Globe cools slightly in December 2010: 11th - 17th warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 18. tammikuuta 2011 klo 14:43 (GMT)

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December 2010 was the globe's 17th warmest December on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated December 2010 the 11th warmest December on record. December 2010 global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record, and land temperatures were the 30th warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 7th warmest on record, according to both Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). The global cool-down from November, which was the warmest November on record for the globe, was due in large part to the on-going moderate strength La Niña episode in the Eastern Pacific. The large amount of cold water that upwells to the surface during a La Niña typically causes a substantial cool-down in global temperatures. Still, December 2010 temperatures were warm enough to make 2010 tied with 2005 as Earth's warmest year in history, as I reported in yesterday's post.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from December 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for December 2010. Eastern Canada and Greenland were very warm, relative to average, and much of Siberia and Europe were abnormally cold. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

An average December for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., December was near-average in temperature, ranking as the 44th coldest December in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The year 2010 was the 23rd warmest on record. A strong "Arctic Oscillation" pattern allowed cold air to spill southward over the Southeast U.S., resulting in the coldest December on record in Florida and Georgia. Nine other states in the Southeast U.S. had top-ten coldest Decembers. Five states in the Southwest U.S. had top-ten warmest Decembers. A series of major snowstorms brought the 7th-largest December snow cover to the U.S. as a whole. December 2010 precipitation in the contiguous U.S. was also near average, ranking 54th driest in the 116-year record. Montana and Utah had their wettest Decembers on record, and six other states had top-ten wettest Decembers--Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Oregon, Maine, and California. Six states had top-ten driest Decembers--Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Kansas, and Delaware.

La Niña in the "moderate" to "strong" category
The equatorial Eastern Pacific Ocean is currently experiencing moderate to strong La Niña conditions. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the tropical Eastern Pacific in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", were 1.5°C below average as of January 10, according to NOAA. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology put this number at 1.45°C below average (as of January 9.) Moderate La Niña conditions are defined as occurring when this number is 1.0°C - 1.5°C below average. Temperatures colder than 1.5°C below average qualify as strong La Niña conditions. NOAA is maintaining its La Niña advisory, and expects La Niña conditions to last through through spring.

Both El Niño and La Niña events have major impacts on regional and global weather patterns. La Niña typically causes warm, dry winters over the southern portion of the U.S., with cooler and wetter than average conditions over the Pacific Northwest. The Ohio and Mississippi Valleys states typically have wetter winters than usual during La Niña events.

December 2010 Arctic sea ice extent lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in December 2010 was the lowest in the 31-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Ice volume in December was also the lowest on record for this time of year, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. At the end of December, the eastern portion of Canada's Hudson Bay remained unfrozen, the first time in recorded history that Hudson Bay has not been completely frozen over at the end of the year. The unusual amount of open water led to temperatures that averaged 20°C (36°F) above normal over a region larger than Texas during the first ten days of January.

Jeff Masters

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516. kellnerp
20. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:18 (GMT)
Quoting KrippleCreekFerry:
I predict that in the near future we will build massive desalination plants on the Mediterranean Coast of Africa and pump that fresh water into Great Lake sized reservoirs throughout the Sahara. We will do the same to all the other great deserts of the Earth, turning them into green pastures and fertile farmlands and great new parklands for man's leisure. The water from the GW Earth's rising sea levels will make this possible and the rising CO2 levels and temperatures will be moderated by the increase in greenery of all types throughout the Planet. New genetically modified specimens will help in this renaissance of plant growth on the planet. Land may even be cultivated in Antarctica. Man will truly benefit from this Golden Age of Warmth.


Israelis already figured out how to do this with trees and the water already in the Sahara. A side effect i that the trees will absorb the so called AGG. They found that increase CO2 helps trees to transpire less thereby needing less water. Salt resistant trees can be watered by the alkaline water under the desert.
Member Since: 1.09.2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
514. IKE
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 13:11 (GMT)
Quoting aquak9:
haven't had as much as you, ike, but still the rain has been so nice.


