Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

NOAA: June 2010 the globe's 4th consecutive warmest month on record
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 16. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 15:02 (GMT) +7
June 2010 was the warmest June since record keeping began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and was the fourth consecutive warmest month on record. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated June 2010 the third warmest June on record, behind June 1998 and June 2009. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - June, as the warmest such period on record. June 2010 global ocean temperatures were the fourth warmest on record, while land temperatures were the warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 2nd warmest on record in June, according to both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) groups. The record warmest temperatures in the lower atmosphere were recorded in 1998.

For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from June 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

June 2010 features an unprecedented heat wave in Asia and North Africa
A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity brought the hottest temperatures in recorded history to six nations in Asia and Africa, plus the Asian portion of Russia, in June 2010. At least two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever in June.

The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.

Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.

Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.

Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 25 when the mercury rose to 49.6°C (121.3°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.

The Asian portion of Russia recorded its highest temperature in history on June 25, when the mercury hit 42.3°C (108.1°F) at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China. The previous record was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at nearby Aksha on July 21, 2004. (The record for European Russia is 43.8°C--110.8°F--set on August 6, 1940, at Alexandrov Gaj near the border with Kazakhstan.

Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar's all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000. All of these records are unofficial, and will need to be verified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO.) The source for the previous all-time records listed here is the book Extreme Weather by Chris Burt. According to Mr. Burt, the only other time as many as six nations set their all-time highest temperature marks in a single month was during the European heat wave of August 2003.


Figure 2. Dust storm over Iraq on June 23, 2010, the day after Iraq recorded its hottest temperature in its history. Image credit: NASA.

June 2010 Arctic sea ice extent lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in June 2010 was the lowest in the 31-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The rate of ice loss during June was the fastest on record, approximately 50% faster than average. Ice volume was also at a record low through the first half of June, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. The record ice loss in June was due in large part to the presence of strong high pressure north of Alaska, combined with strong low pressure over Siberia, which drove warm air from Asia over the pole. This pressure pattern, called the Arctic Dipole, was unknown until the 2000s, and may be the result of climate change.

Eighth warmest June on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., it was the 8th warmest June in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Three states had their warmest June on record: Delaware, New Jersey, and North Carolina. Seventeen states had a top-ten warmest June, with five of these recording their second warmest June ever (Maryland, Virginia, South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.) No state recorded a top-ten coldest June.

U.S. precipitation
For the contiguous U.S., June 2010 ranked as the 17th wettest June in the 116-year record. June precipitation was the wettest on record for Michigan. Several other states were also anomalously wet, including: Iowa (2nd wettest), Nebraska and Illinois (3rd wettest), Indiana (4th wettest), Wisconsin (5th wettest), Oregon (6th wettest), and Ohio (10th wettest). Maryland (6th driest) was the only state that experienced a top-ten driest June.

U.S. Climate Extremes Index
NCDC's Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - June was about 6 percent higher than average. The CEI measures the prevalence of several types of climate extremes (like record or near-record warmth, dry spells, or rainy periods). Factors contributing to the elevated 2010 value were large footprints of: extreme wetness (more than three times the average footprint), warm minimum temperatures ("warm overnight lows"), and areas experiencing heavy 1-day precipitation events.

U.S. tornadoes
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there were 387 preliminary tornado reports during June. If confirmed, this will be the second most active June on record, behind 1992. Minnesota had a particularly busy month with 67 preliminary tornado reports, besting the previous record of 35 tornadoes during June 2005.

The tropics are quiet
None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. There is an area of disturbed weather off the coast of Costa Rica that is generating some heavy thunderstorm activity over the extreme Southwest Caribbean. This disturbance should move westward over Nicaragua and Honduras over the weekend, bringing heavy rains to Central America. NHC is giving this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday.


Figure 3. My neighbor Tom Vance works to clear a fallen tree from the road so we can get out of our subdivision.

Next post
I'll have a new post on Monday at the latest. I may have trouble posting much this weekend, as a severe thunderstorm knocked out power to my neighborhood last night. I was watching the storm from my porch when the winds suddenly began gusting to 60 - 70 mph, and figured I'd better hustle inside when the huge black walnut tree in front of my house began thrashing like the Hogwarts whomping willow! Two neighbors had trees crash through their roofs, and downed power lines started several small fires.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Climate Summaries
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2501. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:23 (GMT)    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Taz is the record holder for most posts on the blog!


