Richard hits Belize, weakens to a tropical storm

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 25. lokakuuta 2010 klo 12:38 (GMT)

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Hurricane Richard hit central Belize last night at approximately 8:45pm EDT as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds. The hurricane made landfall about 20 miles south of Belize's largest city, Belize City (population approximately 100,000--1/3 of Belize's population.) Richard's northern eyewall passed just south of the airport, which measured top winds of 37 mph, gusting to 62mph, at 8pm CST. The airport picked up 3.66" of rain. Richard was a small hurricane, and hurricane-force winds affected a region of coast of no more than 20 - 30 miles wide, just to the south of Belize City. As Richard made landfall, the eye grew tighter and more defined, subjecting a smaller portion of the country to the extreme winds of the eyewall. This contraction of the eye was probably caused by frictional convergence--as the winds spiraling into the center of Richard passed from ocean to land, the increased friction caused the winds to slow down as they reached the eyewall. This made the inflowing air pile up near the eyewall, and this piled-up air was forced upwards into more violent updrafts, intensifying the thunderstorms in the eyewall and causing eye to contract. This intensification lasted only an hour or two, before the inland motion of the center removed Richard from its main energy source, the warm waters of the Western Caribbean.


Figure 1. Visible MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Richard taken at 12:45pm EDT 10/24/10 by NASA's Aqua satellite. A the time, Richard was a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

The top winds measured at any station in Belize occurred at a personal weather station on the offshore island of Caya Caulker, which had sustained winds of 54 mph yesterday afternoon at 3:55pm CST local time. Despite the relatively small portion of Belize that was subjected to strong winds from Richard, the storm was able to knock out power to the entire nation for a period of many hours. There are no reports of deaths or injuries, but preliminary media reports indicate major wind and flooding damage in regions near where the center came ashore.

Richard was a hurricane for 18 hours, and was the 10th hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. This year's ten hurricanes ties it for sixth place for most hurricanes in an Atlantic hurricane season. Our seventeen named storms this year also ranks as the 6th most in history. Atlantic hurricane season records go back to 1851.


Figure 2. Zoom radar image of Hurricane Richard at landfall, 8:53pm EDT 10/24/10. Belize City was just north of the northern eyewall, and did not receive tropical storm force winds, according to the hourly observations taken at the airport. However, Belmopan, the capital of Belize, experienced the northern eyewall of Richard. Image credit: Belize Meteorological Service.

Forecast for Richard
Richard has weakened to a tropical storm with 45 mph winds, as it moves west-northwest over the Yucatan Peninsula. Richard's small size and relatively slow forward speed of 5 - 10 mph will lead to continued weakening today as it crosses the Yucatan Peninsula. The storm will probably be a tropical depression when it emerges over the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday--if it survives the crossing. If Richard does survive the crossing, moderate wind shear and dry air over the southern Gulf of Mexico should keep the storm from intensifying. Richard should dissipate by Wednesday, before affecting any other land areas.

Invest 90L
A low pressure system (Invest 90L) centered near 23N 42W in the middle Atlantic Ocean, has developed a broad circulation. A band of heavy thunderstorms has developed in an arc to the north and east of the storm, well removed from the center, suggesting that 90L is a hybrid subtropical system. Wind shear is a high 20 - 25 knots, but is predicted to drop to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, this afternoon through Wednesday. This may give 90L the opportunity to develop, though water temperatures are marginal for development, just 26.5 - 27°C (26.5°C is usually the limiting SST that a tropical storm can develop at.) The NOGAPS model is calling for 90L to develop into a depression by Friday, when the storm will be near Bermuda. NHC is giving 90L a 10% of developing into a tropical depression by Wednesday.

Next update
I'll have an update on Tuesday. I'm not sure when that update will be, as I am catching a flight to Miami in the morning. I've been invited to spend the week at the National Hurricane Center as part of their visiting scientist program, and will be shadowing NHC forecasters on the evening shift Tuesday - Friday to learn more about their operations. I'll be writing a post later this week about what a shift is like at the Hurricane Center. I also have meetings planned with scientists at NOAA's Hurricane Research Division, and plan to write about some of the research missions performed during this year's hurricane season.

