La Niña becomes weak; February the globe's 14th-17th warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 22. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 13:48 (GMT)

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The equatorial waters of the Eastern Pacific off the coast of South America have steadily warmed during March, and it appears increasingly likely that the current La Niña event will be over by June. This week, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the tropical Eastern Pacific in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", warmed to 0.8°C below average, according to NOAA. This puts the current La Niña in the "weak" category for the first time since the event began in July 2010. If these SSTs continue to warm such that they are no more than 0.5°C below average, the La Niña event will be over, and we will be in "neutral" conditions. An animation of SSTs since late November shows this developing warmth nicely. Springtime is the most common time for a La Niña event to end; since 1950, half of all La Niñas ended in March, April, or May. The weakness displayed by the current La Niña event has prompted NOAA's Climate Prediction Center to predict that La Niña will be gone by June. As La Niña continues to wane, we can expect that rainfall over the drought regions of the southern U.S. will gradually return to normal levels by mid-summer.


Figure 1. Latest runs of the long-range El Niño models have 5 predictions for La Niña conditions during hurricane season, 7 for neutral conditions, and 5 for El Niño. Image credit: IRI.

Impact on hurricane season
It is well-known that when an El Niño event is in place, a significant reduction in Atlantic hurricane activity results due to an increase in wind shear. With La Niña likely gone by June, what are the chances of having El Niño in place by the August-September-October peak of hurricane season? Well, our long-range El Niño models do a poor job of making accurate predictions in the spring, a phenomena known as the "spring predictability barrier." True to form, the March predictions by these models are all over the place (Figure 1.) There are 5 predictions for La Niña conditions being present during the upcoming hurricane season, 7 predictions for neutral conditions, and 5 predictions for El Niño. If we look at past history, since 1950, there have been six La Niña events that ended in the spring. During the subsequent hurricane season, two of those years experienced El Niño conditions: 1951 (10 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes) and 1976 (10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes.) The other four years had neutral conditions during hurricane season. These years were 1968 (8 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 0 intense hurricanes), 1989 (11 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 2 intense hurricanes); 1996 (13 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 6 intense hurricanes); and 2008 (16 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes.) An average hurricane season has 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes. So, three of these six analogue years had five or more intense hurricanes (including one of the El Niño years). Looking at sea surface temperature in the hurricane main development region (MDR), the stretch of ocean between the coast of Africa and Central America, including the Caribbean, February temperatures this year were 0.62°C above average, the 7th highest February anomaly since the late 1800s. Of the six analogue years since 1950 when La Niña ended in spring, only 1996 had a much above average February SST anomaly in the MDR (0.61°C.) Thus, I believe it is a reasonable speculation at this point to predict this year's hurricane season will be similar to 1996, with its 13 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 6 intense hurricanes--assuming we end up with neutral and not El Niño conditions this fall.


Figure 2. Departure of temperature from average for February 2011. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

February 2011: 14th - 17th warmest on record for the globe
February 2011 was the globe's 17th warmest February on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated February the 14th warmest on record. February 2011 global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record, and land temperatures were the 28th warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were average, the 14th or 17th coolest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). The global cool-down from November, which was the warmest November on record for the globe, was due in large part to the moderate strength La Niña episode in the Eastern Pacific. The large amount of cold water that upwells to the surface during a La Niña typically causes a substantial cool-down in global temperatures. The coldest places on the globe in February, relative to average, were Eastern Europe and northeastern Siberia. Central Africa, central China, and western Greenland were exceptionally warm. For the contiguous U.S., February temperatures were near average, ranking the 51st coldest in the 117-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Precipitation was also near average, ranking as the 41st driest February since 1895. February 2011 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent was tied for the lowest on record in February, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Satellite records extend back to 1979. This is the third consecutive month of record low Arctic sea ice cover.

Mostly offshore winds expected over Japan through Thursday
Radioactive plumes emitted from Japan's troubled Fukushima nuclear power plant will mostly head to the south today, passing just east of Tokyo. Northerly winds wrapping around the back side of an area of low pressure moving out to sea to the east are responsible for this pattern. As high pressure builds in over the next few days, mostly offshore winds will carry radiation from the Fukushima plant out to sea. This should change on Friday, when an approaching low pressure system will once again bring northeasterly onshore winds to Japan, possibly blowing heightened levels of radioactivity into Tokyo.


Figure 3. One-day forecast movement of plumes of radioactive air emitted at 10 meters altitude (red line) and 100 meters (blue line) at 18 UTC (2pm EDT) Tuesday, March 22, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Mostly offshore winds are predicted to keep the plumes east of Tokyo. Image created using NOAA's HYSPLIT trajectory model.


