Henri being torn apart by shear

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7. lokakuuta 2009 klo 19:21 (GMT)

Share this Blog
2
+

Tropical Storm Henri is getting ripped apart by wind shear, and is much less organized than it was early this morning. About 25 knots of wind shear continues to eat into storm, and visible satellite loops show that the shear has exposed Henri's low level center to view. Henri's heavy thunderstorms have been shrinking in areal coverage and intensity, and are steadily moving away from the center--all signs of a highly sheared tropical storm that has little time left to live.

All of the reliable global computer models show weakening and dissipation of Henri by Thursday, due to high wind shear. Wind shear in the vicinity of Henri's remains is predicted to fall to the moderate range by Saturday, so we will have to be concerned with regeneration after Henri dissipates. It appears likely that moisture from Henri will affect Puerto Rico by Friday night, the Dominican Republic on Saturday, and Haiti on Sunday. It is too early to tell if Henri's remains will be capable of causing flooding rains in these regions.


Figure 1. Afternoon satellite image of Henri (top) and a new tropical wave we're watching (bottom). The tropical wave south of Henri, just off the coast of South America, has become more organized this afternoon. The thunderstorm activity has grown more concentrated near 8N 50W, with a hint of some low-level spiral banding starting to form. This wave is under about 10 knots of wind shear, but is too close to the Equator to be able to take advantage of the Earth's spin to help it spin up into a tropical depression very quickly. Also, the wave will suffer from interaction with the coast of South America on Thursday. NHC is giving this disturbance a low (less than 30% chance) or developing into a tropical depression by Friday.

Typhoon Melor
Typhoon Melor has made landfall on Japan's Honshu Island south of Osaka as a Category 1 typhoon with 85 mph winds. Hamamatsu reported sustained winds of 54 mph last hour, and tropical storm force wind gusts will be common along much of the south coast of Honshu as the typhoon passes. You can follow the landfall of Melor with our interactive wundermap for the region.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 871 - 821

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18Blog Index

871. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:53 (GMT)
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
870. icepilot
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:53 (GMT)
Quoting StormChaser81:


There's a lot more coming to billings MT.


The west can use the water next spring!
Member Since: 9.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 387
869. StormChaser81
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:46 (GMT)
Quoting icepilot:
It was so hot and humid and FOGGY this am in the fl panhandle it was like it was raining but gravity failed and the drops refused to fall.

And those poor guys in Billings MT had a couple of ft of snow on monday -

Just wish we could all get along and share a little with each other.....


There's a lot more coming to billings MT.
Member Since: 11.08.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2315
868. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:41 (GMT)
Here's a link. Colorado Ski resorts early openings.



http://www.denverpost.com/extremes/ci_13498572
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
867. weathermanwannabe
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:41 (GMT)
Good Morning Folks.....T-Wave near SA not looking so good today; some rotation is still happening but convection has died down considerably since yesterday.....I still think, in the short term, that Henri needs to "go away" before any significant development of the T-Wave as they are starting to join at the hip so to speak. Gomex and SE Atlantic waters clear as a baby's butt and very dry. Only significant moisture in those parts around Henri and T-Wave. Think it's a crapshoot on both areas at this point as to possible development or regeneration. Carribean and Gulf will stay hot a little while so anything is possible I suppose going into the second-half of October soon. It's a wait and watch.
Member Since: 8.08.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 8278
866. icepilot
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:37 (GMT)
It was so hot and humid and FOGGY this am in the fl panhandle it was like it was raining but gravity failed and the drops refused to fall.

And those poor guys in Billings MT had a couple of ft of snow on monday -

Just wish we could all get along and share a little with each other.....
Member Since: 9.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 387
865. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:31 (GMT)
Here's Joey.....

THURSDAY 7:15 A.M.
IT'S DRY AIR VS. DYING SHEAR.

The upper outflow pattern over Henri will reverse the next 2-3 days, but the question is does it have the moxie to fight dry air that is now becoming stronger looking on the water vapor loop. The developing ridge off the south Atlantic coast is a big one and the outflow level winds do become favorable, but all the warming aloft is not being done because of warm, moist, rising air, but sinking from the high levels and drying out. It's not dissimilar to what finally destroyed Ana, the first storm of the season.

However, it is later in the year, and that means the overall atmosphere in this part of the world is close to its max as far as heat and moisture. This is certainly the strongest 500 mb ridge we have seen this year.

The track of Henri, should it survive, is one that could bring it into the Florida Straits early next week.

