NOAA: June 2010 the globe's 4th consecutive warmest month on record
June 2010 was the warmest June since record keeping began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and was the fourth consecutive warmest month on record. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated June 2010 the third warmest June on record, behind June 1998 and June 2009. Both NOAA and NASA rated the year-to-date period, January - June, as the warmest such period on record. June 2010 global ocean temperatures were the fourth warmest on record, while land temperatures were the warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 2nd warmest on record in June, according to both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) groups. The record warmest temperatures in the lower atmosphere were recorded in 1998.
For those interested, NCDC has a page of notable weather highlights from June 2010.
Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
June 2010 features an unprecedented heat wave in Asia and North Africa
A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity brought the hottest temperatures in recorded history to six nations in Asia and Africa, plus the Asian portion of Russia, in June 2010. At least two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever in June.
The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.
Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.
Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.
In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.
Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.
Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 25 when the mercury rose to 49.6°C (121.3°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.
The Asian portion of Russia recorded its highest temperature in history on June 25, when the mercury hit 42.3°C (108.1°F) at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China. The previous record was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at nearby Aksha on July 21, 2004. (The record for European Russia is 43.8°C--110.8°F--set on August 6, 1940, at Alexandrov Gaj near the border with Kazakhstan.
Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar's all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000. All of these records are unofficial, and will need to be verified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO.) The source for the previous all-time records listed here is the book Extreme Weather by Chris Burt. According to Mr. Burt, the only other time as many as six nations set their all-time highest temperature marks in a single month was during the European heat wave of August 2003.
Figure 2. Dust storm over Iraq on June 23, 2010, the day after Iraq recorded its hottest temperature in its history. Image credit: NASA.
June 2010 Arctic sea ice extent lowest on record
Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in June 2010 was the lowest in the 31-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The rate of ice loss during June was the fastest on record, approximately 50% faster than average. Ice volume was also at a record low through the first half of June, according to University of Washington Polar Ice Center. The record ice loss in June was due in large part to the presence of strong high pressure north of Alaska, combined with strong low pressure over Siberia, which drove warm air from Asia over the pole. This pressure pattern, called the Arctic Dipole, was unknown until the 2000s, and may be the result of climate change.
Eighth warmest June on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., it was the 8th warmest June in the 116-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Three states had their warmest June on record: Delaware, New Jersey, and North Carolina. Seventeen states had a top-ten warmest June, with five of these recording their second warmest June ever (Maryland, Virginia, South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.) No state recorded a top-ten coldest June.
U.S. precipitation
For the contiguous U.S., June 2010 ranked as the 17th wettest June in the 116-year record. June precipitation was the wettest on record for Michigan. Several other states were also anomalously wet, including: Iowa (2nd wettest), Nebraska and Illinois (3rd wettest), Indiana (4th wettest), Wisconsin (5th wettest), Oregon (6th wettest), and Ohio (10th wettest). Maryland (6th driest) was the only state that experienced a top-ten driest June.
U.S. Climate Extremes Index
NCDC's Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - June was about 6 percent higher than average. The CEI measures the prevalence of several types of climate extremes (like record or near-record warmth, dry spells, or rainy periods). Factors contributing to the elevated 2010 value were large footprints of: extreme wetness (more than three times the average footprint), warm minimum temperatures ("warm overnight lows"), and areas experiencing heavy 1-day precipitation events.
U.S. tornadoes
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there were 387 preliminary tornado reports during June. If confirmed, this will be the second most active June on record, behind 1992. Minnesota had a particularly busy month with 67 preliminary tornado reports, besting the previous record of 35 tornadoes during June 2005.
The tropics are quiet
None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. There is an area of disturbed weather off the coast of Costa Rica that is generating some heavy thunderstorm activity over the extreme Southwest Caribbean. This disturbance should move westward over Nicaragua and Honduras over the weekend, bringing heavy rains to Central America. NHC is giving this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday.
Figure 3. My neighbor Tom Vance works to clear a fallen tree from the road so we can get out of our subdivision.
Next post
I'll have a new post on Monday at the latest. I may have trouble posting much this weekend, as a severe thunderstorm knocked out power to my neighborhood last night. I was watching the storm from my porch when the winds suddenly began gusting to 60 - 70 mph, and figured I'd better hustle inside when the huge black walnut tree in front of my house began thrashing like the Hogwarts whomping willow! Two neighbors had trees crash through their roofs, and downed power lines started several small fires.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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no cookie for you. lol
In attempt to ramp-up the blog...
What is your prediction of the percentage that the NHC will give the Caribbean AOI at 8PM EDT?
The person that guesses correctly wins a cookie
Slim chance it goes up to 20% or the circle could be removed, though I think it should stay put for now.
I'll raise ya 10% and say orange 30%, farfetched yes I admit, but much more consolidation in the area of low pressure, plus its stationary for now, gives it time to fester.
