Philippines brace for Typhoon Mirinae; big snowstorm wallops Colorado

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 29. lokakuuta 2009 klo 14:14 (GMT)

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Category 2 Typhoon Mirinae continues to trek westward towards the Philippine Islands, but has not intensified and may be weaker than advertised. Latest infrared satellite loops show no eye, and little change to the areal extent, organization, and temperature of the cloud tops over the past six hours. Satellite estimates of Mirinae's intensity declined over the past twelve hours, and support a Category 1 typhoon. Microwave imagery shows no eyewall, and it appears wind shear has managed to disrupt the inner core. Wind shear remains a moderate 15 knots, and the ocean temperatures are very warm, 29°C. With environmental conditions forecast not forecast to undergo any major changes over the next two days, Mirinae should be somewhere between a Category 1 and Category 3 typhoon when it makes landfall on Friday afternoon (EDT). The main threat from the storm will be heavy rains, and Mirinae is currently producing maximum rains of about eight inches per day along its track (Figure 1). The mountains of Luzon Island will cause additional uplift and lead to higher rain amounts as the typhoon passes over, and rain amounts in excess of twelve inches near Mirinae's core will cause serious flooding and dangerous mudslides. The ground is still flooded and the dams brimming full from the previous two typhoons to hit the Philippines over the past five weeks, so Mirinae will probably cause much heavier damage than is usual for a typhoon of its intensity. The typhoon is forecast to pass within 200 miles of the capital of Manila, where flood water from the September 26 deluge of Typhoon Ketsana is still standing in the streets of some suburban areas. More than one million people are living in flooded districts near Manila.


Figure 1. Rainfall forecast for Typhoon Mirinae for the 24-hour period ending at 06 UTC Friday October 30, 2009. Mirinae is expected to dump 8+ inches of rain along a narrow swath near its core. Image credit: NOAA/NESDIS.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss, and the the Caribbean is dominated by dry air and high wind shear. However, a non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop in the middle-Atlantic on Monday, and may spend enough time over water to acquire some tropical characteristics and become Subtropical Storm Ida. Wunderblogger Weather456 has a nice discussion of the meteorology of this storm, which may bring high winds to Bermuda next week. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, none of the computer models is calling for tropical storm development over the next seven days. Several models are calling for a tropical storm to form off the Pacific coast of Mexico by the middle of next week.

Major snowstorm wallops Colorado
The season's first major snowstorm is walloping Colorado, Wyoming, and western Nebraska and South Dakota today. In the mountain regions just west of Denver, up to 38 inches of snow has fallen, with another 4 - 12 inches possible today. It was the biggest October snowstorm in the Denver region since 1997.

Portlight's Paul Timmons on the Barometer Bob Show Tonight
Portlight's Paul Timmons will be appearing live tonight (Thursday) at 8pm EDT on the Barometer Bob Show, an Internet radio show that I have appeared on several times in the past. Be sure to catch his discussion of how Portlight got started, where they're going, and what's new!

Jeff Masters

Top Down 4-wheelin (Roaddog1)
We've had about 24" of snow out of this storm so far in Deer Creek Canyon sw of Littleton.
Top Down 4-wheelin
Bye, bye birdies (focusonthis)
They will be heading South for sure after this snowfall.
Bye, bye birdies

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544. hurricane23
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 14:13 (GMT)
I suppose one of the biggest factors for the shear fest in 2009 is the fact that we have an El Nino, which has enhanced westerlies over the Atlantic basin due to increased convection over the East-Pac. Another contributing factor you could mention is the Caribbean low-level easterly jet, which destroyed Erika and I believe Ana to some extent. There is evidence of a correlation between El Nino and the strength of this jet. The accelerated easterly flow in the Eastern Caribbean can cause an area of low-level divergence in the entrance region of the jet, which suppresses convection there. Also, the accelerated easterly jet can increase shear as well, because it increases the vector difference between the 850 mb wind vector and 200 mb.

More info on that:

http://ams.allenpres...9BAMS2822.1.pdf

Adrian

Member Since: 14.05.2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13597
543. NEwxguy
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 14:01 (GMT)
Hints at a nor'easter snowstorm for the end of next week,have my doubts,but nothing this year surprises me
Member Since: 6.09.2007 Posts: 862 Comments: 15056
542. futuremet
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:54 (GMT)
Quoting Weather456:
"my forcast for 2010 call for a dead season"

This has no scientific background. This was said because everyone had the right to say something for something sake.