Whats he have?
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2502. SevereHurricane 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:23 (GMT)    
Quoting Stormchaser2007:


I also speak fluent Taz.


Don't even get me started LOL
Member Since: 7.09.2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
2503. CybrTeddy 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:24 (GMT)    
Quoting Stormchaser2007:


Not trying to make fun of him at all.

Just a tongue in check thing.

I respect Taz very much.


I do too, I have to think sometimes to understand his posts but I have always enjoyed Taz's presence on the blog the past few years. He's one of the regulars, being around for 4 years.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20201
2505. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:25 (GMT)    
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2506. wxhatt 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:26 (GMT)    
Quoting pottery:

Hi DDR.
Went up to Brasso Seco today. Most of the heavy rain was on this side of the mountains. But driving through the clouds up on the ridge was amazing! Was like driving at sundown up there. Spooky...
All the rivers and streams are filled and noisy. Nice.


Wow, sounds like a tropical paradise over there. Would have liked to have seen that.
Member Since: 5.10.2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 834
2507. ElConando 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:28 (GMT)    
Storm Chaser. He claims to have 50k now though I think 20-30k of them are nonsense posts. If you look at his blog you'd understand.
Member Since: 6.09.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3703
2508. DDR 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:28 (GMT)    
Quoting pottery:

Hi DDR.
Went up to Brasso Seco today. Most of the heavy rain was on this side of the mountains. But driving through the clouds up on the ridge was amazing! Was like driving at sundown up there. Spooky...
All the rivers and streams are filled and noisy. Nice.

Hey pottery,
was up there last year it truely is a beautiful place.the forest,the water falls and such.Mist...hmmmm,love that..see it here close up everytime it rains heavy.
Member Since: 27.04.2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1473
2509. Drakoen 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:30 (GMT)    
I wonder if the NHC mentioning of the area in the Tropical Atlantic has anything to do with the Marsupial theory.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
2510. BahaHurican 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:30 (GMT)    
Hey, Taz is Taz. Despite appearances, he usually has a pretty good grasp of what's going on in the tropics and a keen eye to the chances.

And that pinhole eye thing is an insider's joke. [Well, u had to have been there... lol]
Member Since: 25.10.2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17602
2511. BahaHurican 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:32 (GMT)    
Quoting Drakoen:
I wonder if the NHC mentioning of the area in the Tropical Atlantic has anything to do with the Marsupial theory.
Hey, Drak. Explain, pls.
Member Since: 25.10.2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17602
2512. SevereHurricane 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:32 (GMT)    
Quoting Drakoen:
I wonder if the NHC mentioning of the area in the Tropical Atlantic has anything to do with the Marsupial theory.


Care to elaborate on what the "Marsupial theory" is? Thanks...

Edit: found a paper
Member Since: 7.09.2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
2513. wxhatt 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:33 (GMT)    
Quoting Drakoen:
I wonder if the NHC mentioning of the area in the Tropical Atlantic has anything to do with the Marsupial theory.


found it:


Link

Member Since: 5.10.2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 834
2514. GeoffreyWPB 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:33 (GMT)    
Had to look that one up Drak! Marsupial Theory
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9110
2515. homelesswanderer 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:34 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


Baha, at the risk of sounding like a broken record, if the portion of this wave east of the Antilles does anything, could be a Texas, southward event. Just speculation right now though without anything solid yet.


I know "We'll always have Ike." ;) But I may need to bug again if that ridge is ever in the wrong place at the right time. Now I've gotta read back and see what you wrote. I love my little "find storms post fast" button on the edit menu. Lol.
Member Since: 15.08.2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
2516. DDR 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:35 (GMT)    
Quoting wxhatt:


Wow, sounds like a tropical paradise over there. Would have liked to have seen that.