I think there may be a whole lot of geologists that disagree with your statement about what they think about Global Warming:
American Geophysical Union and Global Warming
developed an area of low pressure and nice convection increase
and
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/record-cold-at-lax-airport-as-july-gloom-continues-in -southern-california.html
GOM - 10% or maybe just near 0%
I spent about 16 hours trying to get the raw data and models that are used in the CESM models that predict all this Global warming and just ended up clicking around in circles. My guess is they seed the model the same way the do for a Tropical system with some kind of "bogus" trend based on recent data which fits their hypothesis.
I truly DO believe we are heating the atmosphere with our civilizations ridiculous energy usage( move a 2000 lb car to move a 200lb body? cmon a monkey is more efficient) but I don't buy into all the effects of CO2 that are predicted and certainly think capping CO2 is the WRONG answer.. we need energy to make our lives better so we are going to have to produce it. So we either need to use existing energy from short term renewables or block/use some portion of the suns energy hitting the earth to get it in a sustainable form
10%,It may look like this...
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161735
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST EAST OF SOUTHERN NICARAGUA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS,HOWEVER,DEVELOPMENT IS STILL NOT EXPECTED DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND...HOWEVER HEAVY RAINS WILL
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER ALIVIA
What Im i looking for in a amplified tropical wave? or are their really big difference's to compare one from just a wave?
I'm not an American citizen, but very pro American, when America sneezes we here catch the cold, I couldn't agree with you more A+
Hurricane Martha almost made it to Panama as a hurricane so It's not impossible
??? what do you mean?
Thanks Petrol.
Corporations are funding our political representatives on both sides of the aisle.
In the relm of retired named storms:
"C" is 1st with 9
followed by "F" with 8
and "A" and "D" tied at 3rd with 7 each.
then... "I" with 6
"G" and "H" with 5
"J" with 4
and "B", "E", "K", "L", "M" with 3
"R" with 2
"N", "O","P", "S", and "W" have 1
the only letters not retired as of yet?
"T" and "V"
Thank you for humoring this random Hurricane Moment.
"Huh huh" what?
Heating the atmosphere? Gakona,Alaska is perhaps a perfect example of where the fault lies.
truly, many of the problems more than most people realize are created by man is what i have uneasily come to conclude.
780. jlp09550 11:17 PM GMT on July 16, 2010
Caribbean AOI. Nothing interesting IMO, except the widespread showers and thunderstorms.
What are you questioning though?
You're most Welcome, that's politics all over, what I look for when voting simply put is the lesser of two evils!
I'm close to that: 17-9-5
People who dispute global warming with falsified facts as admitted by hype experts and not fully investigating earth climate (IE ancient grass lands in the arctic, ancient climate history) are looking for a feel good moment. Do you remember the frozen Mammoths that are periodically found at ancient frozen grass lands. Non scientist such as All Gore are making millions, he was worth 2 million before he started the climate change train, now he's estimate to be 90 million richer (polar bear populations are increasing, not decreasing and a polar bear has been known to swim 10 plus miles off show to hunt). The earth travels on a wobbly orbit around the sun and scientist have proven that the earths poles have historically change polarization seven times. And i wont waste my time addressing politics, it all sux.
Sarah Palin is Far too good looking to be president! [laughs]
it just would not look right. and besides they would never get
any real work done in the white house because everyone would
be looking at Palin's legs.
[laughs] not that any work is getting done now anyway.
hey.. ya know that might not be such a bad idea. haha
Jul 16, 2010 5:16 PM
Tropical development is not expected across the Atlantic Basin through Sunday.
An enhanced area of moisture that lead to showers and thunderstorms over western Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico Thursday and Thursday night has moved westward. We are now analyzing an inverted area of low pressure along 90 west similar to a tropical wave extending from 30 north to about 22 north. Surface analysis shows a wind shift from northeast to southeast right along 90 west. Upper level winds are not real favorable for development. However, we will continue to watch for the possible development of a low level circulation feature through the weekend. This feature will move into the Texas coast on Sunday and fall apart.
A tropical wave along 68 west will move westward and bring showers and thunderstorms across the Great Antilles this weekend. This feature will reach the northern Bahamas and Straits of Florida on Monday. Computer forecasts show somewhat more favorable upper level winds in that general area during Monday and Tuesday of next week. However, unless a low level feature forms there's little chance for tropical development with this system. A tropical wave between 45 west and 50 west still has a large cyclonic area of clouds. This feature looks less impressive as far as thunderstorms compared to the past couple of days mostly due to the feature moving into fairly dry air.
In the southwest Caribbean Sea, a broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This low is partially over land and as a result is not in a favorable set up for development. The poorly organized system will help produce locally heavy rain across portions of Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama over the next few days as it drifts slowly westward.
By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
Viewing: 751 - 801
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