Our weather extremes expert Christopher C. Burt has a very interesting post today on the hottest temperatures ever measured on Earth.

Jeff Masters

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992. DontAnnoyMe
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 17:47 (GMT)
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
At the rate that this line is moving I am surprised that western NY/PA is not in a mdt risk for severe storms


The low pressure center is moving north, thus the front will actually be slowing down in terms of eastward movement.
Member Since: 21.09.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
991. lightningbolt73
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 16:17 (GMT)
A pds tornado watch? Wow! you don't see those very often!
Member Since: 19.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
990. lightningbolt73
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 16:05 (GMT)
Quoting IKE:
RIP Rick....

...RICHARD BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
10:00 AM CDT Tue Oct 26
Location: 20.4�N 93.1�W
Max sustained: 30 mph
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb

............................................

TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICHARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1000 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

RICHARD LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER WATER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED BY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR AND MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PROHIBIT REGENERATION.

THE LOW IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 KT ON THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE. THIS
MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON RICHARD. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANTS OF RICHARD...THE LOW...NOT THE FORECASTER...CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...

UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 26/1500Z 20.4N 93.1W 25 KT
12HR VT 27/0000Z 21.6N 93.8W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 27/1200Z 23.2N 94.6W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36HR VT 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
I love the humor some of these forecasters use in the discussion! Forecaster Franklin has a great sense of humor and I loved hearing his discussions on storms!
Member Since: 19.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
989. lightningbolt73
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:42 (GMT)
Wow! Key West has had quite a bit of rain! They should share some of it with us here in Sarasota!
Member Since: 19.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
988. Neapolitan
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:30 (GMT)
NEW BLOG
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13280
987. lightningbolt73
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:28 (GMT)
Quoting Bordonaro:
LOOK at these pressure readings!!!

www.srh.noaa.gov
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage The latest weather observations around NWS logo
2 Miles E Rutland ND

Enter Your "City, ST"
Location Time
(cdt) Sky/Weather Temp.
(ºF) Dewpt.
(ºF) Humidity
(%) Wind
(mph) Pressure
(in)
Fargo, Hector International Airport 01:53 Light Rain 50 47 89 NW 16 28.84
Moorhead Municipal Airport 02:15 Light Rain 50 50 100 NW 20 G 25 28.82
Fergus Falls Automatic Weather Observing/Reporting 02:13 Rain 52 52 100 NW 18 28.80
Detroit Lakes Automatic Weather Observing / Report 02:14 Light Rain 54 48 82 SE 8 28.81
Wadena Municipal Airport 02:17 Rain 52 50 94 E 8 28.77
Park Rapids Municipal Airport 01:53 Light Rain Fog/Mist 53 52 96 E 6 28.83
Grand Forks International Airport 01:53 Light Rain 50 49 96 NW 10 28.83
Crookston Municipal Field 02:15 Light Rain 54 54 100 SE 7 28.82
Fosston Automatic Weather Observing/Reporting Sys 02:13 Rain 52 52 100 E 13 G 18 28.82
Bemidji 02:14 Light Rain 55 54 94 E 10 28.86
Devils Lake Automatic Weather Observing/Reporting 02:15 Overcast and Breezy 45 41 87 NW 24 G 30 28.91
Jamestown Municipal Airport 01:56 Light Rain and Windy 42 39 89 NW 26 G 36 28.94
Waskish Municipal Airport 02:13 Rain 54 52 94 E 12 28.91
Hallock Municipal Airport 02:15 Light Rain 55 55 100 SE 16 G 20 28.82
Thief River Automatic Weather Observing/Reporting 02:15 Overcast 54 52 94 E 17 28.85
Click on location name for the weather during the past two days at that site.
My goodness! those pressures are low! This storm really means business!
Member Since: 19.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
986. NRAamy
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:25 (GMT)
SQUAWK!!!!
Member Since: 24.01.2007 Posts: 316 Comments: 31944
985. SherwoodSpirit
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:21 (GMT)
After the bizarro October heat we've been having in Missouri (we broke records for highest minimum temps in St. Louis in the last couple days), and the howling winds we had yesterday, I wasn't surprised by the squall line that passed through my neck of the woods at 4AM. I WAS surprised, however, by the tornado warnings it prompted just north of me. Very odd weather for this time of the year.
Then I come online to check on Richard's demise and see what 90L is up to, and see y'all are taking about "my" landcane. :)
Here's hoping it just blows itself out without doing any great injury.
Member Since: 18.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 392
984. oleClegs
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:14 (GMT)
Cooling trends vs. Warming trends

