Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

NOAA: June 2010 the globe's 4th consecutive warmest month on record
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 16. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 15:02 (GMT) +7
June 2010 was the warmest June since record keeping began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and was the fourth consecutive warmest month on record. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated June 2010 the third warmest June on record, behind June 1998 and June 2009. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - June, as the warmest such period on record. June 2010 global ocean temperatures were the fourth warmest on record, while land temperatures were the warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 2nd warmest on record in June, according to both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) groups. The record warmest temperatures in the lower atmosphere were recorded in 1998.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from June 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

June 2010 features an unprecedented heat wave in Asia and North Africa
A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity brought the hottest temperatures in recorded history to six nations in Asia and Africa, plus the Asian portion of Russia, in June 2010. At least two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever in June.

The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.

Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.

Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.

Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 25 when the mercury rose to 49.6°C (121.3°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.

The Asian portion of Russia recorded its highest temperature in history on June 25, when the mercury hit 42.3°C (108.1°F) at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China. The previous record was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at nearby Aksha on July 21, 2004. (The record for European Russia is 43.8°C--110.8°F--set on August 6, 1940, at Alexandrov Gaj near the border with Kazakhstan.

Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar's all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000. All of these records are unofficial, and will need to be verified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO.) The source for the previous all-time records listed here is the book Extreme Weather by Chris Burt. According to Mr. Burt, the only other time as many as six nations set their all-time highest temperature marks in a single month was during the European heat wave of August 2003.


Figure 2. Dust storm over Iraq on June 23, 2010, the day after Iraq recorded its hottest temperature in its history. Image credit: NASA.

June 2010 Arctic sea ice extent lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in June 2010 was the lowest in the 31-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The rate of ice loss during June was the fastest on record, approximately 50% faster than average. Ice volume was also at a record low through the first half of June, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. The record ice loss in June was due in large part to the presence of strong high pressure north of Alaska, combined with strong low pressure over Siberia, which drove warm air from Asia over the pole. This pressure pattern, called the Arctic Dipole, was unknown until the 2000s, and may be the result of climate change.

Eighth warmest June on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., it was the 8th warmest June in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Three states had their warmest June on record: Delaware, New Jersey, and North Carolina. Seventeen states had a top-ten warmest June, with five of these recording their second warmest June ever (Maryland, Virginia, South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.) No state recorded a top-ten coldest June.

U.S. precipitation
For the contiguous U.S., June 2010 ranked as the 17th wettest June in the 116-year record. June precipitation was the wettest on record for Michigan. Several other states were also anomalously wet, including: Iowa (2nd wettest), Nebraska and Illinois (3rd wettest), Indiana (4th wettest), Wisconsin (5th wettest), Oregon (6th wettest), and Ohio (10th wettest). Maryland (6th driest) was the only state that experienced a top-ten driest June.

U.S. Climate Extremes Index
NCDC's Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - June was about 6 percent higher than average. The CEI measures the prevalence of several types of climate extremes (like record or near-record warmth, dry spells, or rainy periods). Factors contributing to the elevated 2010 value were large footprints of: extreme wetness (more than three times the average footprint), warm minimum temperatures ("warm overnight lows"), and areas experiencing heavy 1-day precipitation events.

U.S. tornadoes
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there were 387 preliminary tornado reports during June. If confirmed, this will be the second most active June on record, behind 1992. Minnesota had a particularly busy month with 67 preliminary tornado reports, besting the previous record of 35 tornadoes during June 2005.

The tropics are quiet
None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. There is an area of disturbed weather off the coast of Costa Rica that is generating some heavy thunderstorm activity over the extreme Southwest Caribbean. This disturbance should move westward over Nicaragua and Honduras over the weekend, bringing heavy rains to Central America. NHC is giving this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday.


Figure 3. My neighbor Tom Vance works to clear a fallen tree from the road so we can get out of our subdivision.

Next post
I'll have a new post on Monday at the latest. I may have trouble posting much this weekend, as a severe thunderstorm knocked out power to my neighborhood last night. I was watching the storm from my porch when the winds suddenly began gusting to 60 - 70 mph, and figured I'd better hustle inside when the huge black walnut tree in front of my house began thrashing like the Hogwarts whomping willow! Two neighbors had trees crash through their roofs, and downed power lines started several small fires.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Climate Summaries
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2701. CybrTeddy 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:32 (GMT)    
Quoting MechEngMet:
Good evening Pottery!

...and cooler SSTs rob heat engines (TCs) of the energy they need for sustenance and strength. This massive convection activity in the Carib could be a blessing.


