect economic losses, including damage to public buildings, utilities, crops, and residences.

2) Florida Freeze of December 1983. Severe freeze central/northern Florida; about $4.5 billion damage to citrus industry.

3) California Freeze of December 1998. A severe freeze damaged fruit and vegetable crops in the Central and Southern San Joaquin Valley. Extended intervals of sub 27° F temperatures occurred over an 8-day period; $3.5 billion estimated damages/costs.

4) Florida Freeze of January 1985. Severe freeze in central/northern Florida; about $2.5 billion damage to citrus industry.

5) East/Midwest freeze of April 2007. Widespread severe freeze over much of the East and Midwest (AL, AR, GA, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MS, MO, NE, NC, OH, OK, SC, TN, VA, WV), causing significant losses in fruit crops, field crops (especially wheat), and the ornamental industry. Temperatures in the teens/20's accompanied by rather high winds nullified typical crop-protection systems. Over $2.2 billion in damage/costs.

6) California Freeze of January 2007. For nearly two weeks in January, overnight temperatures over a good portion of California dipped into the 20's, destroying numerous agricultural crops, with citrus, berry, and vegetable crops most affected. $1.5 billion estimated in damage/costs; 1 fatality reported.

Scotland records its all-time warmest March temperature
The ridge of high pressure that brought "Summer in March" to the U.S. last week moved over Western Europe over the weekend, bringing sunny skies and record-breaking high temperatures to the U.K. Scotland broke its record for hottest March temperature on record on Sunday, when the mercury hit 22.8°C at Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire. The record lasted only one day, as a new high of 22.9°C was recorded in Aboyne, Aberdeenshire, on Monday. That record also lasted just one day, as Aboyne, Aberdeenshire has hit 23.4°C today. The previous March record in Scotland was 22.2°C at Gordon Castle (Morayshire) in March 1957, and at Strachan (Kincardineshire) in March 1965.

Canada's 1926 all-time March temperature record questioned
I reported last week that the 29.2°C (85°F) measured at Western Head, Nova Scotia on March 22, 2012 was the third warmest temperature ever recorded in Canada in March. Environment Canada lists the hottest March temperature as a 31.1°C at Beaver Creek on Vancouver Island, BC on March 29th, 1926. However, weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera has looked into this record, and concluded that it is likely bogus. A station just a few miles away at Port Alberni measured a much cooler high temperature of 23.3°C that day, and the temperature range between the high and low temperature at Beaver Creek was almost 30°C, which is far too great for a station so close to the ocean. Such large differences between min and max temperature on sunny days usually commonly imply poor siting of the temperature instrument. He maintains that the highest March temperature in Canada should be the 29.4°C in 1921 at Wallaceburg, with the second highest being the 29.2°C (85°F) measured at Western Head, Nova Scotia on March 22, 2012.

Jeff Masters

Pink Springtime! (gardner48197)
Pink Springtime!
Pretty little blossoms (colamom)
all in a row. I don't remember this old Redbud tree ever having all the little clusters of blooms on the branches. I thought it was pretty.
Pretty little blossoms
()

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341. txjac
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 20:26 (GMT)
Wow! It's been quiet on here today!
Member Since: 24.04.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
340. txjac
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 18:30 (GMT)
Quoting HurrMichaelOrl:


It has been indeed. The last time I remember us having a substantial excess of rainfall for any length of time was around the time tropical storm Fay wandered by in 2008. I picked up 13.5" of rain at my house in Maitland from that storm. Since then, the summer rainy seasons have been barely average to below average. Even last summer when some have reported that we had a couple months of normal, daily rainfall, it did not happen like that in my immediate area. I really hope the rainy season goes gangbusters this year to help with the aquifer. Already a bit tired of the hot sun beating down this year, making mildly warm days feel HOT(odd for a Floridian I know).



I feel (or rather felt) your pain ...
In Texas last year it felt like hell ...I couldnt take the heat (still in the kitchen though!) and rain was just not happening. I totally enjoy all the rain that we are getting this year and it is awesome to see everything green once again ...looked like straw for too long!
Member Since: 24.04.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
339. HurrMichaelOrl
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 17:17 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Here in Orlando we could use a cool down and some rain as it's bone dry here!



