Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

90L comes close to being the season's first named storm
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 23. toukokuuta 2009 klo 17:30 (GMT) +2
The large extratropical storm (90L) that has been pounding Florida, the Bahamas, and Haiti this week with heavy rain and high surf has moved ashore over Mississippi. Last night and this morning, the storm put on an impressive burst of heavy thunderstorm activity and came close to becoming a subtropical or tropical depression. Winds at the Fort Morgan, AL station were 44 mph, gusting to 52 mph, and winds at Dauphin Island, Alabama coastal station were sustained at 39 mph, gusting to 48 mph at between 8am and 10am EDT this morning. While these winds were in excess of the 39 mph threshold of tropical storm force, both measurements were taken at elevations higher than the international wind measurement standard of ten meters, so the top measured winds of 90L were actually slightly less than tropical storm force. Had 90L spent another six hours over water, it very likely would have been declared a tropical/subtropical depression/storm.

The circulation around 90L continues to mean rain for Florida, but the rains will be lessening today. Rainfall amounts as high as 28 inches were measured this week in Northern Florida at Brunnell. Rainfall amounts of 2 - 3 inches have accumulated along the Alabama, Mississippi, and Florida Panhandle coasts from 90L so far (Figure 1).


Figure 1. Estimated rainfall from the Mobile, AL radar.

There are no other threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, so have a great weekend, and I'll have a new blog post by Tuesday.

Jeff Masters
()
Categories: Hurricane
  Permalink | A A A
Reader Comments
Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted
Viewing: 1051 - 1101

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29Blog Index

1051. Stormchaser2007 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:07 (GMT)    
Large cell just west of Fort Lauderdale.

Member Since: 9.06.2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15248
1052. Cavin Rawlins 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:13 (GMT)    
Quoting SBG:


23 tends to be very bearish and responsible with his predictions. Facts over hype, fear or wishcasting. Him feeling this way makes me a little uneasy.


Well I had more development in region 2. North of 20N and west of 50W. i'll post the graphic this evening.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1053. BaltOCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:16 (GMT)    
Hello, everyone. I've been following this blog for 2 years now and have learned an awful lot. So I'm looking forward to learning a lot more from all the way up here in Baltimore (no Cane Land). Just wanted to say hi finally.
Member Since: 19.05.2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 411
1054. naplesdreamer28 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:22 (GMT)    
What is the blowup in the GOM near LA and what direction is it heading, inland?
Member Since: 3.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 242
1055. Cavin Rawlins 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:24 (GMT)    
Quoting naplesdreamer28:
What is the blowup in the GOM near LA and what direction is it heading, inland?


it looks like a surface trough to me. Due the inflow created by 90L winds are converging in a sporadic fashion.
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1056. Stormsabrewin 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:30 (GMT)    
Long time watcher, just stopping in to say Happy Memorial Day to all, and thank you to the men and women who gave us our freedom. Sad to see Florida getting ripped up. Didn't they get enough last week? The dregs from 90L don't look very nice either. Hopefully we'll have some time to watch before nature brews a fresh pot.
1057. all4hurricanes 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:34 (GMT)    
That low is presistant does it have a LLC
Member Since: 29.03.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2192
1058. Gulfsyed 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:35 (GMT)    
OK so could the blob become a tropical storm?
1059. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:35 (GMT)    
Quoting Gulfsyed:
Newbie Question....

The blob over the gulf, any chance of becoming a real storm?


No.
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1060. weatherblog 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:36 (GMT)    
Like an hour ago I had the worst thunderstorm all year here in Broward County. It was non-stop lightning for 25 minutes. The rain and wind were something you'd find in a hurricane.

If I didn't know any better, I wouldv'e thought I was getting hit by a hurricane or a tornado.
Member Since: 10.07.2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1623
1061. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:37 (GMT)    
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
434 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LUCIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT.