More rain in my forecast tomorrow.

NEW BLOG!
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
513. Neapolitan
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 12:57 (GMT)
Quoting aquak9:
oh...hi Nea, g'morning, Thanks for the rain...overnite rain is always nice, it soaks in real sweet. Maybe I will have a good garden this year.

You're welcome. ;-) We received barely a trace on Monday, while some places in the state north, south, and east of us saw > 3". It sprinkled a bit last evening, and there's a razor-thin line of showers about to pass through which should drop another trace. But I won't complain; it's in the 70s and humid, so I actually drove to a client's office with the AC on. I know some would rather have 35 and dry, but I'm not part of that group... ;-)
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13260
512. oceanminded
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 12:46 (GMT)
thanks jflorida for posting the coral bleaching on the great barrier. I have quite a few friends in the aquarium bussines and it seems some of the coral they have obtained over the years may not be alive in the wild much longer....
Member Since: 11.01.2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 15
511. aquak9
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 12:38 (GMT)
haven't had as much as you, ike, but still the rain has been so nice.
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25497
510. IKE
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 12:20 (GMT)
I had .35 inches of rain overnight. My total for January is now at 3.16. Inland Florida panhandle.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
509. aquak9
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 11:11 (GMT)
oh...hi Nea, g'morning, Thanks for the rain...overnite rain is always nice, it soaks in real sweet. Maybe I will have a good garden this year.
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25497
508. Neapolitan
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 11:01 (GMT)
It is warm across the West. Not just unseasonably warm, but record-breaking: over the past 72 hours, record daily high and high minimum temperatures have outnumbered record daily lows and low maximums by 317 to 8. Of course, there's cooler air moving in that'll likely moderate things a bit, perhaps bringing balance to the two extremes. But still--317 to 8? Hmm...
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13260
507. aquak9
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 11:00 (GMT)
7.2 in southwestern Pakistan...they weren't testing anything, were they?
Member Since: 13.08.2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25497
506. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 09:46 (GMT)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 06F
18:00 PM FST January 19 2011
==========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 06F (1004 hPa) located at 13.2S 178.6W is reported as moving slowly.

Organization is gradually improving. Convection has slightly increaed in the last 12 hours. System lies along a surface trough and in the northeast of an upper diffluent region in a weak sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation is from surface to 500 HPA. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Global models has picked up and gradually developing the system and slowly move it eastward.

The potential for this tropical disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours is MODERATE.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
504. Jedkins01
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 07:18 (GMT)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Just for funs..



LOL!
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
503. Jedkins01
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 07:15 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

You going to have to line up, behind me and 15 Billion other hungry people.
Them animals are going to get kind of scarce....
Of course, we could eat each other.
Kill 2 birds with one stone, so to speak.


don't worry, you'll never have to worry about me going cannibal :)
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
502. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 06:11 (GMT)
Squawk (testing)

The blog was going 1 comment every 2 minutes (pretty intelligent ones at that) and all the sudden 36 minutes of silence?

testing 1, 2, 3...
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
501. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:33 (GMT)
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Ethanol from corn is a waste. You get just over break even in the best case scenario, and only just. The corn lobby is/was loving every minute of it.

Of course, most energy researchers were saying just how idiotic it was to use a main staple food source that required massive agricultural maintenance as a fuel source.

There are many ways to produce ethanol much more cheaply and with substantially higher efficiency yields. Hemp, switchgrass, and sugar beets are all much better sources, with hemp and switchgrass being the most economical by far. They're basically weeds. They can grow practically anywhere, don't require massive amounts of fertilizer and/or insecticides, and can be harvested with what amounts to be a big lawn mower.

It's painful to watch when someone or some group takes what is actually a good sound idea and drive it straight into the ground. After the corn based ethanol debacle, it will probably take a decade or more to repair the damage.


the night shift around here is the place to work.