It has been indeed. The last time I remember us having a substantial excess of rainfall for any length of time was around the time tropical storm Fay wandered by in 2008. I picked up 13.5" of rain at my house in Maitland from that storm. Since then, the summer rainy seasons have been barely average to below average. Even last summer when some have reported that we had a couple months of normal, daily rainfall, it did not happen like that in my immediate area. I really hope the rainy season goes gangbusters this year to help with the aquifer. Already a bit tired of the hot sun beating down this year, making mildly warm days feel HOT(odd for a Floridian I know).
Member Since: 13.07.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 950
338. hydrus
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:34 (GMT)

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0371
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST OH AND PA/MD TO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN WV/VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 281423Z - 281630Z

MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED BASIS
THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN PA TO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
WV/MD/VA. WITH TIME...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD BECOME MORE OF A
CONCERN INTO THE AFTERNOON. A WATCH COULD BECOME NECESSARY BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

BANDS OF ELEVATED STORMS...A FEW STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE...ARE
ONGOING FROM FAR EASTERN OH INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF PA AT
MID-MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...AND
ON THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF A STRONG ELEVATED MIXED LAYER ALOFT.
WHILE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS RELATIVELY DRY...12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS
FROM PITTSBURGH/WILMINGTON OH REFLECT STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
EXCESS OF 7.0 C/KM BETWEEN 700-500 MB ALONG WITH ELEVATED MOST
UNSTABLE CAPES IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG. WITH AMPLE VERTICAL
SHEAR...THIS SCENARIO WILL SUPPORT SOME STRONGER/POTENTIALLY SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

DAMAGING WINDS MAY BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN WITH TIME. VERY STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW IS NOTED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS AND
MORE CONTEMPORARY WSR-88D VWP DATA...WITH 50+ KT WINDS SAMPLED AS
LOW AS 2-4 KM AGL. AND THUS...AS THE PRE-COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER
QUICKLY WARMS AMID RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE SKIES ON THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF ONGOING ACTIVITY...STORMS WILL LIKELY
FURTHER INCREASE WITH DOWNDRAFTS MORE LIKELY TO COME INTO CONTACT
WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER. AS SUCH...AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN INTO THE AFTERNOON...SUCH THAT A
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19537
337. nigel20
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:21 (GMT)
TCHP

March, 27, 2011

March 27, 2012
Member Since: 6.11.2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
336. DavidHOUTX
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:21 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:






This is going to be another teaser
Member Since: 18.08.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 597
335. Ameister12
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:20 (GMT)
Member Since: 9.08.2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4499
334. nigel20
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:18 (GMT)
Quoting Neapolitan:
That's not what I'm seeing (unless you're talking about some future time, perhaps?). These maps from HAMweather show high and low temperature anomalies forecast for the next five days across the continental U.S.. Note there is another West8 Coast cooldown by the end of the period.

DAY 1
WarmWarm

DAY 2
WarmWarm

DAY 3
WarmWarm

DAY 4
WarmWarm

DAY 5
WarmWarm

So, above average in most areas
Member Since: 6.11.2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
333. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:13 (GMT)
Quoting jeffs713:

The NW Carib always jumps around this time of year. As for the anomalies, those are all from the heat wave the past few weeks. Since those areas are right along the gulf stream, the anomalies will be distributed out over the next few weeks to be a little less "glaring".
not if a ridge rebuilds over that area
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52262
332. Ameister12
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:11 (GMT)
Pittsburgh is getting hit by some very fast moving severe storms. 65-70 mph.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
958 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

OHC081-PAC003-007-125-129-WVC009-029-281415-
/O.CON.KPBZ.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120328T1415Z/
JEFFERSON OH-ALLEGHENY PA-BEAVER PA-WASHINGTON PA-HANCOCK WV-
BROOKE WV-WESTMORELAND PA-
958 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM EDT
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO...AND WESTMORELAND...
WASHINGTON AND ALLEGHENY COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...AND
BEAVER COUNTY IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND BROOKE AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 953 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR IMPERIAL...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WEIRTON... SUN VALLEY... NEW MANCHESTER...
NEW CUMBERLAND... FOLLANSBEE... COLLIERS...
RACCOON CREEK STATE PARK... MOON...
MCDONALD... IMPERIAL... FLORENCE...
BURGETTSTOWN...

LAT...LON 4051 7956 4023 7959 4033 8078 4054 8072
TIME...MOT...LOC 1358Z 273DEG 56KT 4042 8020

$$
Member Since: 9.08.2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4499
331. Neapolitan
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:10 (GMT)
Quoting nigel20:

Good morning all...near normal temps for most of the US
That's not what I'm seeing (unless you're talking about some future time, perhaps?). These maps from HAMweather show high and low temperature anomalies forecast for the next five days across the continental U.S.. Note there is another West Coast cooldown by the end of the period.

DAY 1
WarmWarm

DAY 2
WarmWarm

DAY 3
WarmWarm

DAY 4
WarmWarm

DAY 5
WarmWarm
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13275
330. SteveDa1
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 14:01 (GMT)
When I woke up this morning a slushy mix of snow, ice and water covered almost everything...

It should melt rather quickly since the temperature is now at 2.3C and climbing.






