Heavy rains for Florida; dangerous Hurricane Jova headed for Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 9. lokakuuta 2011 klo 17:36 (GMT)

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A large extratropical low pressure system with heavy rain and gale-force winds is centered over the Northwest Bahamas. Water vapor satellite loops show that the center of this low is filled with dry air, and is headed northwest at 5 - 10 mph. The low will cross over the Florida Peninsula today. The west side of this low also has a large amount of dry air, which is limiting precipitation amounts along the Gulf of Mexico coast, but the east side has plenty of tropical moisture. Radar-estimated rainfall amounts since Friday are already in excess of ten inches just inland along the Central Florida coast. Melbourne, Florida had its second wettest October day in its history yesterday, with 5.68" of rain. Much of the region, including Cocoa Beach, is under a flood watch, high surf advisories, and a high wind watch for wind gusts up to 55 mph. Winds offshore from the Florida east coast are near tropical storm strength this afternoon. Buoy 41009 offshore from Cape Canaveral recorded sustained winds of 38 mph, gusting to 47 mph, at 1 pm EDT today. Several ships have reported winds in excess of 46 mph this morning along the Florida east coast. Due to the large amount of dry air near the storm's center and west side, plus the fact the track of the storm will take it over the Florida Peninsula today and into the Florida Panhandle by Tuesday night, I doubt the storm will have time to organize into a tropical or subtropical storm that gets a name. NHC is currently giving this storm a 30% chance of becoming a named tropical or subtropical storm by Tuesday morning. This large diffuse system will bring strong winds and heavy rains to a large area of the Southeast U.S. coast over the next two days.


Figure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall from the Melbourne, Florida radar as of Sunday afternoon.

Dangerous Hurricane Jova headed for Mexico
In the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico, Hurricane Jova continues to slowly intensify. Recent satellite loops show the hurricane has developed a prominent eye, and low level spiral bands have become more organized. A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to arrive at Jova near 11 am PDT today. The computer models have come into excellent agreement on the track of Jova, with storm expected to hit just west of Manzanillo. The big unknown is how intense Jova will be at landfall. Jova is under light wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, and shear is predicted to stay in the low to moderate range between now and landfall. Ocean temperatures are warm, 28 - 29°C, but the warm waters do not extend to great depth, limiting Jova's potential for rapid intensification. The upper atmosphere is also not cold enough to give Jova the kind of instability typically needed for rapid intensification. Nonetheless, both the GFDL and HWRF models predict Jova will intensify into a major Category 3 and Category 4 hurricane, respectively, before landfall on Tuesday on the Mexican coast. Regardless of Jova's strength at landfall, the storm will bring very heavy rains to the Mexican coast capable of causing dangerous flash floods and mudslides, beginning on Monday.


Figure 2. Afternoon visible satellite image of Tropical Storm Irwin (left) Hurricane Jova (center) and Invest 99E (right) over the East Pacific.


Figure 3. Rainfall forecast for Hurricane Jova from this morning's 2 am EDT run of the GFDL model. Image credit: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL.

Tropical Storm Irwin also headed for Mexico
Once Jova has made landfall, Mexico needs to concern itself with Tropical Storm Irwin, farther to the west. The computer forecast models show Irwin could make landfall as a tropical storm on the Mexican coast late in the week, along the same stretch of coast Jova will affect. If this verifies, the one-two punch of heavy rains from two tropical cyclones within a week could cause a devastating flood situation along the Mexican coast.

Jeff Masters

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1008. redwagon
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 20:42 (GMT)
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
RitaEvac, I believe in what I see when Texas is in a La Nina weather pattern like it has been since last October rain does not happen very often in most of Texas. The years there is an El Nino Texas is usually above average to way above average in rainfall. I believe in the facts. Last 2 El Nino years i received 45 to 60 inches of rain, last 2 La Nina years I received 10 to 15 inches. That is what I believe.