Figure 4. One-day forecast movement of plumes of radioactive air emitted at 10 meters altitude (red line) and 100 meters (blue line) at 18 UTC (2pm EDT) Wednesday, March 23, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Offshore winds are predicted to carry radioactivity away from Japan. Image created using NOAA's HYSPLIT trajectory model.

Resources
The Miami Herald has an interesting article discussing how Japan's earthquake caused a 3-inch jump in ground water levels in South Florida 34 minutes after the quake struck on March 11.

Seven-day weather forecast for Sendai near the Fukushima nuclear plant

The Austrian Weather Service is running trajectory models for Japan.

Spring is here, and wunderground has set up an eCard to send messages to friends and family celebrating the arrival of spring.

My next post will probably be on Thursday.
Jeff Masters

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931. pottery
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 17:02 (GMT)
There is a New Blog...
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
930. pottery
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:52 (GMT)
Quoting kellnerp:


You've never worked with fire engines. These are just small ones with maybe 1,000 GPM nozzles. If they had any larger equipment the stream would cause additional damage. I have seen 10,000 GPM oil refinery nozzles tear up asphalt roads. Of course a 10,000 GPM nozzle can throw a stream 600 ft or more.



The seawater off Honshu has a fairly low salt content as seawater goes.




Thanks for this, Kellnerp!
Good Info.
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
929. RitaEvac
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:49 (GMT)
Did they change it from 6.8 back to 7.0?
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
928. pottery
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:49 (GMT)
HAPPY BIRTHDAY, TAZ !! Hope you have a Fantastic one.

Greetings, everyone else.
Still overcast today with occasional drizzle and patchy sunshine.
Been this way for several days.
June weather....
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
927. Orcasystems
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:44 (GMT)
24-MAR-2011 14:23:53 20.59 99.86 4.9 10.2 MYANMAR
24-MAR-2011 13:55:12 20.70 99.95 7.0 10.0 MYANMAR
19-MAR-2011 12:42:40 12.91 92.44 4.8 27.8 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
926. hydrus
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:31 (GMT)
Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
hAPPY b-dAY taZ....
Member Since: 27.09.2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19504
925. AussieStorm
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 16:16 (GMT)
Earthquake Shakes Bangkok Buildings
By
Phuket Word
2011/03/24
Posted in: National News, Phuket News,


WORD ON EARTHQUAKES: A 6.9 magnitude earthquake shook buildings in Bangkok, Thailand, at about 9pm
A Bangkok resident living in a 17th-floor apartment said he felt the earthquake while in his Bangkok apartment, and that many people had fled high-rise buildings around him.

The eartquakes epicenter was inland, in western Myanmar, near border with Thailand and Laos, at a depth of about 10 km so no tsunami was generated, the Tsunami Information Centre reported.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15749
924. aspectre
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:58 (GMT)
108.6degrees(ESE)&264miles from Mandalay,Burma
42.2degrees(NE)&366miles from Rangoon,Burma
355.8degrees(N)&480miles from Bangkok,Thailand
317.8degrees(NW)&256miles from Vientiane,Laos

Near the junction of the Burmese, Thai, and Laotian border.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
923. SQUAWK
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:48 (GMT)
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet:
I guess we'll see if the Burmese junta learned anything from the Nargis debacle where they let their people die rather than accept foreign aid


... and maybe natural population control is part of their agenda.
Member Since: 9.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
920. Grothar
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:37 (GMT)
CNN report on the Earthquake in China



Link
Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23703
919. islander101010
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:34 (GMT)
wonder if thats suppose to be me or is that mortagage broker on the ad page? strange looking dude
Member Since: 11.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4017
918. Grothar
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:33 (GMT)
This voice sounds familiar

Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23703
917. PakaSurvivor
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:30 (GMT)
Fox and CNN web pages under World has notice of the earthquake in Myanmar.
Member Since: 20.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 235
916. Grothar
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:30 (GMT)
We'll probably have to wait until it moves a little. It is in between Satellites:

Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23703
914. ycd0108
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:25 (GMT)
Local news for earthquake:
http://www.bangkokpost.com/breakingnews/228451/qu ake-strikes-burma-shakes-bangkok-buildings
Member Since: 1.01.2008 Posts: 170 Comments: 4399
913. ycd0108
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:19 (GMT)
BBc still saying two 'quakes 7M:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-1285 2237
USGS saying one 6.8M and later one 4.8M
Member Since: 1.01.2008 Posts: 170 Comments: 4399
912. RitaEvac
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:15 (GMT)
Probably dont
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
911. Grothar
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:15 (GMT)
Quoting Jedkins01:
Not to be critical, but people shouldn't be complaining about the dry weather in Florida. Dry weather this time of year is part of the ecologic cycle here. Occasionally we get very wet Springs but most of the time we don't, its typically the dry season. Fires and dry weather are part of Florida just as a season of torrential rain is for Summer and Fall.