It will be very interesting to see if an end game that names a couple of more storms in the areas we saw them get named late in 1969 has implications on the winter season. Both 1969 and 2002 and the most activity later, rather than earlier, in the hurricane season and I think this may be an indicator of the more neutral overall global signal rather than an El Nino signal. I will point out, that the MEI along with my scale has DECREASED over the past month. A look at the enso outlook by NOAA shows large scale COOLING in the Pacific. All of this was part of the idea of this Nino being limited and taking off as the climate models said. Let's remember what happened with those models okay. 1) They did not predict this nino from six months out and only caught on AFTER I had declared a done deal, in March (I started saying in January it was in the works, but review of my ideas indicated the hammer did not drop until after the early March snowstorm as the February/March pattern mimicked the 1969 strat warm event with the tropospheric pattern) Now let's look at the forecast from two months ago. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst_history/200908/imag es/nino34SSTSea.gif

September, October and November were supposed to be plus 1.5 through yesterday, nino 3.4 for the last five weeks has been only plus .75. I rather doubt the rest of the period through November will jump to plus 2.25.

Remember the forecast here before this came on was a weak to borderline moderate El Nino that was a reaction to the overall pattern, not the driver of the pattern. I want that made clear even if I have to say it again and again because there is a way one can show some skill in forecasting this. It is also part of my agenda to hammer models not to diminish their use as tools but to expose their ruse as fools for those that wish to make them their GODS.. 1 day, 1 month 1 year, 1 decade 1 century from now.

I used to work with a great met here at AccuWeather, Norm "Rabbi" Burnstein, who used to look at forecast models and say they were lines on a piece of paper. The wisdom of the "Rabbi" holds true today... except they are on computer screens.

Shalom for now. ****
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
864. pearlandaggie
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:27 (GMT)
862. same for post 857.
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
863. DookiePBC
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:26 (GMT)
At some point it would be nice to see a cold front make it down here. Went running at 5:45 this morning and it was 81 degrees. Hopefully by January 31st, it'll cool down, because running the Miami Half Marathon in 85 degree heat would suck! ;-)
Member Since: 1.09.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 447
862. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:26 (GMT)
re:825.


Someone always has to turn it into a personal attack. Sheesh.
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
861. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:25 (GMT)
link wont work. Its off the pro site.
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
860. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:24 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Anybody wanna see what Joe B's says this morn?


Yes...back to weather before the you-know-what crowd shows up.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
859. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:24 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Anybody wanna see what Joe B's says this morn?


A link would be sufficient :)
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
858. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:22 (GMT)
Anybody wanna see what Joe B's says this morn?
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
857. snowboy
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:21 (GMT)
Re Post 825.

PensacolaDoug, that was one of the most useless AND misleading posts I've seen on here in a very long time - and that's really saying something..

Back to lurking.
Member Since: 21.09.2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
856. Chicklit
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:20 (GMT)
HiExpress:
It's like being in a pressure cooker. What happened to the cold fronts? The end of summer?
It is fall, ya know. And yeah, I moved from Connecticut to Florida 25 years ago but not to escape fall and Indian Summer, my favorite part of the year up north. Anyway, looks like Henri's shadow wave has withered some this morning and he's not lookin' too well either. Interesting to see if anything stirs up in the SW Caribbean. Glad to hear of no tsunami reports after yesterday's quakes.
Have a good day, everyone.
Member Since: 11.07.2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11047
855. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:19 (GMT)
Sports event of the Week, and the weather is not scheduled to interfere with it :)
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
854. icepilot
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:18 (GMT)
Quoting Orcasystems:
I had to go to the Gloom and Doom models to find any sign of future activity.

Gloom (mm5fsu-gfs)

Doom (mm5fsu-merge)

Both show a system firing up in the BOC


But I like both takes on Henri :)
Member Since: 9.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 387
853. icepilot
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:15 (GMT)
Quoting Orcasystems:


AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS OUT OF THE SUN INSIDE AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING IF POSSIBLE

Ummmm are the Bars in Florida Air Conditioned?? almost seems like it could be used as a legit excuse...


Unfortunately beer does not hydrate :(
Member Since: 9.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 387
852. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:15 (GMT)
And as for those two systems near the islands....They need to stay away from the GOM!
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
851. Chicklit
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:14 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:




Don't get all goofy now. I thought it was interesting is all. I'm not "selling" anything.

People who are from 'that camp' will read the whole thing and believe it, regardless of the credentials of the person who wrote it. They'll also click on a link to read more and spare others the annoyance of blog clog.
Member Since: 11.07.2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11047
850. help4u
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:13 (GMT)
I see we have the end of the world people here today.we are talking about clouds over the ocean and the end of the world is only 5 years away.Ithink we all need to get our minds right.Al gore an prince charles would be proud of you.AMEN!!APOCLYPSE-INDUCED MISANTHROPIC ENVIRONMENTAL NERVOUSNESS!
Member Since: 18.09.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1256
849. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:13 (GMT)
A little healthy debate and discussion is a good thing. I'm not trying to stir nothin' up!
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
848. UPRM1CIMA
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:10 (GMT)
Goofiness hereby retracted. No harm, no foul I hope.