More than 80% of years following an El Nino is more than active. The most active hurricane season - 2005 was the year following an El Nino, the 2nd most active year in the modern history - 1995 was also after one of the longest-lived El Ninos 1991-1994. Other years after El Ninos:

1988, 1998 and 2007, all active seasons.

History also dictates this El Nino will peak into the winter and weaken thereafter. This is also predicted by leading climate models.

If we hit neutral next year it could be bad. El Nino will continue decrease cloud cover over the Tropics through next winter, reducing cooling dramatically. By next May, it may look like June because of the lack of cloud cover over the past winter.

The season may start late also as in 2004 and 1998 since El Nino conditions may lag a month or two ahead of the initial weakening.

If November SSTs are warmer than average over the N ATL this November, it could mean a continuation of a positive AMO.

In all 2010 is shaping up to be a year similar in numbers to the 1995-2008 average (no less than 12 named storms).

We must also remember 2009 is an anomaly.


Please explain to me what that is....
Member Since: 19.07.2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4051
540. Skyepony (Mod)
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:45 (GMT)
Here's a live panning web cam of Manilla, has the wind, temp & humidity. Takes a bit to load.
Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36058
539. Skyepony (Mod)
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:25 (GMT)
The heat is really coming to the surface now, intensifying El Niño. The bottom one didn't go beyond yellow a few days ago. Told ya'll months ago we'd see at least moderate.

Member Since: 10.08.2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36058
538. homelesswanderer
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:11 (GMT)
Quoting beell:
Morning, homeless!
Kinda the same weather here. Certainly not tropical! Have a good one.


Yes it does not feel tropical, for today anyway. :) Just looked outside at my flooded yard and only can imagine what the usual places look like. We are on high ground here, relatively speaking. I think the whole area is no higher than 13 ft. Lol.
Member Since: 15.08.2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
537. presslord
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:10 (GMT)
Thanks for the great Barometer Bob support last night! It was lottsa fun...
Link
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10458
536. beell
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:02 (GMT)
Morning, homeless!
Kinda the same weather here. Certainly not tropical! Have a good one.
Member Since: 11.09.2007 Posts: 137 Comments: 15297
535. HurricaneNewbie
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:57 (GMT)
Patrap. Is that nasty little storm going to make it to GA. I have had enough rain in the last month and a half. During the flooding that happened here I was close to ground zero for the rain. I got 15 inches but live well above the flood plain. My neighbors were not so fortunate.
Member Since: 11.09.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
534. stoormfury
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:57 (GMT)
morning
is the convection at 14N 80W , the seedling of the development that Dr Masters has been hinting at for a possible november storm?
Member Since: 22.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2552
533. homelesswanderer
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:46 (GMT)
Quoting beell:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
628 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...DO NOT EXPECT
IT TO PAN OUT BUT ECMWF DOES TRY TO SPIN UP A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN
THE BAY OF CAMPHECHE NEXT WEEK AND SHUNT IT NORTHWEST TOWARD TEXAS
BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW THAT THIS WOULD OCCUR GIVEN THE MORE
LIKELY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THAT GULF THAT GFS IS PROGGING...



Good Flooded Friday Morning to you all. Best I can tell the Euro dropped that system. And as I sit here shivering I'm just gonna pretend I didn't read it anyway. :) Lol. I do a good ostrich impersonation. Temps steadily falling here. Dropped another degree just now to 54. I guess that means the rains are heading out. Hope so.
Member Since: 15.08.2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
532. Patrap
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:42 (GMT)
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125476
531. hurricanejunky
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:39 (GMT)
Morning all,
Quite a line of storms rolling across LA, TX, OK and points east yesterday. Anyone on here get in the thick of it? Any model runs showing tropical development?
Member Since: 28.08.2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
530. 2010hurricane
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:32 (GMT)
Quoting KoritheMan:


Historically speaking, the year following an El Nino tends to be an above average season, unless El Nino happens to persist beyond one year, as was most recently the case from 1991-1994.

If the current El Nino does in fact reach strong levels, then 2010 will likely be a bust. However, ENSO cannot be accurately predicted that far out, and there is just as easily a chance that the season could be above average.

Time will tell.