Bohonk, what long-range wx forecast do you use? Bob Rose, LCRA met, was only accurate during the drought (Hot! Dry!): he's missed almost every cast this last month since the high started breaking down and moving away.

I was wondering what setup we in Centex could look to with Jova and maybe 99 sending moisture.
Member Since: 4.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2798
1007. sunlinepr
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 18:13 (GMT)
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Punta San Telmo northward to Cabo Corrientes (Mexico), while a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Lazaro Cardenas northward to south of Punta San Telmo (Mexico).

Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9648
1006. sunlinepr
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 18:05 (GMT)
Member Since: 2.08.2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9648
1005. guygee
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 15:05 (GMT)
Quoting wayne0224:
i found that impressive however that came from a usaf tower at a hight of 60 ft above the ground. not a surface wind.
WMO and NWS standards for wind measurement are 10 meters, or about 30 feet high, not measurement directly at the surface.
Member Since: 16.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3058
1004. Buhdog
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 15:02 (GMT)
Quoting wayne0224:
i found that impressive however that came from a usaf tower at a hight of 60 ft above the ground. not a surface wind.



I hear you surf lady... now how did you get so lucky?

I just love a good surprise!!! Must have been a wild night up there....stunning day in Ft myers so far!
Member Since: 30.07.2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 958
1003. wayne0224
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:52 (GMT)
Quoting surfsidesindy:


81 mph Playinda Beach/Merritt island confirmed. Rainfall forecasts on FRIDAY were much smaller than what they changed them to on Saturday, when the rain was already coming down in buckets.
i found that impressive however that came from a usaf tower at a hight of 60 ft above the ground. not a surface wind.
Member Since: 1.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 136
1002. barbamz
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:41 (GMT)
In case someone is interested: Volcanic things are taking place in the sea of El Hierro/Canaries:
Link

And BTW: I'm so glad there was some rain in Texas! Greetings from Germany, Barbara
Member Since: 25.10.2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 5020
1001. surfsidesindy
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:39 (GMT)
Quoting wayne0224:
8 plus was forcasted by dr masters and the national weather service.as for winds i have only seen reports of gusts above 60 none above 70 not saying it dident happen however.


81 mph Playinda Beach/Merritt island confirmed. Rainfall forecasts on FRIDAY were much smaller than what they changed them to on Saturday, when the rain was already coming down in buckets.
Member Since: 7.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
1000. DookiePBC
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:35 (GMT)
Quoting Buhdog:
If you live in FL and you were taken by "surprise" then you are an idiot. This low pressure storm or storms has been forecast for over a week now...just because one mid level became dominant and came ashore should not be a big deal. Now if it came out of the blue and hit....well there would be some splainin to do! This was called by many...and it happened...where is it landed is semantics.


What caught me by surprise was how much rain was forecast down here and how little we actually got. (Lake Worth / West Palm area). But I guess that's being surprised in a good way! :-)
Member Since: 1.09.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 447
999. wayne0224
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:22 (GMT)
Quoting surfsidesindy:


I agree to a point, however, we were told to expect gusts up to 45, not 81 mph, is what we got, and we were told to expect 2-3" of rain, not 7-8".

Having said that, they obviously were not able to predict that the storm was going to spin up like that right before coming inland at 11pm and the very severe weather affected just a relatively small swath of people. For the people in the swath though, it was like a full blown TS.

8 plus was forcasted by dr masters and the national weather service.as for winds i have only seen reports of gusts above 60 none above 70 not saying it dident happen however.
Member Since: 1.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 136
998. surfsidesindy
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:15 (GMT)
Quoting Buhdog:
If you live in FL and you were taken by "surprise" then you are an idiot. This low pressure storm or storms has been forecast for over a week now...just because one mid level became dominant and came ashore should not be a big deal. Now if it came out of the blue and hit....well there would be some splainin to do! This was called by many...and it happened...where is it landed is semantics.