* AT 434 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER SOUTHWEST
ST. LUCIE COUNTY...OR 13 MILES EAST OF OKEECHOBEE...MOVING SOUTH
AT 10 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN ST. LUCIE COUNTY THROUGH 5 PM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET.
KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF
STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.

EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE IF THE
TORNADO IS NEARBY.

Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1062. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:39 (GMT)    
TVS with St. Lucie county cell- Link
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1063. Stormsabrewin 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:42 (GMT)    
Quoting Gulfsyed:
OK so could the blob become a tropical storm?


Most signs point to no.
1064. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:44 (GMT)    
Right now the Bahamas blob has the best chance of becoming a tropical storm- Link
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1065. weatherblog 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:44 (GMT)    
Quoting Gulfsyed:
OK so could the blob become a tropical storm?


99.99999999999999% NO

The only place to look for development right now is the Bahamas blob.

Member Since: 10.07.2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1623
1066. GaleWeathers 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:47 (GMT)    
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Large cell just west of Fort Lauderdale.



Stormchaser2007: What do you use for your radar in the above post? Looks nice!
Member Since: 29.06.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 14
1067. Gulfsyed 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:51 (GMT)    
Ok next question, butterfly effect...does the formation of 90 so early in the summer change the weather patterns for the south, 90 set up all the storms and rain over the south, which in turn saturated the ground, which then leads to more rain....does this event change the summer weather patterns or even tropical storm development..
1068. JRRP 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:51 (GMT)    

tropical wave
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4305
1069. HCW 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:52 (GMT)    
Tropical Storm or not you make the call

This footage was taken Right after the eyewall came onshore. Okay it wasn't an eyewall but there was no debris at all untill it made landfall and the surge came up very fast. I would estimate a good 5 FT in about 20 mins . Winds were gusting well over 50 mph at that time and we had sustained winds in the 30mph range before landfall . This storm is one that should be upgraded down the road by the NHC and I hope that this video and some of my others will help with there decision. Problem is there is not much footage from this system but bouy data and weather station data indicate this was no doubt at least tropical depression if not a tropical storm

Link
Member Since: 10.08.2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1280
1070. naplesdreamer28 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:54 (GMT)    
What direction is the AOI by the Bahamas heading?
Member Since: 3.07.2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 242
1071. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 20:56 (GMT)    
Quoting naplesdreamer28:
What direction is the AOI by the Bahamas heading?


North/Northeast
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1072. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:00 (GMT)    
JRRP
on your map, why is there the number 16 by the bahamas with a line drawn straight to wilmington nc?????
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1073. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:01 (GMT)    
Quoting K8eCane:
JRRP
on your map, why is there the number 16 by the bahamas with a line drawn straight to wilmington nc?????


Mean sea level pressure is 1016mb along that line.
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1074. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:01 (GMT)    
for a dummy like me, while perusing your map, it gave me pause
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1075. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:02 (GMT)    
ok Thanks wpb!!
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1076. Cavin Rawlins 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:06 (GMT)    
Quoting JRRP:

tropical wave


Yea it showed up well last night on 315K PV
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1077. Cavin Rawlins 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:06 (GMT)    
Quoting naplesdreamer28:
What direction is the AOI by the Bahamas heading?


Watching the Bahamas
Member Since: 24.07.2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1079. JRRP 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:17 (GMT)    
Quoting K8eCane:
JRRP
on your map, why is there the number 16 by the bahamas with a line drawn straight to wilmington nc?????

Isobars 1016
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4305
1080. GKP 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:20 (GMT)    
Has anyone had an update on the tornado warning heading for Seadrift, Port Oconner, and Magnolia beach area out of Port Lavaca Texas?
1081. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:21 (GMT)    
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
358 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH TEXAS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 357 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MAGNOLIA BEACH...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF SEADRIFT...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ALONG HIGHWAY 185 BETWEEN SEADRIFT AND PORT OCONNOR BY 500 PM
CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1082. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:23 (GMT)    
Texas twister- Link
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1083. futuremet 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:31 (GMT)    
Member Since: 19.07.2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
1084. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:34 (GMT)    
Gods strength to all in texas
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1085. JRRP 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:35 (GMT)    
it does not matter the quantity of storms

hurricane 2 killed 8000 people.... 1930

and all of you know about Andrew
Member Since: 16.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4305
1086. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:36 (GMT)    
does anyone think the area off the bahamas will be an investigation area?
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1088. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:41 (GMT)    
Quoting K8eCane:
does anyone think the area off the bahamas will be an investigation area?