Trust me, you'd love it,i have a few waterfall pics on my pc from there.They are right beside the road with lots of flowers around them.
Member Since: 27.04.2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1473
2517. Patrap 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:36 (GMT)    
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
2518. beell 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:36 (GMT)    
I'm leaning towards the 50W to try to get stacked under the second in a series of westward drifting ULLS-from the SW Atlantic drifting west across the GOM. Certainly not the best scenario for strong tropical development but may be fun to watch.

First ULL just made it to the eastern GOM today. Second one should be off the east coast of FL by mid week coincident with the wave.

If you dare to look that far, a third westward drifting ULL over Hispanola/Cuba Sunday/Monday after next.
Member Since: 11.09.2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12857
2520. TropicalNonsense 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:37 (GMT)    
To some this may be funny,but ive recently begun to question
the accuracy of NOAA'S Satellight maps from the NHC.

It's almost disturbing to me to think the US NHC map would
not be accurate scale and proportion wise with reguard to the
individual states.

but look and see for yourself something i've just recently noticed!

maybe im wrong but look at the state of Maine and the great lakes
as a point of northerly comparison.

are you seeing things correctly? [laughs] knowing that Maine
should be GRAPHICALLY positioned further north than the
Great Lakes as the northern most contiguous U.S. state.

i would guess this would throw off the accuracy of the entire map.

here are a few comparisions for a better visual distinction.


NHC MAP ... [LOOK AT THE STATE OF MAINE- IN THE FAR UPPER RIGHT CORNER OF THE US!]







A [More Accurate?] UNISYS MAP FOR COMPARISION:




wow, clearly the NOAA map is inaccurate im sorry to say.

the US/Canadian border is not straight im guessing and Maine should be much further North. LOL

quite unbelievable. someone please correct me i would rather believe the TAX Payer produced NOAA NHC map is more accurate.
Member Since: 3.07.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 524
2522. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:38 (GMT)    
Marsupial theory:

Hypothesis 1:
Wave breaking or roll-up of the cyclonic vorticity near the critical surface in the lower troposphere provides a favored region for the aggregation of vorticity seedlings and TC formation;
Hypothesis 2:
The wave critical layer is a region of closed circulation, where air is repeatedly moistened by convection and protected from dry air intrusion;
Hypothesis 3:
The parent wave is maintained and possibly enhanced by diabatically amplified mesoscale vortices within the wave.
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2523. JLPR2 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:40 (GMT)    
Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7487
2524. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:40 (GMT)    
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2526. Patrap 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:40 (GMT)    

Cave of marsupial fossils discovered in Outback



By KRISTEN GELINEAU (AP) – 1 day ago

SYDNEY — Scientists have discovered a cave filled with 15-million-year-old fossils of prehistoric marsupials in the Outback, a rare find that has revealed some surprising similarities between the creatures and modern-day kangaroos and koalas.

Researchers have unearthed a treasure trove of beautifully preserved fossils from the cave, including 26 skulls from an extinct, wombat-like marsupial called Nimbadon lavarackorum, an odd sheep-sized creature with giant claws. The findings were described this week in the Journal of Vertebrate Paleontology.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
2527. Hurricanes101 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:41 (GMT)    
ok so what is going on in the tropics
Member Since: 10.03.2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 6902
2528. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:41 (GMT)    
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2529. CaribbeanIslandStorm 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:42 (GMT)    
No Bonnie in sight, I don't believe we will have another storm till august!
2531. Drakoen 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:43 (GMT)    
Quoting BahaHurican:
Hey, Drak. Explain, pls.


What we have out in the Tropical Atlantic may be stage 1 of the Marsupial Theory which is the beginning of a cat eye where the flow near the surface bends cyclonically about the wave axis. This flow favors positive vorticity where moist convecitve process can take place from diabatic support in an unfavorable environment, hence the convection we are seeing on IR imagery.
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
2532. spathy 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:43 (GMT)    
Quoting TropicalNonsense:
To some this may be funny,but ive recently begun to question
the accuracy of NOAA'S Satellight maps from the NHC.