I agree to a point, however, we were told to expect gusts up to 45, not 81 mph, is what we got, and we were told to expect 2-3" of rain, not 7-8".

Having said that, they obviously were not able to predict that the storm was going to spin up like that right before coming inland at 11pm and the very severe weather affected just a relatively small swath of people. For the people in the swath though, it was like a full blown TS.

Member Since: 7.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
997. surfsidesindy
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:13 (GMT)
.
Member Since: 7.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
996. FSUCOOPman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:12 (GMT)
Quoting wayne0224:
Nor Easters bring winds of ts forse and higher everythime they form should we name them. most of the wind from this system was the result of tight pressure graidents between the high to the north and the low comming together to the south. This debate will go on and on but we were told what to expect in florida and thats just what we got


IMO, yes they should be named, but I believe that's part of a culture thing too. The Northeast knows what to expect when a Nor'Easter is coming...simply by the name designation Nor'Easter.

In Florida, we get some pretty nasty T-storms on the regular, so unless a named system is coming, most people will not even think twice about it.

I've now read 2 separate boating accidents as a result of this. I know these people were extremely short-sighted for not checking the boating report for their area, but this is exactly what I'm talking about... Less of the idiots will go out boating with a named system. Less rescue workers in jeopardy. Less drama altogether.

Keep in mind I'm not saying they should be named based on a certain set of measureable weather phenomena... I don't know enough about the maps to even venture a guess at that. I'm just saying I think they should be named as part of a warning system.
Member Since: 29.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 365
995. Skyepony (Mod)
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:10 (GMT)
Storm damage reports from NFL out of Jax.. they had an eventful night..

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
927 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM COASTAL FLOOD 3 S DOWNTOWN JACKSONVIL 30.29N 81.66W
10/10/2011 DUVAL FL NWS STORM SURVEY

FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND COASTAL FLOODING
REPORTED AT LASALLE AND PALM AVES. IN SAN MARCO AREA OF
JACKSONVILLE. FLOODING IN LANGDON PARK WITH WATER 6
INCHES BELOW TOP OF SEAWALL ALONG RIVER RD.

Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36074
994. Buhdog
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:10 (GMT)
If you live in FL and you were taken by "surprise" then you are an idiot. This low pressure storm or storms has been forecast for over a week now...just because one mid level became dominant and came ashore should not be a big deal. Now if it came out of the blue and hit....well there would be some splainin to do! This was called by many...and it happened...where is it landed is semantics.
Member Since: 30.07.2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 958
993. TropicTraveler
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:05 (GMT)
Quoting AussieStorm:

You guys over there don't need a license to drive a boat?? Here it's law and alcohol limit is like on the road, 0.05

No license requird. I think there should be, as well as a requirement that people take the coast guard auxiliary boating course - at least the basic boating safety one. Hubby and I took it and it prevented us from all sorts to dumb mistakes (like leaving lines where they can wrap around the props and checking weather before we go out). I credit the course with some 50 years of safe boating we've had.
Member Since: 24.07.2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 917
992. Skyepony (Mod)
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:04 (GMT)
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36074
991. wayne0224
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:04 (GMT)
Quoting FSUCOOPman:


Just MO, but if the a system is going to bring TS or higher winds to an area, it should be classified just for the simple fact that people need to be aware of the weather situation.

From experience, a named system gets MUCH more respect than unnamed when it comes to being prepared and\or altering plans due to the weather.

The affects of this system were that of a TS, so it would've been nice to see people adequately warned.