Quoting PensacolaDoug:




Don't get all goofy now. I thought it was interesting is all. I'm not "selling" anything.


RE:825. PensacolaDoug 12:26 PM GMT on October 08, 2009

Dear Doug,

Dr. Ball was a Geography Prof. at U. Winnepeg. He retired almost 15 years ago. His "Research Center" has close ties to the petroleum industry. He has no recent peer-reviewed climate publications. Is this your expert? Sorry, I ain't buying it.
Member Since: 24.05.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 34
847. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:08 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
As far as I'm concerned, the jury is stll out on AGW. I don't buy either argument hook, line and sinker. I do think that the GW crowd is the more shrill and alarmist of the two camps.
More unbiased research is warranted.


PD.. what are you trying to do to the blog.. your bored?... First politics..then GW...

Put the stir stick away...I am still on my first Pot of coffee.
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
846. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:07 (GMT)
Quoting Orcasystems:


AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS OUT OF THE SUN INSIDE AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING IF POSSIBLE

Ummmm are the Bars in Florida Air Conditioned?? almost seems like it could be used as a legit excuse...




Absolutely.
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
845. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:06 (GMT)
As far as I'm concerned, the jury is stll out on AGW. I don't buy either argument hook, line and sinker. I do think that the GW crowd is the more shrill and alarmist of the two camps.
More unbiased research is warranted.
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
844. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:04 (GMT)
Quoting HIEXPRESS:


It made training (cutting cars with various power & hand tools) a lot of fun yesterday. Hydrated before, during, and after & still down 4#. Later treated 1st heat patient I saw this summer.


AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS OUT OF THE SUN INSIDE AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING IF POSSIBLE

Ummmm are the Bars in Florida Air Conditioned?? almost seems like it could be used as a legit excuse...
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
843. DDR
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:03 (GMT)
Quoting ackee:
the TW near windward as lot low shear in the carrb to deal with anyone thinks will develop

I don't thibnk it will,but it should bring heavy rain and squalls to the islands,i'm in Trinidad,the local met says rain should start this afternoon.
Member Since: 27.04.2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1627
842. HIEXPRESS
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:01 (GMT)
Quoting Chicklit:
CENTRAL FLORIDA:
EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL BRING RECORD HEAT TO MANY AREAS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ARE EXPECTED FOR INTERIOR LOCATIONS...WITH LOW 90S EXPECTED FOR IMMEDIATE COASTAL LOCATIONS.

THESE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COUPLED WITH HIGH DEW POINTS WILL BRING AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES ABOVE 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY SEEING VALUES AS HIGH AS 103-105. THESE VALUES ARE COMPARABLE TO THE MIDDLE OF SUMMER IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMEMBER TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER...AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS OUT OF THE SUN INSIDE AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING IF POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES EXPECTED TO REACH 100 DEGREES OR ABOVE THROUGH SATURDAY. A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


It made training (cutting cars with various power & hand tools) a lot of fun yesterday. Hydrated before, during, and after & still down 4#. Later treated 1st heat patient I saw this summer.
Member Since: 13.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2155
841. icepilot
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 13:00 (GMT)
Quoting PensacolaDoug:




Don't get all goofy now. I thought it was interesting is all. I'm not "selling" anything.


Problem is, like "Dr. Ball" states, repeat a falsehood enough and people begin to think it's true. Propaganda 101.
Member Since: 9.07.2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 387
840. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:58 (GMT)
I had to go to the Gloom and Doom models to find any sign of future activity.

Gloom (mm5fsu-gfs)

Doom (mm5fsu-merge)

Both show a system firing up in the BOC
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
839. ackee
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:56 (GMT)
the TW near windward as lot low shear in the carrb to deal with anyone thinks will develop
Member Since: 15.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1341
838. PensacolaDoug
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:55 (GMT)
Quoting UPRM1CIMA:
RE:825. PensacolaDoug 12:26 PM GMT on October 08, 2009

Dear Doug,

Dr. Ball was a Geography Prof. at U. Winnepeg. He retired almost 15 years ago. His "Research Center" has close ties to the petroleum industry. He has no recent peer-reviewed climate publications. Is this your expert? Sorry, I ain't buying it.




Don't get all goofy now. I thought it was interesting is all. I'm not "selling" anything.
Member Since: 25.07.2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
837. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:54 (GMT)
Politics on this blog is asking for trouble.

Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
836. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:53 (GMT)
High pressure in the GOM reminds me of the high in June when it was scorching hot here. High is suppose to move east, but not far enough.