You are right. That happened in 1995,1998,2003,(2004/weak el nino CPW)2005,2007,2010?
Member Since: 8.06.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 82
529. Orcasystems
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:27 (GMT)


Seismic Monitor

AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
528. 2010hurricane
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:27 (GMT)
Quoting StormW:
El Nino



That El Nino is in the Central Pacific
Member Since: 8.06.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 82
527. IKE
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:23 (GMT)
Chamber of Commerce weather here in the Florida panhandle starting tomorrow night....

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 73. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 71.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 72.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 72.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
526. Patrap
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:18 (GMT)
636
fxus64 klix 300834
afdlix


Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
334 am CDT Friday Oct 30 2009


Synopsis...
front in Louisiana currently extends from about Monroe to Lake
Charles. Most precipitation is along and behind the front. Over
the last several hours...very little lightning with precipitation
along the front.


Over the local area...southeast winds at 10 to 15 miles per hour have kept
unseasonably warm and humid air over the area. 08z temperatures
are generally in the middle and upper 70s...above normal highs for
late October. Dew points also in the 70s.
&&


Short term...
sensible weather issues limited to the first 24-36 hours of the
forecast over land. Next jet maximum has entered the base of the trough
over Texas...and as this feature lifts out...trough takes on a
negative tilt...and gives the front a push eastward this afternoon
and tonight.


Front will enter the extreme western portion of the County Warning Area by middle to
late morning...and exit the County Warning Area around 03z this evening. Weak middle
level lapse rates...and limited instability would indicate that
best chances of severe weather will be north of our area as best
shear will be there as well. Main concern for our area will be
heavy rain...and that should be over northwestern portions of the
area. Most solutions indicate that rain amounts of 1-3 inches
possible over the next 18-24 hours with heaviest amounts
northwest. One hour ffg in excess of 2.5 inches...and 6 hour
generally 4 inches or greater. Will not carry Flash Flood Watch...but will
mention heavy rain in grids...zone forecast product and severe weather potential statement. Categorical probability of precipitation
generally for first two periods. Subsidence and drier air should
clear the entire area during the day on Saturday...with probability of precipitation only
mentioned in the morning hours.
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125476
525. Patrap
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:17 (GMT)
GOM IR Loop

Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 414 Comments: 125476
523. futuremet
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:54 (GMT)
This October is a strange one, mega-ridges have been dominating the western Atlantic. All of the fronts (including the one from a couple days ago) degenerate before reaching central FL, as a result.
Member Since: 19.07.2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4051
522. beell
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:51 (GMT)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
628 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...DO NOT EXPECT
IT TO PAN OUT BUT ECMWF DOES TRY TO SPIN UP A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN
THE BAY OF CAMPHECHE NEXT WEEK AND SHUNT IT NORTHWEST TOWARD TEXAS
BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW THAT THIS WOULD OCCUR GIVEN THE MORE
LIKELY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THAT GULF THAT GFS IS PROGGING...
Member Since: 11.09.2007 Posts: 137 Comments: 15297
520. pearlandaggie
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:29 (GMT)
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
518. HurricaneNewbie
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:15 (GMT)
Good morning. I did not see anything in my coffee.

Cloudy High
69°F

Precip
20%

Wind: From ESE at 13 mph
Max. Humidity: 83%
UV Index: 3 Moderate


Sunrise: 7:56 AM ET
Avg. High: 68°F
Record High: 84°F (1984)

Another great day here West of Atlanta
Member Since: 11.09.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
517. Cavin Rawlins
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:06 (GMT)
"my forcast for 2010 call for a dead season"

This has no scientific background. This was said because everyone had the right to say something for something sake.

More than 80% of years following an El Nino is more than active. The most active hurricane season - 2005 was the year following an El Nino, the 2nd most active year in the modern history - 1995 was also after one of the longest-lived El Ninos 1991-1994. Other years after El Ninos:

1988, 1998 and 2007, all active seasons.

History also dictates this El Nino will peak into the winter and weaken thereafter. This is also predicted by leading climate models.

If we hit neutral next year it could be bad. El Nino will continue decrease cloud cover over the Tropics through next winter, reducing cooling dramatically. By next May, it may look like June because of the lack of cloud cover over the past winter.

The season may start late also as in 2004 and 1998 since El Nino conditions may lag a month or two ahead of the initial weakening.