Okay, technical problem. Dead birds (probably from a wind turbine... just kidding). Sugar is great but take this one step further and add some yeast (in reality genetically engineered bugs) to the fermentation process.

Dead birds sort of get in the way of high yields.

Any ideas? I have none but am merely stating the problem....
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
499. Xyrus2000
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:30 (GMT)
Quoting EnergyMoron:


Al Gore's most recent commentary on this


Ethanol from corn is a waste. You get just over break even in the best case scenario, and only just. The corn lobby is/was loving every minute of it.

Of course, most energy researchers were saying just how idiotic it was to use a main staple food source that required massive agricultural maintenance as a fuel source.

There are many ways to produce ethanol much more cheaply and with substantially higher efficiency yields. Hemp, switchgrass, and sugar beets are all much better sources, with hemp and switchgrass being the most economical by far. They're basically weeds. They can grow practically anywhere, don't require massive amounts of fertilizer and/or insecticides, and can be harvested with what amounts to be a big lawn mower.

It's painful to watch when someone or some group takes what is actually a good sound idea and drive it straight into the ground. After the corn based ethanol debacle, it will probably take a decade or more to repair the damage.
Member Since: 31.10.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1224
498. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:29 (GMT)
Quoting LoveStormsatNight:
We may see some oil contracts like this

AP July 5, 2011 11:37 GMT Caracas

On the bicentennial of Venezuelan independence from Spain, Venezuela and China announced the largest bilateral trade agreement in history. President Hugo Chavez announced today that the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) was granted an exclusive lease over 40,000 square kilometers of the Orinoco tar sands, with payments to Venezuela of 100 €​ per barrel over the next 30 years. With the waiver of environmental regulations, oil experts estimate that production could reach 3 million bbl/day by 2016 and 5 million bbl/day by 2020. The move against the dollar, now shut out of the largest bilateral trade deal in history, sent shockwaves in European markets, with the dollar closing down more than 4% against other major currencies. Hugo Chavez announced that this deal showed the superiority of the socialist system he has implanted since 1998, and that "the stars of Venezuela will illuminate the Americas".

White House reaction was guarded, with a statement promised later today.


Interesting.

Expect with Chinese waiver of environmental restrictions as the article says.

Poor Dr. Hansen... the Chinese are not green nor saving the planet but simply trying to ensure a certain standard of living for a billion souls.
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
497. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:26 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

That is potentially very good news, since we have no options to petroleum as yet.
As I have said here a couple of times, the only way we can get out of the bad energy situation, is through Private Capitalist Hard Work.
Governments cannot solve the problem, and nor should they be expected to.

I am out....


If it were anthropogenic CO2 I would agree with you. Unfortunately it is not.

I once put together a presentation I called the "world's ultimate trash heap" (getting rid of CO2) and contrary to what Nea would expect Exxon always came up with anthropogenic sources for their forrays into CO2.

What is wrong with this picture?

We have all of this CO2?

And we are using CO2 from underground to produce oil? Rather than exhaust from say a IGCC power plant?

Sticking CO2 in the ground is passe. Did that myself in the 80's (peer reviewed papers on this).

Now I have solar.

Oh, I do support enhanced oil recovery as a means of sequestration... the Denbury project is not anthropogenic CO2 and is thus not sequestration.
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
495. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:18 (GMT)
Quoting EnergyMoron:


Improved recovery can potentially sequester CO2.

CO2 project near Houston

Sigh... this is non-anthropogenic CO2 that comes from Mississippi... also used to freeze chickens.

That is potentially very good news, since we have no options to petroleum as yet.
As I have said here a couple of times, the only way we can get out of the bad energy situation, is through Private Capitalist Hard Work.
Governments cannot solve the problem, and nor should they be expected to.

I am out....
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
494. hcubed
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:16 (GMT)
Quoting JFLORIDA:


No I dont care - its not the basis of climate science and is such a small part of a mountain of data I think that whatever Watts says is probably wrong anyway.

