Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 21. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:34 (GMT)

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Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.

The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.

Jeff Masters

Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris (enghorn)
Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris

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859. Smikey
27. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 19:49 (GMT)
"2010 - 2011: Earth's most extreme weather since 1816?”

Since when did “Extreme” become a valid scientific measurement??
Member Since: 5.06.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 46
858. Aquaimage13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 19:20 (GMT)
Quoting hurricanehunter27:

Me and him got in a rather large fight about japans nuclear disaster. He was trying to scare people into believing that the radition from the plant was gona get to the US and to start causing damage. He also was giving false information about the palnt was a full core melt down when it was only a partial meltdown. Stuff that really pissed me off though was i was getting gerneral support from the other viewers via comment and ups, he then procceded to delete all my comments of his false and panic indusing info. So i think its best if you do not promote him.



Well I am sorry but it turns out that he was right about the Japan Nuclear Incedent. It is in full meltdown and has been for a while now. The Japan Gov. and our Gov were lying to us the whole time. InfoWars. com has a lot of good info about it. I think it is best to promote him, he is the one driving around the U.S. trying to help. Most of his research makes perfect sense to me once I let my "conspiracy" guard down and read into it. I wonder why they are forcing all the Japanese children to wear radiation detectors everywhere they go now. That is strange in a partial meltdown is it not?
Member Since: 7.10.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 21
857. hurricanehunter27
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 16:32 (GMT)
Quoting Aquaimage13:
Has anyone looked at the info on Dutchsinse's YouTube channel. He looks into a lot of wx anomalies and has forecasted with over an 80% accuracy rating on tornado landfalls and extreme wx within 20 miles 24-48 hrs out. Kind of scary stuff he is talking about, IE. HAARP and weather modification.

Me and him got in a rather large fight about japans nuclear disaster. He was trying to scare people into believing that the radition from the plant was gona get to the US and to start causing damage. He also was giving false information about the palnt was a full core melt down when it was only a partial meltdown. Stuff that really pissed me off though was i was getting gerneral support from the other viewers via comment and ups, he then procceded to delete all my comments of his false and panic indusing info. So i think its best if you do not promote him.
856. blsealevel
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:26 (GMT)
Intresting setup for GOMEX

Link
Member Since: 23.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
855. Aquaimage13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:19 (GMT)
Has anyone looked at the info on Dutchsinse's YouTube channel. He looks into a lot of wx anomalies and has forecasted with over an 80% accuracy rating on tornado landfalls and extreme wx within 20 miles 24-48 hrs out. Kind of scary stuff he is talking about, IE. HAARP and weather modification.
Member Since: 7.10.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 21
854. RitaEvac
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:16 (GMT)
851, look at radar
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
852. atmoaggie
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:16 (GMT)
wen golb
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
851. LPStormspotter
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:15 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
Getting nervous for the area SW of Galveston Bay, outflow boundary coming in weak echoes


Why do you say that Rita
Member Since: 17.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 379
850. RitaEvac
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:14 (GMT)
Quoting ihatejunebugs:
I'm in League City, West of 45. Pouring here. FINALLY!!!!


See it on radar, I'm near Bay Colony, but work somewhere else
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
849. pottery
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:13 (GMT)
Quoting afj3:
Both GFS and NOGAPS are showing something brewing in the Gulf in a few days. Since the GFS is not exactly an early adopter, I find this interesting. Anybody? Anybody?

Most likely picking up on this wave around 55-60W
Looking at the WV loops, there is a lot to it.
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
848. jpsb
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:13 (GMT)
Quoting shoreacres:


Yeh? Like when? We're still waiting down here. I was hoping for a little more than a few sprinkles on top of the picnic table. ;-(
Just walked out into the front yard to have a look at shore acres, yall got some nice dark clouds above you. Got a sprinkle here, guess that is better then nothing. Local radio said rain will let up noonish, well that's just a couple of hours from now and NO RAIN YET! This sucks I can see the rain right accross the bay, but nothing here. :(
Member Since: 30.06.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1010
847. afj3
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:10 (GMT)
Both GFS and NOGAPS are showing something brewing in the Gulf in a few days. Since the GFS is not exactly an early adopter, I find this interesting. Anybody? Anybody?
Member Since: 10.06.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 346
846. pottery
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:09 (GMT)
YOIKS....
It's coming down REAL hard here. 11n 61w.
This looks like floods.........
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
845. TropicalAnalystwx13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:06 (GMT)
One year ago - Soon to be Alex



One year ago - Hurricane Celia and soon to be Darby



Celia at 105 mph, Soon to be Darby at 70%.
Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30241
844. Skyepony (Mod)
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:05 (GMT)
West Pacific
07W MEARI


06W HAIMA

Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36058
843. ihatejunebugs
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:05 (GMT)
I'm in League City, West of 45. Pouring here. FINALLY!!!!
Member Since: 13.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
842. shoreacres
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:03 (GMT)
Quoting jeffs713:

Its coming, don't worry.