If even one person died due to weather related events from this unnamed system, then I think it's a failure on NHC's part. And I think we lost a boater down near the Florida Keys already...Although, it could certainly be argued that those on the boat might've gone out even with a named system.
Nor Easters bring winds of ts forse and higher everythime they form should we name them. most of the wind from this system was the result of tight pressure graidents between the high to the north and the low comming together to the south. This debate will go on and on but we were told what to expect in florida and thats just what we got
Member Since: 1.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 136
990. surfsidesindy
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 14:02 (GMT)
Quoting AussieStorm:

You guys over there don't need a license to drive a boat?? Here it's law and alcohol limit is like on the road, 0.05


Hey Aussie, I'm a teetotaler now but do they still have XXXX beer down under? Did some damage to that particular brand when I toured Australia back in '92!
Member Since: 7.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
989. AussieStorm
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:59 (GMT)
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning all. Despite the forecasts, and the weather that hit Key West on Saturday, the weekend was pretty nice down here. We did have a windy Saturday and the rain didn't start until the afternoon. Once the rain passed by, the air was rather chilly. It almost felt like a winter storm or at least our windy November weather that happens just in time for the Powerboat races.

Its a shame that fool family from WPB went fishing with 8 people in a 22 foot center console boat. Don't people read forecasts of weather or at least look around at the sea conditions before going boating? They are lucky they were found. No float plan and not enough PFD's. I am beginning to agree with the Coast Guard that we need to issue driver's licenses for boaters. It should be a felony to be so stupid. But I guess the loss of the one 80 year old woman will haunt them forever.

We are having a beautiful Chamber of Commerce day in Key West. I hope the rest of you stay dry. I am not begrudging the rain because I know soon enough we will be going to water rationing again. Have a good day all.


You guys over there don't need a license to drive a boat?? Here it's law and alcohol limit is like on the road, 0.05
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15749
988. FSUCOOPman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:56 (GMT)
Quoting Neapolitan:Bottom line: what does it really matter whether the NHC named it? Other than die-hard weather enthusiasts like us, is the world any different either way?


Just MO, but if the a system is going to bring TS or higher winds to an area, it should be classified just for the simple fact that people need to be aware of the weather situation.

From experience, a named system gets MUCH more respect than unnamed when it comes to being prepared and\or altering plans due to the weather.

The affects of this system were that of a TS, so it would've been nice to see people adequately warned.

If even one person died due to weather related events from this unnamed system, then I think it's a failure on NHC's part. And I think we lost a boater down near the Florida Keys already...Although, it could certainly be argued that those on the boat might've gone out even with a named system.
Member Since: 29.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 365
987. AussieStorm
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:56 (GMT)
Quoting Neapolitan:

Mate I agree, Debate is good, we all learn from it, but NHC bashing does nothing.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15749
986. rod2635
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:51 (GMT)
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning all. Despite the forecasts, and the weather that hit Key West on Saturday, the weekend was pretty nice down here. We did have a windy Saturday and the rain didn't start until the afternoon. Once the rain passed by, the air was rather chilly. It almost felt like a winter storm or at least our windy November weather that happens just in time for the Powerboat races.

Its a shame that fool family from WPB went fishing with 8 people in a 22 foot center console boat. Don't people read forecasts of weather or at least look around at the sea conditions before going boating? They are lucky they were found. No float plan and not enough PFD's. I am beginning to agree with the Coast Guard that we need to issue driver's licenses for boaters. It should be a felony to be so stupid. But I guess the loss of the one 80 year old woman will haunt them forever.

We are having a beautiful Chamber of Commerce day in Key West. I hope the rest of you stay dry. I am not begrudging the rain because I know soon enough we will be going to water rationing again. Have a good day all.



I'm taking a week in KW starting 10/15. Seeing a lot of rain predicted. You think this is likely...admittedly still a week away and a lot can change, but would like a few sunny days at least
Member Since: 27.01.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
985. TropicTraveler
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:51 (GMT)
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning all. Despite the forecasts, and the weather that hit Key West on Saturday, the weekend was pretty nice down here. We did have a windy Saturday and the rain didn't start until the afternoon. Once the rain passed by, the air was rather chilly. It almost felt like a winter storm or at least our windy November weather that happens just in time for the Powerboat races.