Nothing unheard of but it feels strange nonetheless after a week of summer-like warmth.
Member Since: 17.10.2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1297
329. GeorgiaStormz
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:57 (GMT)
Quoting MahFL:


You've not heard of the housing crisis and resulting recession, and record unemployment ?


Yes, I have, but a building like that could still change hands, rather than just lying around for years.
It would be a good investment for someone, and if I was an adult and had enough money, or if my business had enough capital, i would buy it to sell at some other time, even if i did not use it myself.
Member Since: 11.02.2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
328. nigel20
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:57 (GMT)
March 27, 2011

Member Since: 6.11.2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
327. jeffs713
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:47 (GMT)
Quoting nigel20:
SST anomalyMarch 27, 2012

I see El nino about to say hello.
Member Since: 3.08.2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
326. jeffs713
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:46 (GMT)
Quoting ILwthrfan:
The NW Caribbean really jumped up in the last two days or so....




Very disturbing SST pattern setting up for this season. 2-3 degree Celsius anomalies all along the U.S. coast.



The NW Carib always jumps around this time of year. As for the anomalies, those are all from the heat wave the past few weeks. Since those areas are right along the gulf stream, the anomalies will be distributed out over the next few weeks to be a little less "glaring".
Member Since: 3.08.2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
325. nigel20
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:45 (GMT)
SST anomalyMarch 27, 2012
Member Since: 6.11.2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
324. MahFL
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:44 (GMT)
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Why dont they sell it if it is still in good condition.


You've not heard of the housing crisis and resulting recession, and record unemployment ?
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2906
323. MahFL
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:43 (GMT)
Quoting TampaSpin:


There is usually very hefty FINES when not finished in a reasonable time....dealing with a Church might be different tho........


If you've ran out of money building a building, your proberbly not too worried about a heafty fine, as you have no money !
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2906
322. nigel20
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:36 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Good morning all...near normal temps for most of the US
Member Since: 6.11.2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 7462
321. Xyrus2000
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:33 (GMT)
Quoting jrweatherman:



I echo your comments. We're just in a cycle of warmer weather. 25 years from now we'll be talking about the next ice age.


Oh? And where is your scientific evidence of this statement? Because as of right now, most of the world's climatologists strongly disagree with that statement and have quite a bit of research and observation to back them up.
Member Since: 31.10.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1225
320. Xyrus2000
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:25 (GMT)
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Actually running a general weather site does sound tempting. I got the hardware to run one just need someone who is skilled in designing a website. I'm pretty sure you could run one hell of a site with just people off this blog. Time to start recruiting?


For your own weather blog or something similar, you can probably just download one of the open source packages out there and go from there. There are also open source tools to help develop your site, along with multiple different frameworks to choose from for incorporating interactivity and graphics into your site (GWT, jQuery, JSP, JSF, OpenLayers, etc.).

But if your talking about a real weather site (similar to NWS or AccuWeather), it takes a lot more than that. The website is just the eye candy, and probably the easiest part to create. You'll need some decent hardware if you're planning to run model ensembles (a decent supercomputer) and unless your very familiar with superomputing systems, their environments, and the models themselves you're in for one hell of a time trying to set that up (I speak from experience, science models in general are a PITA to work with). You'll also need certified mets for the analysis, regardless of whether you're generating the data or interpreting data from other sites.

It depends on what your goal is really.
Member Since: 31.10.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1225
319. LargoFl
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:14 (GMT)
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...

OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC013-217-290354-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120329T1558Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120321T1722Z.120325T1245Z.120328T1558 Z.NO/
754 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT 7:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE
CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN
RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$
Member Since: 6.08.2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33363
318. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:12 (GMT)
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Why dont they sell it if it is still in good condition.


I don't know the building not even fully built.
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
317. LargoFl
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:08 (GMT)
Quoting ILwthrfan:
The NW Caribbean really jumped up in the last two days or so....




Very disturbing SST pattern setting up for this season. 2-3 degree Celsius anomalies all along the U.S. coast.


we sure could use some tropical rains right about now, central florida is dry as a bone
Member Since: 6.08.2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33363
316. GeorgiaStormz
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:08 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:


That building was built 10 years ago but never finished as the Church that was building it ran out of money. This building is right on I-4 and can be seen for miles. I work just a few miles from this building here in Altamonte Springs.


Why dont they sell it if it is still in good condition.
Member Since: 11.02.2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
315. LargoFl
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:07 (GMT)
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...

OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC013-217-290354-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120329T1558Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120321T1722Z.120325T1245Z.120328T1558 Z.NO/
754 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT 7:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE
CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN
RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$
Member Since: 6.08.2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33363
314. ILwthrfan
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 13:07 (GMT)
The NW Caribbean really jumped up in the last two days or so....




Very disturbing SST pattern setting up for this season. 2-3 degree Celsius anomalies all along the U.S. coast.