Wouldn't be shocked if the "I" storm doesn't form in the western Caribbean or GOM within a week.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
835. UPRM1CIMA
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:52 (GMT)
RE:825. PensacolaDoug 12:26 PM GMT on October 08, 2009

Dear Doug,

Dr. Ball was a Geography Prof. at U. Winnepeg. He retired almost 15 years ago. His "Research Center" has close ties to the petroleum industry. He has no recent peer-reviewed climate publications. Is this your expert? Sorry, I ain't buying it.
Member Since: 24.05.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 34
834. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:50 (GMT)
Quoting leftovers:
funny all i watch is weather and alittle stock mkt and thats been doing good


I hear ya. I watch ESPN...NCAA football..NFL...MLB...TWC every once and a while.

Quoting tornadofan:


I agree - that philosophy is better on one's blood pressure.


Ditto those comments.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
833. tornadofan
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:47 (GMT)
Quoting leftovers:
funny all i watch is weather and alittle stock mkt and thats been doing good


I agree - that philosophy is better on one's blood pressure.
Member Since: 5.04.2007 Posts: 83 Comments: 12345
832. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:47 (GMT)
Quoting IKE:


You mean the Anti-Obama Network?


I have no idea..I just wanted to make sure that people know its not a legit Canadian Newspaper.
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
830. Chicklit
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:43 (GMT)
Pensacola Doug,
Introductory remarks and a link would have been sufficient for posting on a weather blog.
Member Since: 11.07.2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11047
829. Chicklit
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:39 (GMT)
CENTRAL FLORIDA:
EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL BRING RECORD HEAT TO MANY AREAS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ARE EXPECTED FOR INTERIOR LOCATIONS...WITH LOW 90S EXPECTED FOR IMMEDIATE COASTAL LOCATIONS.

THESE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COUPLED WITH HIGH DEW POINTS WILL BRING AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES ABOVE 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY SEEING VALUES AS HIGH AS 103-105. THESE VALUES ARE COMPARABLE TO THE MIDDLE OF SUMMER IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMEMBER TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER...AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS OUT OF THE SUN INSIDE AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING IF POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES EXPECTED TO REACH 100 DEGREES OR ABOVE THROUGH SATURDAY. A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Member Since: 11.07.2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11047
828. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:38 (GMT)
Quoting Orcasystems:
825. PensacolaDoug 12:26 PM GMT on October 08, 2009 Hide this comment.
Check this out.
From the "CANADA FREE PRESS


Our version of your Fox news... no one even reads the rag. You might notice.. Its written by Americans for American consumption.


You mean the Anti-Obama Network?
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
827. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:37 (GMT)


From the 8:05 am EDST ...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE GULF OF MEXICO REMAINS CALM AND CLEAR UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A 1019 MB SURFACE HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N85W. AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE COVERS THE BASIN CENTERED S OF LOUISIANA NEAR 28N90W
PROVIDING DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT SUPPORTING THE FAIR
WEATHER. ANTI-CYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE AROUND THE SURFACE
RIDGE REACHING 15 KT IN THE ERN AND MIDDLE GULF...20 KT IN THE
SW GULF...AND UP TO 25 KT IN THE NW GULF. THE RIDGE SUPPORTED
RECORD HIGHS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA YESTERDAY AND RECORD
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS WELL. THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO
PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS...THEN MOVE EAST AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST FRI.
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
826. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:33 (GMT)
825. PensacolaDoug 12:26 PM GMT on October 08, 2009 Hide this comment.
Check this out.
From the "CANADA FREE PRESS


Our version of your Fox news... no one even reads the rag. You might notice.. Its written by Americans for American consumption.
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
824. Orcasystems
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:08 (GMT)


AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments

HENRI
Current Storm Position
Oct 8 - 09:00 UTC
Tropical Depression
Maximum winds of 35 mph
and a pressure of 1009 mb
Latitude: 19.9
Longitude: -61.3

MELOR
Current Storm Position
Oct 8 - 06:00 UTC
Tropical Cyclone
Maximum winds of 045 knots
Gusts to 055 knots
045 degrees at 29 knots

Latitude: 38
Longitude: 141

PARMA
Current Storm Position
Oct 8 - 06:00 UTC
Tropical Depression
Maximum winds of 030 knots
Gusts to 040 knots
250 degrees at 03 knots

Latitude: 17.2
Longitude: 121.7
Member Since: 1.10.2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26493
823. gwadaman
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 12:02 (GMT)
Good Morning all, 456 what's your take on the Tropical Wave approaching the Southern Islands? (Barbados)I see a very clear LLC but but no consolidated convection!
Member Since: 8.07.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 147
822. pearlandaggie
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:52 (GMT)
8.1 magnitude earthquake strikes northwest of Vanuatu

USGS has the earthquake at 7.8




Followed by a 7.3 earthquake.
Member Since: 14.09.2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
821. IKE
8. lokakuuta 2009 klo 11:43 (GMT)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HENRI...LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAIN POORLY
ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Member Since: 9.06.2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858

Viewing: 871 - 821

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Clear
55 °F
Selkeää