Ive moved on after the 100s of ridiculous challenges over the years.

You can only be wrong so many times. Enjoy knowing it was all a conspiracy and there is no such thing as climate science.

I will enjoy not becoming the resident expert on tree rings tonight.


Climate Audit is not Watts.

Focus!
Member Since: 18.05.2007 Posts: 289 Comments: 1639
493. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:15 (GMT)
420...

Ah.. was checking 423 and saws this.

Okay, what role do tradewinds play in this?

What does this question have to do with what you wrote?
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
492. Xyrus2000
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:13 (GMT)
Quoting Jedkins01:


that's the funniest thing of all, is to watch Global Warming activists go kookoo for cocoa puffs about the end of humanity. Meanwhile the extra CO2 may bring us back to mostly world wide tropics. Personally, I don't think most of the world that suffers from winter cold will be complaining :)


Only the extreme wackos claim anything remotely resembling the end of humanity. No reputable scientists is making any claims about the human race dying off as a result of climate change.

I already stated earlier you can't compare the climate of today to the climate of 500 million years ago. We had different landmasses, oceans, salinity, albedo, atmosphere, etc. . Even the sun was different.

We also weren't around hundreds of millions of years ago. The climate we thrive in is what we have NOW. Our food production depends on our climate. People seem to have no idea how much we rely on a stable climate in order to support ourselves. A few degrees of warming can really screw things up.

You also make a gross assumption that warmer temperatures mean more tropical climates. That is incorrect. Tropical climates are determined by a number of factors. Shifts in weather patterns as a result of climate change could easily take temperate climates and turn them into barren deserts, and vice versa. Keep in mind that just because there is more moisture in the air from the additional warmth doesn't mean everywhere will receive more precipitation. As an example, Middle Eastern countries that border the ocean often have very high humidity and heat, but are basically deserts due to the dominate weather patterns.
Member Since: 31.10.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1224
490. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:09 (GMT)
Quoting LoveStormsatNight:
That page Pottery provided in #423 is very interesting.

And I agree with ossqss that ethanol is bad news, a lot of acreage going to produce ethanol instead of food. For little or no CO2 reduction.


Al Gore's most recent commentary on this
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
489. xcool
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:07 (GMT)


Member Since: 26.09.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15603
488. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:06 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:
Good points, STL.
But it's the old chicken/egg debacle.
Improved recovery is costly, which sends production costs up.
So improved recovery is not an option, until price per barrel goes up.
So then improved recovery becomes an option, which sends the price up....
ad nauseum................


Improved recovery can potentially sequester CO2.

CO2 project near Houston

Sigh... this is non-anthropogenic CO2 that comes from Mississippi... also used to freeze chickens.
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
486. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:01 (GMT)
Good points, STL.
But it's the old chicken/egg debacle.
Improved recovery is costly, which sends production costs up.
So improved recovery is not an option, until price per barrel goes up.
So then improved recovery becomes an option, which sends the price up....
ad nauseum................
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
485. EnergyMoron
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 05:00 (GMT)
Quoting MichaelSTL:


If you think that $90 oil is expensive, consider than 1 barrel of oil is equivalent to about 25,000 hours of manual labor - that is only 1/3 of a cent per hour. Alternatively, based on the minimum wage of $7.25 an hour, that is $181,250 per barrel of oil - what you might call its real worth. So I'm pretty sure we will still be using oil for a long time if nothing is done to supplant it (just not so wastefully).


Actually, good way of looking at things. Did the same calculations for my solar panels.

Cut and paste from excel...

$13,212.77 dollars per hour

Oil is very cheap... solar somewhat less but still better than slavery.