That's just how living in the sub-tropics is, part of the year is very wet, and part of it is dry. There is a season for everything, this dry weather is not something to really worry about.


Hey, Jed. Thought you might find this interesting.

Excerpt:
Since October 2010, an average of about 7.5 inches of rain have fallen across urban areas of Collier and Lee counties, about 56 percent of the historic average, according to district rainfall data.

Across the 16-county water management district, the dry season rain deficit reached 7.7 inches Tuesday in the wake of the driest October-to-February period in 80 years. The region received just 5.7 inches of rain during that period, less than half the historic average.

Link
Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23703
910. Skyepony (Mod)
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:13 (GMT)
Conditions are so dry the most innocuous circumstance can start a wildfire.

As an example, Joseph Pozzo, chief of Volusia County Fire Services, pointed to an incident that sparked an 85-acre brush fire in Lake Helen last week. Investigators believe a bird flew into an electric fence and started a fire as its body hit the ground.

"That's a clear indication of how dry it is," Pozzo said. "I think we're just at a point where everybody has to be very cognizant of anything that generates heat around this dry vegetation."

Pozzo credited the quick actions of Division of Forestry personnel for plowing fire lines that helped county firefighters prevent any homes from burning during that Lake Helen fire.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36067
909. SQUAWK
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:12 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
Fox and CNN don't even know about 6.8 quake in China


Maybe they don't care.
Member Since: 9.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2498
908. RitaEvac
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:11 (GMT)
Fox and CNN don't even know about 6.8 quake in China
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
907. TomasTomas
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:11 (GMT)
Quoting RitaEvac:
WTI Crude Oil
$106.21 ▲0.46


Dislike :-/
Member Since: 29.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 30
905. RitaEvac
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:09 (GMT)
WTI Crude Oil
$106.21 ▲0.46
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
903. Skyepony (Mod)
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:07 (GMT)
Live seismograph

Happy birthday Taz!

Jed were you here in '98 or the early '80s (maybe '83)? There was another legendary year in the 60s.. Dry season is one thing & separate from extreme fire weather. Which in some places is beginning to be a concern.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36067
902. Jedkins01
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:04 (GMT)
Quoting kwgirl:
I hope you are correct. However, I did qualify it to say specifically the Keys. We have gotten about 1/2 as much rain as the mainland. We are small specks in a big ocean and don't produce the type of thunderstorms the mainland does.



You are right about that, the Keys typically will go long term without rain, then they seem top get a sudden 8 inch deluge in 3 hours, than not rain for a while again! lol

The Keys do average only about as much average rainfall yearly as Seattle, which is less than the rest of us Floridians :)

Hmm, I get what your saying now though, I wasn't thinking about the Keys. It makes it harder to predict though in that case. Between now and July the keys still could get a huge dumper.
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
901. NRAamy
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:01 (GMT)
HAPPY BIRTHDAY TAZ!!!!!!!

:)
Member Since: 24.01.2007 Posts: 316 Comments: 31944
900. RitaEvac
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 15:01 (GMT)
6.8 quake was 6.2 miles deep
Member Since: 14.07.2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
899. Tazmanian
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:58 (GMT)
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Happy birthday Taz. It is not snowing here :)LOL


thanks
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
898. stormwatcherCI
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:52 (GMT)
Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
Happy birthday Taz. It is not snowing here :)LOL
Member Since: 9.10.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8242
897. kwgirl
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:52 (GMT)
Quoting Jedkins01:


appreciable rain until July? Are you serious? That's way too far in advance of a prediction to be made. South Florida will likely get plenty of rain come June, maybe May as usual.

I hope you are correct. However, I did qualify it to say specifically the Keys. We have gotten about 1/2 as much rain as the mainland. We are small specks in a big ocean and don't produce the type of thunderstorms the mainland does.
Member Since: 28.03.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1532
896. Jedkins01
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:52 (GMT)
Not to be critical, but people shouldn't be complaining about the dry weather in Florida. Dry weather this time of year is part of the ecologic cycle here. Occasionally we get very wet Springs but most of the time we don't, its typically the dry season. Fires and dry weather are part of Florida just as a season of torrential rain is for Summer and Fall.

