Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Hot and Humid in Bradenton with some apparent convection to the east today, but nothing on the radar that close, but sweat.

Quoting Tejano72:
The solar system bounces up and down through the solar place. We will reach the apex of this hyperbolic oscillation in 2012. Space is 99.99999......% nothing. However, that most of the .000.....1% of stuff is in the same plane, makes the odds significantly less for us to get hit with the laser pointer of a gamma ray beam. If could, however, hit the sun, which is a much larger target, with unpleasant results, or superheat a few space rocks and change their trajectory. The #1 threat is the sun, #2 would be something volcanic (multiple simultaneous geologic evenents), #3 would be a space rock. Gamma Rays are way down the list.

The Galactic core contains a huge black hole 35,000 light years away from the Earth.
If a star fell into this black hole 34,996 and 9 months ago the light from the Gamma Ray Burst would get to our planet on December 21, 2012. It would be a done deal that a disaster would take place. The Galatic alignment of the Earth with the plane of the galaxy would be a necessity since a star that was going to fall in the central galatic black hole would be on the galatic plane and emit a Gamma Ray Burst along that plane in alignment with the Earth.

That is an interesting post T-72.What happens if a near by star goes supernova?

Mabe the Myans know something about 2012 in that calendar...

The solar system bounces up and down through the solar place. We will reach the apex of this hyperbolic oscillation in 2012. Space is 99.99999......% nothing. However, that most of the .000.....1% of stuff is in the same plane, makes the odds significantly less for us to get hit with the laser pointer of a gamma ray beam. If could, however, hit the sun, which is a much larger target, with unpleasant results, or superheat a few space rocks and change their trajectory. The #1 threat is the sun, #2 would be something volcanic (multiple simultaneous geologic evenents), #3 would be a space rock. Gamma Rays are way down the list.

The Galactic core contains a huge black hole 35,000 light years away from the Earth.
If a star fell into this black hole 34,996 and 9 months ago the light from the Gamma Ray Burst would get to our planet on December 21, 2012. It would be a done deal that a disaster would take place. The Galatic alignment of the Earth with the plane of the galaxy would be a necessity since a star that was going to fall in the central galatic black hole would be on the galatic plane and emit a Gamma Ray Burst along that plane in alignment with the Earth.

103 - 105,, At least you wouldn't feel it. I think the % referenced would be more applicable to our actual knowledge of Space and Time. Here is some additional speculation for you. It is estimated that based upon the current known Universe there should be 40,000 planets with life on them at any given time. I could never understand that for the universe is infinite, and even if you think it is finite, what would be beyond the edge ah?

Very nice Patrap

He is revered as the chief engineer who guided the Mayan mission of inscripting stone monuments with precise astronomical and astrological information during his reign in the 10th Baktun (435-830 AD).

Known as a magician of time, he understood mathematics, or numbers, as a type of language that transcends the subjectivity of human verbal experience. His sentiment "All is number. *God is a number. God is in All." is an intriguing way to catalogue the Maya's message that we are intimately linked with and informed by the Galaxy. All of life is ordered by the same basic, re-occurring patterns.
*In the Yucatec Mayan language, the word "Hunab Ku" means Source
- The One, Giver of Movement and Measure, the galactic core, "God".

Pacal Votan's prophecy speaks of the Closing of this World Age Cycle on December 21, 2012 AD. As this date approaches, we are collectively in a transition phase of the old world dying and a new world being born.

"All is number

You sure this guy does not work at Bank of America. They told me that I was just a number.

If the Universe has been in existence for 14.3 billion years(give or take a few years)I wonder how long it will be here from this point on.Whatever has been preconceived to happen on 12/21/12 I am sure there will humans here to record its effect on the good earth.

Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Oh lord what's this mayan mysticism doing all over a space weather blog?

Looks good for me to get bunches of rain!

You just never know what the subject is going to be on this blog

Sorry about the typos. Anyway, it won't be Eta, Aplha, Beta or Sirius. It will be either something that already happened and will hit us through luck and space laser-plinko (SPACE WEATHER is not space mysticism, y'all), or likely WR 104 in Sagittarius. We are within a decade of implosion on a tightly wound binary that was assumed to be a small spiral galaxy until 3/4/08, when someone had an "oh sh--" moment at the observatory in Australia, and realized that we were looking top down on an impending binary implosion. That means looknig right down the rifle of the gun. Here's the problem: When the solar system is at the peak of its hyperbolic orbital wobble, we are exposed because there is nothing between us and it. So the odds are roughly 1 in 12. I wouldn't play Russian roulette with 1 to 12 odds.

Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Oh lord what's this mayan mysticism doing all over a space weather blog?

Looks good for me to get bunches of rain!

If the line that just went through here (Brooks/Thomas county line) holds together, you will get bunches of rain. I got 1.2 inches in the rain gauge in about 30 minutes. It's hitting Quitman GA about now.

Wow first time I've seen lightening and heard thunder in a long time lol

DEC21
1111GMT OR 611 AM EST
2012

Quoting hahaguy:
Wow first time I've seen lightening and heard thunder in a long time lol

don't worry you going to see a lot more yet over the next 6 to 10 days

108. I actually have a version of the Hunab Ku inked on my back. When I was a high school student I read The Mayan Factor: The Path Beyond Technology. I was way into that stuff back then.

The premise of the book was that the Mayans discovered a galactic energy beam/wave that reaches its peak in 2012. If we were to align our minds we could creat a collective consciousness and in turn be able to tap into the power. This would allow us to no longer have to rely on technology as we know it. When the new beginning came we would collectively be seeded to a new galaxy collectively as the energy went on its way.

If we didn't align ourselves with it, the Earth would begin to rumble as the date approached. Apparently, the end result would be the Earth's complete destruction as it broke up into a new asteroid belt.

That phase didn't last long though. Especially when I found out about the cult like following the author maintained.....Creepy.... The tatoo still has the meaning of everything being interconnected and I am still very glad to have it.

Quoting Tejano72:
Sorry about the typos. Anyway, it won't be Eta, Aplha, Beta or Sirius. It will be either something that already happened and will hit us through luck and space laser-plinko (SPACE WEATHER is not space mysticism, y'all), or likely WR 104 in Sagittarius. We are within a decade of implosion on a tightly wound binary that was assumed to be a small spiral galaxy until 3/4/08, when someone had an "oh sh--" moment at the observatory in Australia, and realized that we were looking top down on an impending binary implosion. That means looknig right down the rifle of the gun. Here's the problem: When the solar system is at the peak of its hyperbolic orbital wobble, we are exposed because there is nothing between us and it. So the odds are roughly 1 in 12. I wouldn't play Russian roulette with 1 to 12 odds.

I would really like to learn more. Please send me some links to the data so we can check it out. Thanks E

Nice round of storms about to settle in here in Pensacola. My two year old just came in and yelled at me "STOP BLOGGING!!!!!"

Good night and stay safe. Looks like the worst weather is east of us.

StSimonsIslandGAGuy
What's it looking like in your neck of the woods about now?

Throughout the day at the campus, I had been monitoring the weather situation across Florida. The main reason was due to the fact that all the forecast soundings from this morning indicated favorable atmospheric conditions for thunderstorm development. Was really surprised by the several tornado warnings that were issued across the state and into Georgia as I had not anticipated the atmosphere to destabilize as rapidly as it did. Based upon the early reports I received, it seemed to me that the tornadoes that did form produced minimal damage, which is good news.

What we all saw today occuring this afternoon across Florida is the transition that is starting to take affect in weather patterns. With the seabreeze activity, it indicates to me that we are exiting the grasp of the dry, continental airmass that had dominated the state for the past several months, and entering into the push towards our rainy season. It will likely still take several more weeks to get into rainy season, but if the impressive seabreeze thunderstorm action this afternoon was any indication, it seems that the worst of this terrible drought across the state may be over and relief is on the horizon.

Anyone hear about the wicked weather here in So. Fla.? :) So is this trend of sea breeze storms on the east coast supposed to continue?

Severe Weather in the Southeast:

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Anyone hear about the wicked weather here in So. Fla.? :) So is this trend of sea breeze storms on the east coast supposed to continue?

it looks more wicked in north Florida

Quoting Drakoen:
Severe Weather in the Southeast:

Actually quite impressive. Didn't figure the weather situation across Florida would have been this active this afternoon. Knew that based upon the forecast soundings that thunderstorms would develop around the state, but didn't expect them to become severe since the soundings didn't indicate such would occur this morning. Guess I forgot what happens when you add bigtime daytime heating into the equation since its been such a long time since we've seen seabreeze thunderstorms pop statewide.