Not really, would have to be a huge area of -60-80C cloudtops to have a real affect on TCHP and SSTs like a near-major hurricane like Alex.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20179
2702. BahaHurican 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:32 (GMT)    
Guanabacoa is a colonial township in eastern Havana, Cuba, and one of the 15 municipalities of the city. It is famous for its historical Santería and is home to the first African Cabildo in Havana. It was the site of the Battle of Guanabacoa, a skirmish between British and Spanish troops during the Battle of Havana during the Seven Years' War.
Member Since: 25.10.2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17588
2703. TampaSpin 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:32 (GMT)    
Quoting msgambler:
Excuse me Tampa, I always, ummm, sometimes, ummm, every now and then behave.


hummm.......OK....LOL......love it!
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747
2704. stormhank 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:32 (GMT)    
Does those suspect areas the NHC shades have to be in the medium (orange) color before they are declared invests?
Member Since: 8.09.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1375
2705. Hurricanes101 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:33 (GMT)    
Quoting stormhank:
Does those suspect areas the NHC shades have to be in the medium (orange) color before they are declared invests?


no usually it is 20% and above from what I have seen this year
Member Since: 10.03.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 6902
2706. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:34 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


Actually, it's the release of latent heat of condensation, which is the fuel that tropical systems sustain themselves with.

Thanks. So a loss of TC potential? (other things being equal)
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20702
2707. msgambler 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:34 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


Mobile home caster! LOL!!

Couldn't resist
Hey, I just caught that. That was funny...Sorry a little slow here, blood pressure problems tonight.
Member Since: 27.02.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1120
2708. MechEngMet 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:34 (GMT)    
2692 Pottery: I agree with everything you say in that post. It also makes sense in the world of physics and thermodynamics.

The heat energy to power that convection is coming from somewhere. ...likely the seawater.

I'd like to hear the thoughts of a few mets on that though.
Member Since: 13.04.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 353
2710. TampaSpin 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:35 (GMT)    
Son just came in the door and brought me one of those $5.00 foot longs......dam thing is filled with hot freaking peppers too! Dang nose is running!
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747
2711. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:36 (GMT)    
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Not really, would have to be a huge area of -60-80C cloudtops to have a real affect on TCHP and SSTs like a near-major hurricane like Alex.

OK. But persistent cloud cover. No change?
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20702
2712. Bordonaro 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:37 (GMT)    
Sorry, a little off tropical weather topic, however, look at all these severe weather reports!
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
2713. mrsalagranny 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:37 (GMT)    
I hope you are ok Msgambler.I will say prayers for you.
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2714. msgambler 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:38 (GMT)    
Thank you darlin'
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2715. xcool 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:39 (GMT)    
TampaSpin LOL
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2717. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:40 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


Just the opposite.

BAH! Sorry. Just re-read your previous post.
You are saying that persistent rains and unsettled weather (like in the Carib. now), would actually be of benefit to genesis.
I was on the wrong track.......
Interesting stuff. Thanks.

And thanks to you too, Cybr.
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20702
2718. mrsalagranny 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:40 (GMT)    
You are most welcomed.If I dont know a thing about weather,I surely know about prayers.So bring on the prayer request.
Member Since: 6.06.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 731
2719. leo305 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:40 (GMT)    
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Not really, would have to be a huge area of -60-80C cloudtops to have a real affect on TCHP and SSTs like a near-major hurricane like Alex.


really? I thought any rain in general could help cool things off..
Member Since: 17.04.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1752
2720. Bordonaro 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:40 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


I'll see your pop tarts, and raise ya a moon pie.

I see ya pop tarts, moon pie and I raise ya a devil dog and a ring ding!!
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
2721. CybrTeddy 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:41 (GMT)    
Quoting pottery:

BAH! Sorry. Just re-read your previous post.
You are saying that persistent rains and unsettled weather (like in the Carib. now), would actually be of benefit to genesis.
I was on the wrong track.......
Interesting stuff. Thanks.

And thanks to you too, Cybr.


No problem! :-)
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20179
2722. AussieStorm 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:41 (GMT)    
Quoting msgambler:
Good evening StormW, pottery, Tampa, granny. Figured I better get that out before I have to sneak away quietly.

Good Afternoon, I see the Philippines have another TD to deal with, only 5 day's after Conson caused 68 deaths, I no they have been hit hard by drought but to much rain at once or over a short space of time can be even worse.


Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13266
2724. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:42 (GMT)    
Quoting MechEngMet:
2692 Pottery: I agree with everything you say in that post. It also makes sense in the world of physics and thermodynamics.

The heat energy to power that convection is coming from somewhere. ...likely the seawater.

I'd like to hear the thoughts of a few mets on that though.

Looks like what applies in other fields, does not apply to the weather.
Must be why I find the weather so attractive LOL.
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2726. AussieStorm 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:44 (GMT)    
Quoting Bordonaro:

I see ya pop tarts, moon pie and I raise ya a devil dog and a ring ding!!