If November SSTs are warmer than average over the N ATL this November, it could mean a continuation of a positive AMO.

In all 2010 is shaping up to be a year similar in numbers to the 1995-2008 average (no less than 12 named storms).

We must also remember 2009 is an anomaly.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
516. CybrTeddy
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 10:13 (GMT)
Remember: Even though its a moderate El Nino, it just became one were as 2006 it was moderate most of the year. Wouldn't be a huge shocker to see ENSO with a warm bias in 2010, similar to 2005. Climatological speaking.
Member Since: 8.07.2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23011
515. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 09:59 (GMT)
Philippines Atmospherical Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration

Typhoon "SANTI" is now approaching Quezon province.

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #8
===============================
At 5:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Santi (Mirinae) located at 14.8ºN 124.1ºE or 230 kms east of Infanta, Quezon has 10 minute sustained winds of 150 km/h (80 kts) with gustiness up to 185 km/h (100 kts).

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #3 (100-185 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
-----------
1.Quezon
2.Polillo island
3.Bulacan
4.Bataan
5.Rizal
6.Cavite
7.Laguna
8.Batangas
9.Oriental Mindoro
10.Lubang Island
11.Marinduque
12.Camarines Norte
13.Camarines Sur
14.Catanduanes
15.Metro Manila

Signal Warning #2 (60-100 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
-----------
1.Aurora
2.Quirino
3.Nueva Ecija
4.Tarlac
5.Pampanga
6.Zambales
7.Occidental Mindoro
8.Albay
9.Burias Island

Signal Warning #1 (30-60 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
----------
1.Isabela
2.Ifugao
3.Nueva Vizcaya
4.Benguet
5.La Union
6.Pangasinan
7.Sorsogon
8.Masbate
9.Romblon
10.Calamian Group

Visayas Region
--------------
1.Northern Samar
2.Northern Panay

Additional Information
======================
Residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes under signals #3, #2 and #1 are advised to take all the necessary precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

Those living along the coast in areas under signal #3 and #2 are advised to be on alert against storm surges and big waves generated by the typhoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
514. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 08:45 (GMT)
Japan Meteorological Agency

DEVELOPED LOW, FORMER LUPIT (T0920)
55.0ºN 174.0ºE - 992 hPa

SUBJECT: Developed Low In Bering Sea
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
512. SouthALWX
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:25 (GMT)
Quoting KoritheMan:


Jeff had a blog the other day stating that the possibility existed for intensification to a strong El Nino. Not sure if he expects it to persist into the spring/summer of 2010, though.

Oh ok. Hmm interesting. I wouldnt know I've been to busy to keep up with ENSO predictions a year into the future.
Member Since: 27.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1497
511. KoritheMan
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 05:11 (GMT)
Quoting SouthALWX:

Are there any indications that el nino is expected to continue.


Jeff had a blog the other day stating that the possibility existed for intensification to a strong El Nino. Not sure if he expects it to persist into the spring/summer of 2010, though.
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19117
510. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:49 (GMT)
Philippines Atmospherical Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration

Typhoon "SANTI" continues to threaten Aurora-Quezon area.

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #7
===============================
At 11:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Santi (Mirinae) located at 15.2ºN 125.3ºE or 350 km east northeast of Infanta, Quezon has 10 minute sustained winds of 150 km/h (80 kts) with gustiness up to 185 km/h (100 kts).

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #3 (100-185 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
-----------
1.Northern Quezon
2.Polillo Islands

Signal Warning #2 (60-100 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
-----------
1.Aurora
2.Quirino
3.Nueva Ecija
4.Bulacan
5.Tarlac
6.Zambales
7.Pampanga
8.Bataan
9.Rizal
10.Cavite
11.Laguna
12.Batangas
13.Lubang Is.
14.Rest of Quezon
15.Camarines Norte
16.Camarines Sur
17.Catanduanes
18.Metro Manila

Signal Warning #1 (30-60 km/h winds)

Luzon Region
----------
1.Isabela
2.Ifugao
3.Nueva Vizcaya
4.Benguet
5.La Union
6.Pangasinan
7.Albay
8.Burias Is.
9.Sorsogon
10.Marinduque
11.Oriental Mindoro
12.Occidental Mindoro
13.Calamian Group

Additional Information
======================
Residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes under signals #3, #2 and #1 are advised to take all the necessary precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

Those living along the coast in areas under signal #3 and #2 are advised to be on alert against storm surges and big waves generated by the typhoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: 24.05.2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43641
509. SouthALWX
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:44 (GMT)
Quoting KoritheMan:


Seasonal activity for 2010 will likely be minimal if El Nino persists or intensifies.