This is what Cyclone Jasper gave to surfers of SE Qld/northern NSW last week












Cheers AussieStorm

Beaches shut as rain causes chaos

Article from: The Daily Telegraph


By Lauren Williams and agencies

April 01, 2009 10:55am

THOUSANDS of homes have been blacked out, beaches are closed, there's traffic chaos on wet roads, flash flooding in city suburbs, more than 80 Sydney people requesting emergency help, reports of trees down and northern NSW remains very wet as heavy rain continues to fall in NSW.
Waves up to five metres high are hammering the coast of Sydney and surrounding areas, while heavy rain has brought down trees and damaged homes.

Dangerous surf forced the closure of all Sydney beaches today, except for Bondi, with destructive waves expected to continue until tomorrow. Strong winds have also brought down trees in Sydney's suburbs.

Power outages in Glebe, Chippendale and Camperdown blacked out more than 3000 homes and businesses this morning while more than 1000 people have become victims of the flooding sweeping the mid-north coast of NSW.

.An EnergyAustralia spokesman said the homes and businesses lost power for about 90 minutes as families woke to prepare for work and school after an electrical fault being blamed on the rain. Almost 85mm of rain has fallen over the Sydney basin in the past 24 hours.

As thousands of commuters faced road nightmares trying to get to work today, the Weather Bureau reported Turramurra had the highest rainfall in Sydney overnight with 77mm falling in since 9am yesterday. Up to 55m of rain fell in the Royal National Park just south of Sydney, and parts of Cronulla received 46mm.

Dramatic falls right across the NSW mid-north coast peaked at Girralong, where 538 mm was recorded in the last 24 hours. Bellingen received nearly 400mm, while the Dorrigo area recorded 266mm.

Dorrigo had falls of 270 mm since 9am yesterday while Coff Harbour registered 450mm. The Bellinger River peaked at 8.6 metres last night, stranding about 1600 nearby residents.

The Bellinger River has begun to fall from its peak, which was equal to 1986 levels, but residents in Bellingen, Darkwood, Thora and Kalang will remain isolated for up to four days.

On the far North Coast, 170mm of rain fell over Ballina, while Alstonville had 129mm.

Further south Yamba recorded 146mm in the 24 hours to 7am and Evans Head received 133mm.

In Sydney, flooding caused traffic delays at Victoria Rd, approaching The Crescent, in Rozelle, near the Anzac Bridge while traffic lights are blacked out and emergency crews are responding to multiple calls for fallen power lines.

The State Emergency Service (SES) has responded to 80 calls for assistance in Sydney since yesterday afternoon, with up to 150 volunteers in action.

"Most are from the city's northern suburbs and most of those have been for leaky roofs and branches down," SES spokesman Dave Webber said.

The Roads and Traffic Authority (RTA) has also reported slow traffic around Sydney due to flooding on roads in Collaroy and Artarmon in the north and Alexandria in the inner south.

The NSW Bureau of Meteorology has issued a severe weather warning across the state, with fears continued heavy rainfall across the Hunter, Sydney Metropolitan and parts of the Mid North Coast districts expected to cause more flash flooding.

Damaging surf conditions and waves of more than five metres has also led to the bureau predicting significant beach erosion on the mid-north Coast, Hunter and Sydney coasts between Smoky Cape and Port Hacking today.

Gale warnings have been issued along the mid north coast today, with winds averaging over 60 km/h at times and gusts exceed 90 km/hr.

Related coverage: NSW floods strand thousands of people

Gallery: How the big wet has caused chaos in NSW

Sydney blackout furore: Nathan Rees orders emergency review

Flood waters have eased across the state, but hundreds of people evacuated across the state's mid-north coast remain stranded.

The Pacific Highway through Coffs Harbour was opened in both directions early this morning after being closed overnight, but remains closed north of Urunga.

An Emergency Operations Centre has been established at a resort in Coffs Harbour containing personnel from the Police, SES, local council and Country Energy.

Dorrigo, Bellingen and Coffs Harbour Hospitals have all been isolated by the flood waters but they have not been evacuated.

