HS 015

Forecast
========= weather bulletin for the high seas for Metarea VII.East of 20e. Issued by the South African Weather Service on the 19th may 2013 at 08:30 UTC.

For southeast sector of Metarea VII, prepared by reunion, see area 2 below.

Note: wx observations. ====================== Could all vessels experiencing unexpected, severe wx/sea state please make every effort to report this to saws via cape town radio.

Area 1: ======= forecast valid from 191000 to 201000 utc:

Wind in knots, wave heights in metres. No sea state given if waves less than 3m.

Gale warnings: ============== nil.

Synoptic situation at 06:00 UTC =============================== high 1030 hpa 27s36e low 1012 hpa 43s04e low 986 hpa 54s16e low 958 hpa 63s23e.

1. Cold front: 37s05w 43s04e 50s15e 54s16e. 2. Cold front: 44s20e 50s30e 54s34e 63s23e.

Area forecast: ==============

Cape east (32.5s/40s, 20e/50e) wind : W to SW 10 to 20, but NE 15 to 20 in the west. Vis : moderate in showers in the west, otherwise good. Sea state: 3.5 to 4.5m, SW swell.

Durban east (25s/32.5s, East Coast/55e) wind : S to se 10 to 15, but NE 10 to 20 in the west. Vis : good. Sea state: 3.0 to 4.0m, with SW swell.

Mozambique channel: wind : S to se 15 to 25. Vis : moderate in showers at times. Sea state: 2.5 to 3.5m in the south, SW swell.

Madagascar east: wind : se to E 15 to 25. Vis : moderate in showers at times. Sea state: 2.5 to 3.0m, with ENE swell.

Marion forties east: (40s/50s, 35e/50e) wind : W to SW 20 to 30. Vis : moderate in showers and rain. Sea state: 4.5 to 5.5m, reaching 6.5m in the south, with SW swell.

Area 2 ======= marine meteorological bulletin from Meteo-France/La Reunion on area ack (amsterdam-Crozet-kerguelen)

Date: 13/05/19 at 0500 UTC

Averaged wind speed on Beaufort scale. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here.)

Part 1: warning: storm force 10 over ker, strong gale force 9 over cro and gale force 8 over wam and ams.

Part 2: general synopsys, 13/05/19 at 0000 utc:

Highs 1025 hpa near 33s/91e and 1030 hpa near 26s/31e, moving eastward 10/15 kt.

Waving cold front 25s/41e, 30s/54e, 35s/66e, 40s/72e, 45s/73e, 47s/72e, 50s/76e, 52s/81e, 55s/79e, with associated low 977 hpa near 46s/72e, deepening, and 954 hpa near 54s/64e, deepening, moving eastsoutheastward 15/25 kt.

Page 1/2 part 3: forecast for 24 hours from 13/05/19 at 0600 UTC to 13/05/20 at 0600utc:

Wam (30s/40s, 50e/65e): showers. Wind : westerly 4 to 8 from north to south, decreasing 5/6 over southern area, locally 7 over southeastern area, and becoming anticlockwise 3 to 5 over northern area. Sea : rough to very rough becoming moderate to rough. Moderate to heavy SW swell. Vis : poor in precipitations.

Ams (30s/40s, 65e/80e): frontal rain and showers. Wind : NW 6/7 increasing 7/8 ahead front backing westerly 5 to 8 from north to south behind. Sea : rough to very rough becoming moderate to rough. Moderate to heavy SW swell. Vis : poor in precipitations.

Cro (40s/50s, 50e/65e): snow and showers. Wind : westerly 8/9 decreasing 7/8 then 6/7 over western area. Sea : very rough to high becoming rough to very rough. Moderate to heavy southwesterly swell. Vis : poor in precipitations.

Ker (40s/50s, 65e/80e): snow, squalls and showers. Wind : clockwise 7 to 9 over southeastern area in beginning of validity, westerly 8 behind front over northwestern area, then westerly 8/9 increasing locally 10. Sea : very rough to high. Moderate to heavy westerly swell. Vis : poor in precipitations.

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NOT FOR NAVIGATION. DO NOT RELY ON THIS DATA FOR DECISIONS THAT CAN RESULT IN HARM TO ANYONE OR ANYTHING.