Been raining in Tomball since about 6am, and its STILL raining. Official gauge near Tomball has 1.24". Gauge nearest my house has 0.67", and its still coming down according to a neighbor.


Yeh? Like when? We're still waiting down here. I was hoping for a little more than a few sprinkles on top of the picnic table. ;-(
Member Since: 4.10.2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288
841. islander101010
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:03 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:


Oh, thanks Jeff for helping me feel better, lol, it's spotty on radar, not the solid shield like yall got west and NW of Houston. Wish a cell would blow up the over galveston county area and sit.
seems some clouds forming just offshore tampico leftover from beatris crashing into the w. mex. coast might help you get wet
Member Since: 11.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4016
840. PcolaDan
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 14:00 (GMT)
First Footage Emerges Of Eritrean Volcanic Eruption

from Irish Weather Online… of course ;)
Member Since: 22.08.2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
839. SLU
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:59 (GMT)
I know this in the next 2 light years but this shows that the overall pattern may get more conducive in early July.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
Member Since: 13.07.2006 Posts: 12 Comments: 4731
838. RitaEvac
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:58 (GMT)
Quoting jeffs713:

Its coming, don't worry.

Been raining in Tomball since about 6am, and its STILL raining. Official gauge near Tomball has 1.24". Gauge nearest my house has 0.67", and its still coming down according to a neighbor.


Oh, thanks Jeff for helping me feel better, lol, it's spotty on radar, not the solid shield like yall got west and NW of Houston. Wish a cell would blow up the over galveston county area and sit.
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
837. TropicalAnalystwx13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:58 (GMT)
It will be interesting to see if we can get a warm eddy to develop in the Gulf of Mexico. There seems to be a hint of one near 87 27N.

Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30241
836. gulfscout
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:57 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
As usual, the rain fizzles as it approaches Houston/Galveston area. That's a sure sign were gonna get rocked by a hurricane later on


sure sign?
Member Since: 19.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 342
834. CanesfanatUT
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Quoting CybrTeddy:
823. The CMC has been showing development, yesterday it showed the low down to 998 mb, but dropped it this run. ECMWF isn't really onboard yet, just has a weak area of low pressure.


Agreed with the Euro - I couldn't really detect much of a low pressure system in the Bay.
Member Since: 3.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
833. TropicalAnalystwx13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:52 (GMT)
Quoting SETexas74:


Sorry, meant to quote this


It's the leading edge of thunderstorms downdrafts, accompanied by strong winds, a temperature drop, and a spike in pressure. It can also sometimes mean that the storm is being ripped apart.
Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30241
832. jeffs713
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:51 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
As usual, the rain fizzles as it approaches Houston/Galveston area. That's a sure sign were gonna get rocked by a hurricane later on

Its coming, don't worry.

Been raining in Tomball since about 6am, and its STILL raining. Official gauge near Tomball has 1.24". Gauge nearest my house has 0.67", and its still coming down according to a neighbor.
Member Since: 3.08.2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
831. TropicalAnalystwx13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:47 (GMT)
It's cloudy here, and you can see that on satellite, but it is also very smoky...which you can see on satellite.

Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30241
830. SETexas74
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:46 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
Getting nervous for the area SW of Galveston Bay, outflow boundary coming in weak echoes


Sorry, meant to quote this
Member Since: 29.06.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 47
829. jpsb
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:45 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
Getting nervous for the area SW of Galveston Bay, outflow boundary coming in weak echoes
San Leon here, lots of clouds and a nice cool wind but no rain yet. Looking accross the bay I can see rain to the north and west so I am not giving up yet.
Member Since: 30.06.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1010
828. RitaEvac
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:45 (GMT)
As usual, the rain fizzles as it approaches Houston/Galveston area. That's a sure sign were gonna get rocked by a hurricane later on
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
827. CybrTeddy
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:44 (GMT)
823. The CMC has been showing development, yesterday it showed the low down to 998 mb, but dropped it this run. ECMWF isn't really onboard yet, just has a weak area of low pressure.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23011
826. SETexas74
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:43 (GMT)
Quoting jasonweatherman2010:
me to!!