I would guess it would.

Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1089. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:42 (GMT)    
lets all pray for those in texas with this tornado
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1091. WPBHurricane05 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:45 (GMT)    
Golf ball sized hail?? Good Lord these are some strong buggers.
Member Since: 31.07.2006 Posts: 55 Comments: 7897
1092. K8eCane 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:46 (GMT)    
hope everybody is inside but that is probly wishful thinking
Member Since: 26.04.2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2369
1093. presslord 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:47 (GMT)    
post 1085....if we gave awards around here, that would get a gold medal...
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377
1094. Patrap 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:51 (GMT)    
NEXRAD Radar
Corpus Christi, Base Reflectivity 0.50 Degree Elevation Range 124 NMI



Storm E0

59 dBZ 37,000 ft.
Vil 45kg/ 100% chance 0.75in[Hail]

Mvmnt 16 knots NNW (327)

Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111297
1095. HIEXPRESS 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:54 (GMT)    
1067. Gulfsyed
I think so, local patterns yes, not basin wide. Will be hard to tell though, chicken/egg?

Two cold fronts (seabreeze) playing chicken.
Member Since: 13.10.2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2153
1096. Patrap 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:59 (GMT)    
ReliefWEB

Bangladesh: Cyclone Aila - Sit.report no. 69

Source: Network for Information, Response and Preparedness Activities on Disaster

Date: 25 May 2009


Dhaka, May 25, 2009

Event Title: Cyclone AILA

Date and Time of onset: 25.05.09 (intensified and crossing north northwest towards West Bengal)

Location of the disaster: Bangladesh, 20°22'N-26°36'N, 87°48'E-92°41'E,

Event Update:

1. Till now, coastal regions are experiencing continuous raining with gusty winds.

2. According to RTV news at 6.30pm, AILA has just moved northwest direction.

3. Deaths of 7 people have been reported till now. (2 from Nijum Dwip and 2 from Bayar Char of Noakhali district, and 3 from other districts).

4. Around 2000 fishers and Bawali (resource collector from Sundarbans) are trapped in the Sundarbans.

5. Vast area of Pirojpur district has been inundated because the Beri bund has been collapsed by the tidal surge.

6. 15 houses and 10 shops fully damaged in St Martin Island.

7. 7 unions of Ujirpur upazila of Barial district have been inundated.

Reporting from:
NIRAPAD Secretariat,
Dhaka, Bangladesh
Member Since: 3.07.2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111297
1097. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 21:59 (GMT)    
Quoting naplesdreamer28:
What direction is the AOI by the Bahamas heading?
stationary or slow n nw will lay just se offshore ne ga se sc in just about 48 hrs from now

Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40476
1098. presslord 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 22:01 (GMT)    
I really wish my friend KEEPEROFTHEGATE was KEEPEROFHISMOUTHSHUT with that kinda info....geeez....
Member Since: 13.08.2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377
1099. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 22:02 (GMT)    
well at least i did'nt say the caroliners
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40476
1100. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 22:03 (GMT)    
lol
Member Since: 15.07.2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40476
1101. Patrap 25. toukokuuta 2009 klo 22:04 (GMT)    

Viewing: 1051 - 1101

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29Blog Index

New Comment
Community Standards Policy Comments will take a few seconds to appear.
Post Your Comments
Please sign in to post comments.
Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.
About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather
Partly Cloudy
70 °F
Puolipilvistä
Community Activity