It seems you are on one side or the other. Well, aren’t you? Too hot, too cold, Man made or not, it’s just a phase or cycle, big industry, political affiliation. The problem is most people have some opinion but they are on the fence because the problem is now convoluted by cynical interest groups or either they’re too far detached from good sense and science. Maybe, you just don’t give a care because you’re caught in the rat race. Individuals, corporations and governments are all part of the problem and responsible for contributing factors to AGW such as polluting, littering and be wasteful, not sowing what they reap. Instead of pointing fingers, rally together and double efforts to engaged the public and fund scientists who, will focus and fix the main elements which sustain our planet and the humans who inhabit it, grade them like schools and yank the funding if they don’t make sizable contributions. Ensure awareness, publish and educate people of their environmental footprint, you should know it like calorie counting! Fund things good for the environment, science should not be spending whole lives in the pursuit of causation and continuing to protect a empty, tired rice bowl, quit taking a new approach and mobilize, start by looking at the obvious, taking responsibility for failed campaigns, police those who need help and look for answers which are all around us and we can solve this at all levels. The “science”, unfocused efforts and disinformation of all this has everyone standing like a deer caught in headlights. It has sane people unable to act on natural tendencies, wrongly mixing, grouping and separating things that naturally occur and those that are done of free will and negligence. Stop mapping trends on a chart and forming committees, the earth is a “complex” environment, with big and small problems. I’m talking about all the elements that make up a periodic table on and how polluted things are becoming on molecular levels. It’s our symbiotic relationship between all things that inhabit earth. It's not something only Superman can fix like polarity, our axis, solar flares or asteroids. Global warming, give us a break. Yeah, we’re warming and cooling, its cyclic. We can map and make logical ties of cause and effect to the air, water, climatology and atmosphere. Basic problem solving needs to get to work, positive and negative, yen and yang, every action has a reaction. This heavy stuff is causing great divides. I know we all tend to focus on our own survival needs but a lot is at stake in this argument. We can’t continue to put it all on the drawing board and discuss it, taking steps backward. Learn from what’s now happening. From a much simpler perspective, I just want to fix what I can fix and do my part, good citizenship. Sure, I wonder about things like if I washed my car, spend too much time in the shower could I add to water shortages, well yeah. Water shortage is the major problem it deserves proper attention and focus and it is getting worse day by day. It is and will continue to be what plagues us and if we don’t focus on the water problems, nothing else will matter. Water is life sustaining not the stuff you cook with, flush, shower, shave, water your landscape, wash your vehicle with. It turns out the “upswing in activity”, global warming (ice caps melting), food shortages and most “Key Environmental Causes” all are linked, tied, connected and caused by water, its shortages and issues. They say we are all crisis driven these days, well here’s your sign. Fix the water problem and quit blaming factors. The world is 2/3’s water; most of it is not potable with salinity and pollution problems. Folks, the ice cap are melting while everyone is out to lunch, so you can get my bottle of water at the 7-11, selfish. Quit wasting potable water, or replace it. Fix the oceans and waters, harvest the oceans water and replenish the grounds, Mother Nature can’t continue do the rest. The supporting Science has already been hashed and re-hashed. And the point is Quit arguing do something.