Are there any indications that el nino is expected to continue. Last I heard it was expected to diminish towards the end of winter. Also Taz, how can you say 2010 is a dead season and then criticize someone for specifying the opposite justified by it being too early?
Member Since: 27.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1497
508. KoritheMan
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:31 (GMT)
Quoting Tazmanian:
that may be vary ture if if was a average year for name storms but has you can tell from this year this year was well below average has far has hurricanes go and well below average for name storms has well


Seasonal activity for 2010 will likely be minimal if El Nino persists or intensifies.
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19117
507. msphar
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:30 (GMT)
I'm ok with a dead or dying season. No sweat. I really don't mind one little bit. In fact, it is what I hope for. Time for sailing season to commence.
Member Since: 20.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 289
506. xcool
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:26 (GMT)
guess taz .
Member Since: 26.09.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15603
505. Tazmanian
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:23 (GMT)
Quoting xcool:
2010 hurricane 17 name



vary un likey at this time



it way too soon too give any kind of fac # has far has name storms go for next year wait in tell march
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114041
504. Tazmanian
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:22 (GMT)
that may be vary ture if if was a average year for name storms but has you can tell from this year this year was well below average has far has hurricanes go and well below average for name storms has well
Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114041
502. xcool
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:20 (GMT)
2010 hurricane 17 name
Member Since: 26.09.2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15603
501. KoritheMan
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:15 (GMT)
Quoting Tazmanian:
Hurricane Season is about 97% over! but there may be a 3% ch of may be seeing one more name storm but they way it has been going out there i dont see it


so here how we did


8 name storms 2 hurricane and 2 cat 3 or higher storms

this is olny 2 less name storm then we had back in 2006


other then bill that made the most news this year this year have been dead for the most part other then a few vary wind shear TS this has been a vary good season



my forcast for 2010 call for a dead season




The two hurricanes we had is what strikes me as odd -- the average is 6.
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19117
500. KoritheMan
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:15 (GMT)
Quoting btwntx08:
2010 season will not be dead by all means....i call for a fairly active 2010 hurricane season with around 14 storms 8 hurricanes and 4 becoming major


Historically speaking, the year following an El Nino tends to be an above average season, unless El Nino happens to persist beyond one year, as was most recently the case from 1991-1994.

If the current El Nino does in fact reach strong levels, then 2010 will likely be a bust. However, ENSO cannot be accurately predicted that far out, and there is just as easily a chance that the season could be above average.

Time will tell.
Member Since: 7.03.2007 Posts: 521 Comments: 19117
498. AwakeInMaryland
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:07 (GMT)
Quoting PcolaDan:

re 488. Excellent, Dan, you never let us down.
BTW, at least 3 of our buds seem to be banned -- posts are gone. Bloodshed on the blog earlier today; so glad I missed most of it.
Nice & interesting crowd this evening. But time to go up to dreamland, g'night.
Member Since: 19.08.2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
497. Tazmanian
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:06 (GMT)
Hurricane Season is about 97% over! but there may be a 3% ch of may be seeing one more name storm but they way it has been going out there i dont see it


so here how we did


8 name storms 2 hurricane and 2 cat 3 or higher storms

this is olny 2 less name storm then we had back in 2006


other then bill that made the most news this year this year have been dead for the most part other then a few vary wind shear TS this has been a vary good season



my forcast for 2010 call for a dead season


Member Since: 21.05.2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114041
496. atmoaggie
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:03 (GMT)
of course...double posted
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
495. atmoaggie
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 04:00 (GMT)
I like the usgs data, but for those places that the river forecasts are given, I like the noaa page for the forecast and the details about the different stages...like when a certain level is reached just lowlans will flood or roads or houses. Good info to know.
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
494. 1900hurricane
30. lokakuuta 2009 klo 03:42 (GMT)
Yeah, I have been using the USGS stuff for a long time. I find it very useful, especially since they have more sites than NOAA.
Member Since: 2.08.2006 Posts: 45 Comments: 11553

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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