Member Since: 2.02.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1403
313. TampaSpin
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:59 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:


That building was built 10 years ago but never finished as the Church that was building it ran out of money. This building is right on I-4 and can be seen for miles. I work just a few miles from this building here in Altamonte Springs.


There is usually very hefty FINES when not finished in a reasonable time....dealing with a Church might be different tho........
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
312. ILwthrfan
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:56 (GMT)
That is a really good soaking rain there in South Texas. It's good to see South and West Texas getting in on some of the love...
Member Since: 2.02.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1403
311. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:54 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:






Those areas needed that rain bad as they haven't seen the rain that eastern TX has seen.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
310. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:53 (GMT)
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



since i am not from orlando, can you explain?


That building was built 10 years ago but never finished as the Church that was building it ran out of money. This building is right on I-4 and can be seen for miles. I work just a few miles from this building here in Altamonte Springs.
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
309. RitaEvac
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:48 (GMT)




Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
308. GeorgiaStormz
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:46 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:
If your from Orlando then you will understand.




since i am not from orlando, can you explain?
Member Since: 11.02.2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
307. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:43 (GMT)
If your from Orlando then you will understand.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
306. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:38 (GMT)
Quoting weatherh98:


Because the sun is directly over head there hahaha


No, it's because of the weakening easterly trade winds. Hence the weakening La-Nina infact we are now closing in on Neutral.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
305. weatherh98
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:35 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:
There was a pretty good size circle of sub 80 SST's in the Central Equatorial Pacific but that has quickly eroded over the last 8 days.



Because the sun is directly over head there hahaha
Member Since: 17.06.2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6439
304. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:31 (GMT)
There was a pretty good size circle of sub 80 SST's in the Central Equatorial Pacific but that has quickly eroded over the last 8 days.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
303. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:22 (GMT)
Here in Orlando we could use a cool down and some rain as it's bone dry here!

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
302. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:17 (GMT)

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
301. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:17 (GMT)
The lake Effect snow machine turned back on?




Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
300. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:15 (GMT)
Post 274 shows it all look at all the moisture building across the C & Eastern Pacific. This is hwat will jump start the southern branch.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
299. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:12 (GMT)
Post 296 I think people are still thinking we are in a La Nina pattern but that's not the case now that we are nearing Neutral conditions. I believe Aussie posted something about this yesterday afternoon. First half of April is looking stormy whether it be from heavy sonw events or severe wx. People in the south may want to watch this trend as well as we could have another case of active tornado outbreaks coming thru.

Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
298. GeorgiaStormz
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:10 (GMT)
Who in the NE is ready for Snow Showers.
Its been a while.
Member Since: 11.02.2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
297. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:08 (GMT)
Post 295 if the models continue to fall into place then expect to see much lower numbers. If you remember this was the same issue last week and look this morning your at 41 which was not predicted by your NWS office this time last week. GFS and Euro overnight and this morning have seem to come into better agreement so we will have to see if this holds or do the models change again. I will say though further we go thru the week then you will know for sure what's coming.
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
296. GeorgiaStormz
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 12:02 (GMT)
Quoting uncwhurricane85:



yeah snow on the i-95 corridor into southern v.a. hahahah i wish, but i dont see it happeneing either


you sound like people before the blizzard of 93
Member Since: 11.02.2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
295. TropicalAnalystwx13
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 11:58 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:
This could be the knock out punch to all the fruit trees and fruits across the mid south. Very very bad if this does happen as it looks as if the models are converging on a strong push of cold air than the one we just had.

All they have is 40s/50s for lows in the south, 30s in the north, and highs in the 60s and 70s. I would not call this a strong push of cold air.
Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
294. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 11:52 (GMT)
Post 292 I know I would post the models but the blog is screwed up. I can't even quote your comment.
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
293. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 11:50 (GMT)
This could be the knock out punch to all the fruit trees and fruits across the mid south. Very very bad if this does happen as it looks as if the models are converging on a strong push of cold air than the one we just had.
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
292. TropicalAnalystwx13
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 11:48 (GMT)
Quoting StormTracker2K:
For people who thought this last cold snap was bad across the upper midwest & New England then wait as a more pronounced cold snap is coming and this looks to bring freezes all the way down to TN to NC early next week. Yikes!!

I'm sorry, but that cannot be allowed.

It is currently 41 F. I've not seen morning temperatures like this in two/three weeks. It does not feel good either.
Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30257
291. StormTracker2K
28. maaliskuuta 2012 klo 11:45 (GMT)
For people who thought this last cold snap was bad across the upper midwest & New England then wait as a more pronounced cold snap is coming and this looks to bring freezes all the way down to TN to NC early next week. Yikes!!
Member Since: 26.10.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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