I see your devil dog and ring ding!! and I raise a frothy pint-glass of beer, a med-rare rump steak, curly fries and topped off with a big slice of chocolate mud cake :-)
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2728. tkeith 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:45 (GMT)    
yall are makin me hungry...
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2730. AussieStorm 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:46 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


And I'll raise you, 2 twinkies!

hahahahahahaha

comment of the day to you Sir.
Member Since: 30.09.2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13266
2731. Grothar 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:47 (GMT)    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


We need to call Ace Ventura on the case!


YO!
Member Since: 17.07.2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19488
2732. KoritheMan 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:47 (GMT)    
Quoting tkeith:
yall are makin me hungry...


Foodcaster!
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15418
2733. Progster 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:47 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


No. TCHP is affected by upwelling...'cept the only thing you upwell in the western Caribbean is warm water.


Convection increases the local vorticity by reducing the local atmospheric pressure. Over time, and if peristent enough, convection can start to generate based not only on the general instability of the local environment, but also due to the convergence of low level winds induced by increased local vorticity, and lower local pressures. You need a low shear evniroment for this to happen since strong shear deforms deep convective towers and upsets the symmetry of the local wind field by creating local updraft/downdraft couplets.
Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 412
2735. TampaSpin 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:47 (GMT)    
Quoting pottery:

BAH! Sorry. Just re-read your previous post.
You are saying that persistent rains and unsettled weather (like in the Carib. now), would actually be of benefit to genesis.
I was on the wrong track.......
Interesting stuff. Thanks.

And thanks to you too, Cybr.


I believe you was correct to some degree as persistent rains would cool only the top layer of the oceans. But, it really would have little affect in the true measure of the TCHP. IMO
Member Since: 2.09.2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747
2736. Bordonaro 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:47 (GMT)    
Quoting AussieStorm:

I see your devil dog and ring ding!! and I raise a frothy pint-glass of beer, a med-rare rump steak, curly fries and topped off with a big slice of chocolate mud cake :-)

Yummy, I am with you in spirit on that one, although I am about 8619.38 air miles away from ya!!

Would you like to borrow a liter of our 102F/39C air mass??
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
2738. tkeith 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:48 (GMT)    
Quoting Grothar:


YO!
Rut Roh...
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2739. mikatnight 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:48 (GMT)    
How long before there's another circle?

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2740. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:48 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


Here ya go pottery...this is an excerpt from a good article:

Hurricanes often begin their lives as clusters of clouds and thunderstorms called tropical disturbances. These low-pressure areas feature weak pressure gradients and little or no rotation. Most of these disturbances die out, but a few persevere down the path to hurricane status. In these cases, the thunderstorms in the disturbance release latent heat, which warms areas in the disturbance. This causes the air density inside the disturbance to lower, dropping the surface pressure. Wind speeds increase as cooler air rushes underneath the rising warm air. As this wind is subject to the Coriolis force, the disturbance begins to rotate. The incoming winds bring in more moisture, which condenses to form more cloud activity and releases latent heat in the process.

Much appreciated!
The thing is, I knew that in a general way. But did not ever think about the reality of the process.
Thanks for the clear explanation. Again!
You da man, Storm.
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2742. Bordonaro 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:48 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


And I'll raise you, 2 twinkies!

Storm W, the "Twin Twinkie Caster"!!
Member Since: 25.08.2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
2743. Progster 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:49 (GMT)    
That last wasn't for you senior Chief...it was for the Mech eng.
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2744. tkeith 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:49 (GMT)    
Quoting KoritheMan:


Foodcaster!
Later yall...time for a fridge raid.
Member Since: 1.11.2004 Posts: 25 Comments: 8838
2745. GeoffreyWPB 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:49 (GMT)    
I see the morning hall monitors coming on. Almost time for Phil Hendrie!
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2748. xcool 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:50 (GMT)    
jfv 10 names he used
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2749. houstongator 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:51 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


And I'll raise you, 2 twinkies!
I'll call with an RC Cola
Member Since: 28.08.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 109
2750. pottery 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:51 (GMT)    
Quoting Progster:


Convection increases the local vorticity by reducing the local atmospheric pressure. Over time, and if peristent enough, convection can start to generate based not only on the general instability of the local environment, but also due to the convergence of low level winds induced by increased local vorticity, and lower local pressures. You need a low shear evniroment for this to happen since strong shear deforms deep convective towers and upsets the symmetry of the local wind field by creating local updraft/downdraft couplets.

Good one.
Member Since: 24.10.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20702
2751. Progster 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 03:51 (GMT)    
Sorry, you certainly don't need met 101 :)

I just should have quoted an earlier post.

Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 412

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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