Evacuation centres established at the Coffs Harbour RSL in Vernon Street and the Bonville Golf Club in North Bonville Road have allowed people to leave overnight but remain open for people to attend.

Sixty people who took refuge at the Coffs Ex-services Club overnight are still stranded.

Coffs Creek peaked at 5.14m at 6:15pm yesterday, which is just below the 1996 level of 5.43m, when floods resulted in the death of one person.

About 100 Coffs Harbour residential properties and businesses have been affected, with 420 people evacuated from surrounding areas, including 300 school children and aged care residents.

At the Coffs ex-services club duty Manager, Paul Cunningham said around 40 people were still sheltering at the club this morning.

"It's all been pretty positive, but people are pretty distressed," he said.

"They don't know what's happened to their houses, their belongings,"

Mr Cunningham said while rain had eased overnight, the community were bracing themselves for another 80 milimetres today.

"The way Coff is designed, it just continues to flood," he said.

Parents have been allowed to pick up their children from The Bishop Druitt College in North Boambee Road and the Christian Community School in Curacoa Street at Coffs Harbour after they were cut-off and isolated by the flood waters with a large number of students still at the schools.

Newrey Island is flooded. 60 homes were evacuated; however, no further people have been evacuated due to the area being unsafe for SES and RFS emergency vehicles and staff.

People who haven't been evacuated are safe.

Water levels around Urunga are steady. Ninety people were evacuated to the Urunga Golf Club.

There were similar water levels at Bellingen Keys where 80 homes were evacuated.

The evacuation centre at Urunga Golf Club has about 250 displaced people with the Department of Community Services in attendance.

A public information inquiry centre has been opened to take calls from members of the public about the flood affected areas on the North Coast.

Police and SES are urging all residents to remain in their homes at this stage and to continually monitor the situation.

Families are told to be prepared to evacuate if necessary and allow plenty of time to do so.

Members of the public are informed that they can contact the information inquiry centre on 1800 227 228.

The community is also advised to pack only what is necessary, think about where they will go and to listen to updates through the media.

The police have advised motorists not to attempt to drive through flood waters due to hidden dangers and debris while residents are told not to swim in swollen rivers and creeks.

Members of the community are also advised they can contact the SES on 132 500 for emergency flood and storm assistance.

For all other emergencies, the public are advised to contact Triple 000.

NSW Emergency Services Minister Steve Whan is on his way to the area to determine if disaster relief is necessary.

"I'm travelling to Coffs Harbour this morning just to see what the damage is and see whether or not a natural disaster declaration is needed for the area," Mr Whan told Macquarie Radio today.

The SES has responded to more than 760 requests for assistance and performed about 60 rescues of people trapped in flood waters.

The SES estimates some rural properties could remain cut off for the next four days.

"But again a lot of these areas are used to these flooding situations and are quite well prepared," spokesman David Webber said.

Dr. Masters has a particular skill for writing in this science adventure frame when talking about his past field meteorologist roles.

His essay reminds of a a book I once read as a child called "There's Adventure in Meteorology"

Hope the rain continues...but don't need the severe weather..

did you all here about the Play Station 2

There is more to propagation than CMEs and the aurora.

Sporadic Ecan be caused by the ionized trails left by meteors as they burn up. Sporadic E is useful as low as 10 meters or just above Citizens Band frequencies. From 2 meters and up Sporadic E and tropo-ducting are two common modes of propagation beyond line of sight. There are more as this map shows.

I am set up to communicate on 2 meters across a 200 mile distance during the summer using tropo-ducting. This occurs when different layers of air create a kind of waveguide that keeps normally line of sight radio waves hugging the curvature of the earth.

Every Ham knows that HF propagation changes at night for the better. There are seasonal changes too, when for instance 160 meters gets hot. Hams have mapped out the portion of the atmosphere above the troposphere so that they know when and where to point their antennas to reach around the globe.

Here is a weather station you probably haven't seen. Solar Wind

Quoting Tazmanian:
did you all here about the Play Station 2

Yeah...dropped them to $99!!

Aussiestorm --Oh my gosh -- Oh my goodness -- those waves are soooooo beautiful --- way out of my league -- but I can still appreciate what they are -- divine -- totally divine.

i knew you would like those pics surfmom!!!!