That's just how living in the sub-tropics is, part of the year is very wet, and part of it is dry. There is a season for everything, this dry weather is not something to really worry about.
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
895. EYEStoSEA
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:51 (GMT)
Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing


Well......HAPPY HAPPY BIRTHDAY, TAZ !!!!! Hope it will be a great day for you :)
Member Since: 16.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1492
894. Jedkins01
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:47 (GMT)
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning everyone. I heard last night that we (South Florida and Keys specifically) will not see any appreciable rain until July. I think the only thing that will help this drought is some nice slow moving tropical depressions. If we could only control how strong they get. I am not wishing for any, even as much as we need water. The last time I wished for storms was in 2005, and you know how that went.LOL


appreciable rain until July? Are you serious? That's way too far in advance of a prediction to be made. South Florida will likely get plenty of rain come June, maybe May as usual.

Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
893. Neapolitan
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:46 (GMT)
Quoting Patrap:
Usually the algorithm posts a greater Quake ,,then when the seismologist reviews,,they downgrade the Quake.

Correct. Then as further assessments are made, the number sometimes goes back up (as happened with the Japanese quake).

The WAPMERR theoretical earthquake damage model expects 400 to 3,000 fatalities and 1,000 to 5,000 injured people, along with extreme damage. Here's hoping it's way off...
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13260
892. Tazmanian
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:45 (GMT)
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
891. NativeSun
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:44 (GMT)
JB has a new home at Weather Bell starting 4/1/11.
Member Since: 17.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
890. Patrap
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:42 (GMT)
But that reverse can happens as well..so early numbers can be different as the event is less than a Hour passed now.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125530
889. Patrap
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:40 (GMT)
Usually the algorithm posts a greater Quake ,,then when the seismologist reviews,,they downgrade the Quake.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125530
888. hurricanejunky
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:39 (GMT)
Quoting Patrap:
Magnitude 7.0 - MYANMAR
2011 March 24 13:55:36 UTC


* Details
* Maps
* Tsunami

Earthquake Details

* This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 7.0 (Preliminary magnitude — update expected within 15 minutes)
Date-Time

* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 13:55:36 UTC
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 08:25:36 PM at epicenter

Location 20.898°N, 99.883°E
Depth 229.4 km (142.5 miles) set by location program
Region MYANMAR


UGH! It's only a matter of time until the US West coast sees something. The amount of seismic activity recently is ridiculous.
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
887. Neapolitan
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:37 (GMT)
USGS just knocked it back to 6.8...but at 10km, that's still capable of some very bad things. Pager reports from the USGS are expecting a X MMI experience for 232,000 people. That is, destructive.

Keeping my fingers crossed...
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13260
886. kellnerp
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:36 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

Thanks.
That's a LOT of water to move through fire engines working sporadically.
Assuming 100% evap. too.
It does not sound right (the alarm raised about the salts build-up in the reactor).


You've never worked with fire engines. These are just small ones with maybe 1,000 GPM nozzles. If they had any larger equipment the stream would cause additional damage. I have seen 10,000 GPM oil refinery nozzles tear up asphalt roads. Of course a 10,000 GPM nozzle can throw a stream 600 ft or more.



The seawater off Honshu has a fairly low salt content as seawater goes.



Member Since: 1.09.2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
885. Patrap
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:35 (GMT)
The data was reset to show the current obs,as a algorithm posts the first data automatically.

10Km is a good bet as of now.

Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125530
884. Neapolitan
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:33 (GMT)
Quoting Patrap:
Location 20.898N, 99.883E
Depth 229.4 km (142.5 miles) set by location program
Region MYANMAR

So which is it? 229.4 km deep? Or 10 km? Makes a huge difference, no?

There are reports that large buildings in Bangkok were swaying.
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13260
883. aquak9
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:31 (GMT)
yep- that was shallow- expect liquefaction in that area to be bad
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25497
882. Patrap
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:29 (GMT)
Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time

* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 13:55:12 UTC
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 08:25:12 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 20.705N, 99.949E
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles)
Region MYANMAR
Distances 89 km (55 miles) N of Chiang Rai, Thailand
168 km (104 miles) SSW of Yunjinghong, Yunnan, China
589 km (365 miles) NE of Rangoon, Myanmar
772 km (479 miles) N of BANGKOK, Thailand
Location Uncertainty horizontal /- 15.4 km (9.6 miles); depth /- 5.8 km (3.6 miles)
Parameters NST=109, Nph=109, Dmin=234.9 km, Rmss=0.88 sec, Gp= 36%uFFFD,
M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=C
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125530
881. Patrap
24. maaliskuuta 2011 klo 14:29 (GMT)
000
WEIO23 PHEB 241404
TIBIOX
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1404Z 24 MAR 2011
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1356Z 24 MAR 2011
COORDINATES - 20.9 NORTH 99.9 EAST
DEPTH - 229 KM
LOCATION - MYANMAR
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA. THIS EARTHQUAKE IS LOCATED TOO FAR
INLAND AND TOO DEEP INSIDE THE EARTH TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI IN
THE INDIAN OCEAN.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125530

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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