Member Since: 2.09.2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 27
983. Neapolitan
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:13 (GMT)
The list of tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings is getting ridiculously long; there are currently warnings in effect for Memphis, Nashville, Louisville, Paducah, Wilmington (OH), Grand Rapids, Indianapolis, and many places in between. Again: incredible...
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13280
981. VAbeachhurricanes
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:11 (GMT)
Another Tornado watch soon: whats the record for most watches at once?
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5697
980. kshipre1
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:09 (GMT)
Jeff,

what do you think about the tropics? seems like after the next couple of weeks, the tropics could basically start quieting down.

Member Since: 12.07.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1130
979. Bordonaro
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:08 (GMT)
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
At the rate that this line is moving I am surprised that western NY/PA is not in a mdt risk for severe storms

Aitkin NDB Automatic Weather Observing / Reporting 09:55 Light Rain 57 54 88 Calm 28.45

28.45" is 963.4 MB
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
977. VAbeachhurricanes
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:08 (GMT)
Tornado Watch #724:
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5697
976. aspectre
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:07 (GMT)
NHC reclassifies TropicalDepressionRichard as a a remnant low
TD.Richard
24Oct 03pmGMT - 17.8n90.2w - 35mph (~56.3km/h) - - 1006mb - NHC.Adv.#19
25Oct 06pmGMT - 18.0n90.8w - 30knots(~55.6km/h) -- 1005mb - ATCF
25Oct 09pmGMT - 18.1n91.2w - 35mph (~56.3km/h) - - 1005mb - NHC.Adv..#20
26Oct 12amGMT - 18.1n91.3w - 25knots . (46.4km/h) -- 1003mb - ATCF
26Oct 03amGMT - 18.4n91.6w - 30mph (~48.3km/h) - - 1004mb - NHC.Adv.#21
26Oct 06amGMT - 19.0n92.2w - 25knots . (46.4km/h) -- 1005mb - ATCF
26Oct 09amGMT - 19.4n92.5w - 30mph (~48.3km/h) - - 1005mb - NHC.Adv.#22
26Oct 12pmGMT - 20.0n92.9w - 25knots . (46.4km/h) -- 1004mb - ATCF
(ex)Richard
26Oct 03pmGMT - 20.4n93.1w - 30mph (~48.3km/h) - - 1004mb - NHC.Adv.#23

Copy&paste 17.8n90.2w, 18.0n90.8w, 18.1n91.2w, 18.1n91.3w, 18.4n91.6w-19.0n92.2w, 19.0n92.2w-19.4n92.5w, 19.4n92.5w-20.0n92.9w, 20.0n92.9w-20.4n93.1w tam, rtb into the GreatCircleMapper for a look at the headings&distances traveled over the last 12hours.
Member Since: 21.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
975. Thundercloud01221991
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:07 (GMT)
At the rate that this line is moving I am surprised that western NY/PA is not in a mdt risk for severe storms
Member Since: 1.08.2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
973. VAbeachhurricanes
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 15:02 (GMT)
Another Tornado Watch soon, incredible
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5697
971. VAbeachhurricanes
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:59 (GMT)
20 tornado warnings... wow
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5697
969. lightningbolt73
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:55 (GMT)
Quoting MrstormX:

Of course
I'm so sorry to hear that! Its verry sad when someone dies of a drug overdose.
Member Since: 19.10.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 112
967. VAbeachhurricanes
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:53 (GMT)
PDS wow, things are going to be interesting all day, only 11edt
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5697
966. lilElla
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:51 (GMT)
From Racine Co Wisconsin

UPDATED Tuesday, October 26, 2010 --- 9:25 a.m.