The Gulf of Mexico after this past cold front. No comparison to Aussie's waves... but I had a great time : )

Quoting hydrus:
If the Universe has been in existence for 14.3 billion years(give or take a few years)I wonder how long it will be here from this point on.Whatever has been preconceived to happen on 12/21/12 I am sure there will humans here to record its effect on the good earth.

Yep, some snowfall in the North.

Quoting CybrTeddy:


Yep, some snowfall in the North.

LOL- yes, and the attack of the abominable mayan snow man.

Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Some of the forecast notes are better:

Friday, September 17, 1926 8AM:

The tropical storm that passed near Turks Island Thursday afternoon is apparently central about 23 latitude North and 74 latitude West, and is moving rather rapidly west-northwestward attended by hurricane force winds near its center. This is a very severe storm.

Not too bad for a forecast written 22 hours before it hit Miami.

They seemed to have a fairly good idea this storm was coming, but I don't think they expected it to be QUITE as bad as it turned out to be. IIRC, the storm apparently deepened quite precipitously as it approached and crossed the Gulf Stream.

Interesting stuff.

Quoting surfmom:


The Gulf of Mexico after this past cold front. No comparison to Aussie's waves... but I had a great time : )

I don't see any surfers? 5'ers and nobody on them? I hope they were just tired. :) Wish I could have been there.

Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-F
9:00 AM FST April 1 2009
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 14F (1001 hPa) located at 17.0S 176.5E is reported as moving north-northeast slowly. Position FAIR based on latest multispectral visible with animation and peripheral surface reports. Sea surface temperatures is around 29C.

Tropical Depression 14F is weak at this stage with the low level circulation center exposed, deep convection is detached to the east and drier air located to the south. 14F is embedded in a monsoonal trough while an active covergence zone lies to the north. A strong southeast surge is developing to the south. System lies under moderate amount of shear. Global models are keen to develop a series of lows along the monsoonal trough over the next few days (with 14F being one of these lows). These lows are likely to move fairly rapidly to the southeast in response to a good northwest steering flow. Strong to Gale Force winds are expected to develop south of these lows as a strong high pressure system near New Zealand extends a developing ridge of pressure into the tropics. At this stage, there is a low chance for any of these lows to reach tropical cyclone status.

POTENTIAL FOR 14F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

You all need to see the blowed up pic of Redoubt on my Web site......

http://tampaspinsweather.webs.com/volcanoearthquaketsunami.htm

On the world disaster in 2012 topic:

I don't think a world disaster is likely on the basis of any ONE of the events people have named. However, 2012 would be a very bad year if we got SEVERAL of these events at once: a highly active hurricane season in two or three of the more heavily populated basins; a large solar event that knocks out power grids in numerous major N hemisphere cities; a major volcanic eruption that throws large amounts of ash / gasses into the air and / or triggered serious earthquakes / tsunami.

It would then be a "very bad year". . . . globally speaking. . .

Quoting TampaSpin:
You all need to see the blowed up pic of Redoubt on my Web site......

http://tampaspinsweather.webs.com/volcanoearthquaketsunami.htm

good pic tampa,I am glad there are not any of those were I live.

Quoting cchsweatherman:
Throughout the day at the campus, I had been monitoring the weather situation across Florida. The main reason was due to the fact that all the forecast soundings from this morning indicated favorable atmospheric conditions for thunderstorm development. Was really surprised by the several tornado warnings that were issued across the state and into Georgia as I had not anticipated the atmosphere to destabilize as rapidly as it did. Based upon the early reports I received, it seemed to me that the tornadoes that did form produced minimal damage, which is good news.

What we all saw today occuring this afternoon across Florida is the transition that is starting to take affect in weather patterns. With the seabreeze activity, it indicates to me that we are exiting the grasp of the dry, continental airmass that had dominated the state for the past several months, and entering into the push towards our rainy season. It will likely still take several more weeks to get into rainy season, but if the impressive seabreeze thunderstorm action this afternoon was any indication, it seems that the worst of this terrible drought across the state may be over and relief is on the horizon.

The stationary front looked to be the main cause of the instabilty over most of the central and southern penninsula.IMO,not sea breeze storms,its a bit early still for those!!!maybe the middle of may....