Its a shame that fool family from WPB went fishing with 8 people in a 22 foot center console boat. Don't people read forecasts of weather or at least look around at the sea conditions before going boating? They are lucky they were found. No float plan and not enough PFD's. I am beginning to agree with the Coast Guard that we need to issue driver's licenses for boaters. It should be a felony to be so stupid. But I guess the loss of the one 80 year old woman will haunt them forever.

We are having a beautiful Chamber of Commerce day in Key West. I hope the rest of you stay dry. I am not begrudging the rain because I know soon enough we will be going to water rationing again. Have a good day all.



We towed some people in who were stranded off Key Largo by a line wrapped around their propellor shaft in the face of an oncoming storm. They'd tied their stern to a rock and were flooding more with each wave. In spite of high seas and torrential rain, got them safely tied at the dock (they were from Ft. Lauderdale) about 5 P.M. They insisted in going back out as they wanted to get home that night. Instead of turning North toward Lauderdale they turned south to Key West - right into the teeth of the storm. They were an elderly couple. Never heard whatever happened to them but it couldn't have been good.
Member Since: 24.07.2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 917
984. reedzone
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:50 (GMT)
Quoting Patrap:


A weakening Subtropical system due to land.
Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
983. bohonkweatherman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:46 (GMT)
RitaEvac, I believe in what I see when Texas is in a La Nina weather pattern like it has been since last October rain does not happen very often in most of Texas. The years there is an El Nino Texas is usually above average to way above average in rainfall. I believe in the facts. Last 2 El Nino years i received 45 to 60 inches of rain, last 2 La Nina years I received 10 to 15 inches. That is what I believe.
Member Since: 5.07.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
982. Patrap
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:45 (GMT)
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125540
981. surfsidesindy
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:44 (GMT)
Quoting wunderweatherman123:
jova looks to be apporaching cat 5 status if that northern eyewall can get all the pinks around it :P


Just looked at where it's headed. Chamela is a small town (beautiful), seems to be some luxury resorts and private residences near there, then of cours Manzanillo to the South, and Puero Vallarta to the North. Prayers go out to all those in Jova's path. Glad to go through just a little No Name storm instead.
Member Since: 7.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
980. Skyepony (Mod)
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:44 (GMT)
Quoting druseljic:
Any precipitation for the panhandle or just a bit of wind?


Good chance of rain.. I'd say 60-70% with the east end getting the better odds.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36074
979. Patrap
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:43 (GMT)



Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125540
978. HurricaneHunterJoe
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:43 (GMT)
HH on the way to a last run into Cat 3 Hurricane Jova. Last pressure I saw was 957mb. She is a small nasty storm,but could pull off a Charlie on the Mexican,and we all know how bad he was, even with his small size and windfield. Good Luck!
Member Since: 18.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4570
977. whepton3
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:42 (GMT)
Quoting Patrap:
Gulf Of Mexico - Rainbow Loop


Vigorous blob rolling into LA.

Potent line E. of the FL coast.
Member Since: 19.07.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 645
976. Drakoen
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:42 (GMT)
Satellife imagery looks like a subtropical cyclone that has made landfall. Low pressure center around the big bend region.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
975. reedzone
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:41 (GMT)
Quoting HondosGirl:
The rain has finally reached my area of the Panhandle. Nice medium rain since about 7:00 a.m. --- the wind from yesterday has seemed to settle down somewhat for the time being.