What does that mean??? I am just SW of Galveston Bay
Member Since: 29.06.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 47
824. kwgirl
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:41 (GMT)
Good morning everyone. Well, I had to pull up the Houston-Galvesston radar and watch those lovely colors spread into Texas. I haven't seen rain in so long, I have to live vicariously through someone else's radar.LOL Sure is nice to see someone getting much needed rain. I noticed that blob off DR this morning. So are we all so in need of entertainment that we watch blobs to see if they start spinning? I guess this is the blob watch until an official Twave happens.
Member Since: 28.03.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1532
823. TropicalAnalystwx13
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:36 (GMT)
Good Morning all.

Finally getting out reliable models to jump on board with potential development in the Western Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico.

00Z ECMWF @ 144HR:



Shows an area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche.

00Z NOGAPS @ 144HR:



Tropical Depression/Arlene affecting the Yucatan.

06Z GFS @ 144HR:



Tropical Depression/Tropical Storm Arlene in the Gulf of Mexico.

If we can get the CMC to jump on board with development, and we can get them to show development consistency, we may indeed have a storm form at the end of this month, ending the 0-0-0. All of the models above show development by 144HR, which is next Tuesday.
Member Since: 6.07.2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30241
820. RitaEvac
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:29 (GMT)
Getting nervous for the area SW of Galveston Bay, outflow boundary coming in weak echoes
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
819. Jax82
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:28 (GMT)
Lots of moisture riding up into Texas, its good to see color on the radar!



Member Since: 2.09.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
818. Minnemike
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:27 (GMT)
Quoting cchsweatherman:
Great news for Texas:





funny, i was just looking at those very stations just before popping on here for the day... made me smile :)
happy for at the least that portion of Texas, hope the same for the rest of the SW!!
Member Since: 31.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
817. jpsb
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:21 (GMT)
Quoting JamesSA:
Cchs, we got an inch out of that in San Antonio. We will take it as that is the only rain we have had since February. Or was it January? It has been so long it is hard to remember. Very refreshing to say the least!
Fingered crossed here in the Galveston bay area, this looks like our best chance for rain in a very long time.
Member Since: 30.06.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1010
816. JamesSA
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:13 (GMT)
Cchs, we got an inch out of that in San Antonio. We will take it as that is the only rain we have had since February. Or was it January? It has been so long it is hard to remember. Very refreshing to say the least!
Member Since: 17.08.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 579
815. Vincent4989
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:08 (GMT)
Quoting aspectre:
787 Vincent4989 "Fujiwhara effect in effect for Seven and Haima."

Extremely unlikely. Both have relatively weak windfields and are separated by ~1690kilometres (~1050miles).

Seven is very big and is touching Haima. likely.
Member Since: 13.11.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 728
814. ChillinInTheKeys
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:06 (GMT)
Getting Ready for the Next Big Solar Storm.

Link

The solar cycle of 1859 (Solar Cycle 10) was typical of 19th century solar cycles--that is to say, weak. Solar cycles of the 19th century were far below average compared to the intense solar cycles of the Space Age. Solar Cycle 24, in progress now, is a throw-back, expected to be similar in sunspot count to Solar Cycle 10.
Member Since: 18.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 667
813. MahFL
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:04 (GMT)
cchs, well some small part of TX......
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2905
812. MahFL
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:03 (GMT)
Hey I see spin north of Hispaniola.....
Member Since: 9.06.2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2905
811. cchsweatherman
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 13:02 (GMT)
Great news for Texas:





Member Since: 14.04.2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5030
810. CybrTeddy
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 12:57 (GMT)
GFS 6z 180 hours.


NOGAPS 00z 144 hours.


ECMWF 00z 168 hours.. finally starting to show something in the BOC.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23011
809. hydrus
22. kesäkuuta 2011 klo 12:56 (GMT)
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
A blob appearing north of Hispanola from the convection that moved over Haiti last night.
Probably from divergent flow from the low to the north..
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19501

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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