It's almost disturbing to me to think the US NHC map would
not be accurate scale and proportion wise with reguard to the
individual states.

but look and see for yourself something i've just recently noticed!

maybe im wrong but look at the state of Maine and the great lakes
as a point of northerly comparison.

are you seeing things correctly? [laughs] knowing that Maine
should be GRAPHICALLY positioned further north than the
Great Lakes as the northern most contiguous U.S. state.

i would guess this would throw off the accuracy of the entire map.

here are a few comparisions for a better visual distinction.


NHC MAP ... [LOOK AT THE STATE OF MAINE- IN THE FAR UPPER RIGHT CORNER OF THE US!]







A [More Accurate?] UNISYS MAP FOR COMPARISION:




wow, clearly the NOAA map is inaccurate im sorry to say.

the US/Canadian border is not straight im guessing and Maine should be much further North. LOL

quite unbelievable. someone please correct me i would rather believe the TAX Payer produced NOAA
NHC map is more accurate.

I always assumed most of them were stretched or exaggerated especially the further you get north.
Is this something new?
Not questioning.
Just a question.
Member Since: 8.06.2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10474
2533. GeoffreyWPB 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:44 (GMT)    
Quoting Drakoen:


What we have out in the Tropical Atlantic may be stage 1 of the Marsupial Theory which is the beginning of a cat eye where the flow near the surface bends cyclonically about the wave axis. This flow favors positive vorticity where moist convecitve process can take place from diabatic support in an unfavorable environment, hence the convection we are seeing on IR imagery.


I was just going to post that. You beat me to it.
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9110
2534. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:46 (GMT)    
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2536. Drakoen 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:46 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:
That could be Drak.

Can you take a look at IR2 satellite, does it appear the north portion of the wave is fracturing? Always good to have a second set of eyes (specially when mine are tired)


It does appear to be doing so
Member Since: 28.10.2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
2537. Patrap 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:47 (GMT)    
One is a Mercator Map,the other a Global arc one. Both have the same data .

Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
2539. GeoffreyWPB 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:47 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:
Marsupial casters


LMAO...I had no idea what that meant!
Member Since: 10.09.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9110
2541. Stormchaser2007 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:48 (GMT)    
Drak, are there any examples to compare this wave with?
Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15243
2542. Patrap 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:49 (GMT)    
.."Caught in a Pouch Invest"..
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
2544. wxhatt 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:50 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:
Marsupial casters


LOL, that is a new one I never heard of...
Member Since: 5.10.2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 834
2545. beell 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:50 (GMT)    
StormW was on the answer.

The only place a flat map of a sphere is accurate is where this "plane" touches the sphere. As you move away from this point, things get inaccurate very quickly.

Member Since: 11.09.2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12857
2546. MechEngMet 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:50 (GMT)    
Regarding maps and scale etc...

News flash!!!! The earth is a sphere!!!! Maps are by definition a two dimensional representation of a three dimensional shape (the sphere). SOMETHING HAS TO STRETCH.

The 2D map can only be completely accurate and to scale at exactly one point. (Usually that point is in the center). The further from that point, the more inaccurate the map.

If you don't believe me try wrapping a basket ball in christmass gift paper.
Sigh, Bourbon helps.
Member Since: 13.04.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 353
2547. will45 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:51 (GMT)    
Quoting StormW:


LOL...I was being sarcastic.


sarcastic caster
Member Since: 18.07.2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 994
2548. beell 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:51 (GMT)    
I get extra credit MechEngMet.
I had a graphic, lol.
Member Since: 11.09.2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12857
2549. JLPR2 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:52 (GMT)    
Well, a marsupial broke my brain LOL!
I'm heading off for a bit, got some studding to do, logarithms. -.-

logarithms + summer = frustration T_T
Member Since: 4.09.2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7487
2550. MechEngMet 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:53 (GMT)    
2545: That is a great graphic representation.
you bet me by one post. My reply looks juvenile compared to that graphic. Good answer...
Member Since: 13.04.2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 353
2551. Patrap 18. heinäkuuta 2010 klo 01:53 (GMT)    
Apollo TV broadcast at 56 Hours into the Mission,nearly 41 years ago.


Houston Talks about seeing the ITCZ at 3:15 into the TV transmission




From the TV transmission around 56:33 GET. Earth was reported to be at a distance of around 177 000 nautical miles at the time.
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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