Thats because it's on land, Subtropical/Tropical systems weaken when on land. This isn't a fully cold cored system as the NHC said earlier.
Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
974. bohonkweatherman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:40 (GMT)
Not all of Texas is in terrible drought like my area is. The Abilene area has had several great rains the past 4 months. There are cracks in the pasture land behind my house that are 5 to 7 inches wide because alot of it is clay, those cracks closed up an inch or 2 with the rain. Instead of being down 26 inches in the past 12 months I am now down 24 inches.
Member Since: 5.07.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
973. HondosGirl
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:39 (GMT)
The rain has finally reached my area of the Panhandle. Nice medium rain since about 7:00 a.m. --- the wind from yesterday has seemed to settle down somewhat for the time being.
Member Since: 20.08.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 111
972. RitaEvac
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:37 (GMT)
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Received 2 inches at my house in Texas Saturday night, first rain since June 22, before that it was like 6 weeks without rain. Question is when will the next rain fall at my house? The forecast now is dry and warm. That is the La Nina weather pattern for Texas rain then several weeks without rain and above average to way above average in temps. I just hope my next rain comes soon but in the past 12 months I get a rain then several weeks or months later I get another rain. So is Florida still in a drought or what? LOL


You needed that 2 inches bad. Don't buy into the La Nina stuff, weather will do want it wants to do, not what the experts say it will. They can't predict what will happen.
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
971. Buhdog
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:37 (GMT)
I dont see the low in the gulf at all....anyone see it?
Member Since: 30.07.2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 958
970. islander101010
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:36 (GMT)
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Received 2 inches at my house in Texas Saturday night, first rain since June 22, before that it was like 6 weeks without rain. Question is when will the next rain fall at my house? The forecast now is dry and warm. That is the La Nina weather pattern for Texas rain then several weeks without rain and above average to way above average in temps. I just hope my next rain comes soon but in the past 12 months I get a rain then several weeks or months later I get another rain. So is Florida still in a drought or what? LOL
look south
Member Since: 11.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4017
969. RitaEvac
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:35 (GMT)
Pasadena TX near Houston picked up a tad over 6 inches and for the whole year they've only had over 9 inches. Think about that for a second
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
968. wunderweatherman123
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:33 (GMT)
jova looks to be apporaching cat 5 status if that northern eyewall can get all the pinks around it :P
Member Since: 23.08.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1243
967. bohonkweatherman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:31 (GMT)
Received 2 inches at my house in Texas Saturday night, first rain since June 22, before that it was like 6 weeks without rain. Question is when will the next rain fall at my house? The forecast now is dry and warm. That is the La Nina weather pattern for Texas rain then several weeks without rain and above average to way above average in temps. I just hope my next rain comes soon but in the past 12 months I get a rain then several weeks or months later I get another rain. So is Florida still in a drought or what? LOL
Member Since: 5.07.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
966. leicaman
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:30 (GMT)
Finally!! Friday, Saturday & Sunday rainfall total in Fairview Texas, 3.75" (35 miles SE of San Antonio)
Member Since: 24.06.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 68
965. reedzone
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:25 (GMT)
Quoting druseljic:
Any precipitation for the panhandle or just a bit of wind?


Rain/wind
Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
964. RitaEvac
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:25 (GMT)
October will go down as our greenest month as far as vegetation and grass goes. Water levels are still utterly low on basins, lakes, ponds and reservoirs.
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
963. druseljic
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:22 (GMT)
Quoting reedzone:


Panhandle
Any precipitation for the panhandle or just a bit of wind?
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
962. RitaEvac
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:22 (GMT)
Received 3.85" of rain yesterday at my place in SE TX. numerous 3-6 inches recorded around the area.

Haven't had rain like that in a loooooooonnnnnnggg time
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
961. Patrap
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:21 (GMT)
Gulf Of Mexico - Rainbow Loop
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125540
960. reedzone
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:16 (GMT)
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
is the center gonna make the gulf? or panhandle?


Panhandle
Member Since: 1.07.2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
959. HurricaneHunterJoe
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:14 (GMT)
Quoting reedzone:
COC of the UNNAMED Subtropical Storm is slightly west of the ball of convection.

Beautiful!
is the center gonna make the gulf? or panhandle?
Member Since: 18.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4570
958. HurricaneHunterJoe
10. lokakuuta 2011 klo 13:11 (GMT)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Jova is a nasty little girl with bad intentions!!
Member Since: 18.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4570

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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