Much better as a matter of fact.
Member Since: 8.12.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
484. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:55 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:
In the meantime,there is concern for the health and well-being of the Inuit people.
Lack of fresh meat, due to loss of ice and difficulties in finding food, has meant that the Inuit are eating more "junk foods" and not their usual diet.
Health issues are already being noticed....

from CNN
the first to fall soon be nothing more than stories in books
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
482. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:52 (GMT)
In the meantime,there is concern for the health and well-being of the Inuit people.
Lack of fresh meat, due to loss of ice and difficulties in finding food, has meant that the Inuit are eating more "junk foods" and not their usual diet.
Health issues are already being noticed....

from CNN
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
481. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:48 (GMT)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM FST January 19 2011
================================

The low pressure system to the northeast of Fiji is expected to develop into a depression and possibly a cyclone.

Another low is expected to form within the vicinity of New Caledonia and develop into a disturbance.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
480. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:41 (GMT)
Quoting MichaelSTL:


One reason is this:



If you don't think global warming is a serious threat, then this should change your mind on whether we need to find alternative sources of energy (note, even including all liquid fuels, including biofuels, which are basically double-counting, it doesn't look that good).

Not a problem.
Here, we have 12 years proven reserves.
And no current exploration.... last series of exploration was dry.
BUT,
We going to be fine.
For a couple more years, anyway.
After that? Maybe we eat each other, like Keeper says....
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
479. GeoffreyWPB
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:40 (GMT)
---
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10577
478. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:35 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

You going to have to line up, behind me and 15 Billion other hungry people.
Them animals are going to get kind of scarce....
Of course, we could eat each other.
Kill 2 birds with one stone, so to speak.
we use too
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
476. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:26 (GMT)
Quoting Jedkins01:



That's true, but thankfully when that day comes, I'm definitely well ready to grow my own plants, and hunt my own meat. Because I already do some of that for fun, its just I would have to make that become what I depend on, which would certainly be that much healthier for my body anyway :)

You going to have to line up, behind me and 15 Billion other hungry people.
Them animals are going to get kind of scarce....
Of course, we could eat each other.
Kill 2 birds with one stone, so to speak.
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
475. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:25 (GMT)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


You just have to pay more for them.
lots more
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
473. Jedkins01
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:22 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

Whew!
Thanks, I was worried....

ONWARD>>>>>>>>>>>


You're welcome, just doing my job!

lol
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
472. pottery
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:22 (GMT)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


You just have to pay more for them.

Doing that already....
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
471. Ossqss
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:22 (GMT)
Quoting JFLORIDA:


Logarithmic but a linear inclusive one was found recently including sinks.


Can you expand upon the sinks and the hybrid logalinear relationship? How do clouds play, or perhaps the ozone, that is now not understood (20 years later) as we once thought it's behavior was settled science, but it is not.

It is quite interesting that the same CO2 item that attempts to march forward (just like the Montreal protocol) the Agenda 21 UN sponsored initiative, could be the saving grace for food to the hungry as we move higher in global population. Think about it. How many people had the corn taken out of their mouths by virtue of gov subsidies for ethanol to go in gas tanks? out>>>
Member Since: 12.06.2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8183
470. Jedkins01
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:19 (GMT)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


You just have to pay more for them.



That's true, but thankfully when that day comes, I'm definitely well ready to grow my own plants, and hunt my own meat. Because I already do some of that for fun, its just I would have to make that become what I depend on, which would certainly be that much healthier for my body anyway :)
Member Since: 21.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6846
469. bappit
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:19 (GMT)
Quoting Levi32:


It was not originally posted by me and thus is not my responsibility. I was simply asking a question, and reposted the image for reference. I personally find the entire idea of graphing temperature and CO2 back millions of years to be hilarious.

Worth quoting.
Member Since: 18.05.2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 5558
467. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:17 (GMT)
Quoting pottery:

Whew!
Thanks, I was worried....

ONWARD>>>>>>>>>>>
ONWARD FASTER AND FASTER WE GO
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
466. GeoffreyWPB
19. tammikuuta 2011 klo 04:17 (GMT)
Quoting Jedkins01:


don't worry, we will continue eating food, and continue drinking water. Don't let Global Warming scare you from continuing those natural biological instincts :)


You just have to pay more for them.
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10577

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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