SUBJECT: Situation Report #1 on Severe Weather
From the WI Dept of Military Affairs

Racine County Emergency Management has reported a tornado or downburst has hit the Sturtevant area. The Case Corporation lost part of their roof, several homes are reporting damage and numerous power lines are down. Part of Highway 11 is closed due to debris.

WEM Regional Director has been in contact with Racine County. In addition, WEM Emergency Fire Services Coordinator has been notified due to a request for fire mutual aid.

There has been no other request for state assistance.

High wind warnings remain in effect for most of the state.


For all to my east, stay safe!
Member Since: 5.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 272
965. IKE
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:45 (GMT)
RIP Rick....

...RICHARD BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
10:00 AM CDT Tue Oct 26
Location: 20.4N 93.1W
Max sustained: 30 mph
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb

............................................

TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICHARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1000 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

RICHARD LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER WATER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED BY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR AND MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PROHIBIT REGENERATION.

THE LOW IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 KT ON THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE. THIS
MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON RICHARD. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANTS OF RICHARD...THE LOW...NOT THE FORECASTER...CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...

UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 26/1500Z 20.4N 93.1W 25 KT
12HR VT 27/0000Z 21.6N 93.8W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 27/1200Z 23.2N 94.6W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36HR VT 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
964. Bordonaro
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:39 (GMT)
LOOK AT THIS. Sorry for shouting. Today is 10-26-10 @ 9:40 AM :O)

Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) Tornado Watch 723
A PDS TORNADO WATCH has just been issued
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
963. Neapolitan
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:32 (GMT)
A massive system; a little basic geometry says that the clouds connected with the entire system--that is, that stretch from the Grand Banks of of Newfoundland westward to the Dakotas, then southward to Texas--encompass an area of roughly 2.5 million square miles. By way of comparison, Typhoon Tip, the largest tropical cyclone on record, covered a bit under 1.5 million square miles--while an average-sized TC covers about 75,000 square miles.

Incredible...

Click for larger image:

Appropriate tropical weather-related image
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13280
962. Bordonaro
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:29 (GMT)
28.48" PRESSURE OR 964.4 MB

Aitkin NDB Automatic Weather Observing / Reporting 09:13 Heavy Rain 57 55 94 Calm 28.48


Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
961. CyclonicVoyage
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:27 (GMT)
Tornado Warning

Statement as of 10:23 AM EDT on October 26, 2010

... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 1045 am EDT for northern
St. Joseph County in North Central Indiana... and western Cass and
Berrien counties in southwest Michigan...

At 1020 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to
indicate a line of severe thunderstorms with strong rotation. These
severe storms were located along a line extending from Bridgman to 8
miles southwest of Buchanan to 8 miles southwest of South Bend... and
moving northeast at 50 mph.

Locations in the path of severe thunderstorms include...
St. Joseph... Buchanan and South Bend...
Fair Plain... Benton Heights and Benton Harbor...
Lake Michigan Beach... Lake Michigan beac and Granger...
Watervliet... Coloma and Paw Paw Lake...

Other locations impacted by this line of severe thunderstorms include
Shoreham... Sodus... Bertrand... Eau Claire... Indian Village...
Millburg... Sumnerville... Pokagon... Indian Lake and Barron Lak
Member Since: 30.01.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3259
957. caneswatch
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:07 (GMT)
Quoting Grothar:
Is that pressure 959 or 989? I don't know, the last 70 or so, my eyes have been failing me.



You need better glasses lol
Member Since: 8.10.2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
956. PensacolaDoug
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 14:03 (GMT)
JB says what he says because he recognizes the politcal intent of such silly statements. If the issue wasn't so politisized. It would be about the science. ANd on a weather note...What a system going thru the lakes! I wonder if it's a harbinger of things to come this winter?
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
955. Grothar
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:58 (GMT)
Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23727
954. islander101010
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:57 (GMT)
Quoting Jeff9641:
Dallas 1 and 5! OUCH! This pretty much sealed Wade Phillips fate now. Even the STL Rams are better than the Cowboys this year.
problem is the owner and his daughter i thought the system to watch was them clouds near 35 w 10n
Member Since: 11.09.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4018
953. Orcasystems
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:57 (GMT)
Complete Update



AOI
AOI AOI AOI

AOI AOI AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
952. Grothar
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:55 (GMT)
No, its reads 959.
Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23727
951. Grothar
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Is that pressure 959 or 989? I don't know, the last 70 or so, my eyes have been failing me.

Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23727
950. lilElla
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:53 (GMT)
This is one wound up low - Have seen several reports of trees & power lines down, I'm afraid this is just the beginning. The warning here goes through tomorrow.
Member Since: 5.12.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 272
949. Neapolitan
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:52 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Read this: "...if you lose the summer sea ice, there are phenomena that could lead you not so very long thereafter to lose the winter sea ice as well. And if you lose that sea ice year round, it's going to mean drastic climatic change all over the hemisphere." Wouldnt you say that those are the words of an extremist? Alarming to say the least. Now how would you like someone like that being chosen by the president to be the chief science officer of the United States? This is a direct quote from John Holdren just last year. Apparently he just assumes if we get rid of arctic sea ice in the summer ( target one from 2007 was 2010, we are now working on John Kerry's 2013) then winter is right around the corner.

Sort of puts some things about extremist in perspective for me...Scientifically, when it comes to such things as AGW, its the age of witches

Oh, JB. What are we going to do with this guy? He accuses a well-respected, highly-ranked scientist of alarmism--that is, a form of hyperbole--by engaging in some actual hyperbole of his own. Holdren was only presenting a few "ifs" and "coulds". It's no different than a doctor telling you, "If you don't stop smoking, and if you don't stop drinking so much, and if you don't stop overeating, and if you don't get off the couch and start exercising, you could die." I wouldn't call that alarmism (though the guys who sell you cigarettes and booze and fast food probably would).

Having said that: what's so wrong with a little alarmism? When your home is burning, you sound the fire alarm; when the planet is in peril, what else should you do? The alarm's being sounded...though entrenched corporate interests with very deep pockets have managed to mostly drown it out.
Member Since: 8.11.2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13280
948. TampaSpin
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:43 (GMT)
Make sure you turn your Weather Radios on or use Dr. Masters Radio tab above or go to my WU blog and go to my Website as i have a NWS Radio on the right side of the Screen as well.
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
947. caymanray
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:41 (GMT)
I don't recall seeing MN pressure readings so low... As low as a CAT 4 cane
Member Since: 10.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 11
946. caymanray
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:38 (GMT)
Plenty of places in MN below 28

KMGK (Magic 107.1) FM, Glenwood, Minnesota (PWS)
Updated: 6 sec ago
42.4 °F
Light Rain
Windchill: 39 °F
Humidity: 94%
Dew Point: 41 °F
Wind: 9.0 mphfrom the WSW

Wind Gust: 21.0 mph
Pressure: 27.56 in (Steady)


Member Since: 10.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 11
945. Orcasystems
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:34 (GMT)
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
944. nocaneindy
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:34 (GMT)
Quoting TampaSpin:



If you look at the CAPE graphic above you can see the collision of winds in different directions, starting in Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and into Mississippi! This will move to the East today. A day of Tornado's for those guys coming today. The heating of the day will really be bad late this evening and tonite. NOtice how OHio is the strongest possiblity....that is because of the heating of the day with clear skies before the front. Big time trouble coming there as i agree with the NWS.


Thats how I see it too. You can already see the line getting stronger. Indianapolis is currently under a tornado warning, and it will be in my area shortly. East of me.. Watch out later!
Member Since: 21.09.2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
943. TampaSpin
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:32 (GMT)


What a Low Pressure system this is...WOW
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
942. oddspeed
26. lokakuuta 2010 klo 13:29 (GMT)
MN even lower:

Link

Albert Lea High Wind Advisory Record Report 46.2 °F 96% 27.28 in!! crazy
Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 232

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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